CK's 2025 MLB Thread

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Alright on to the Metropolitans vs Blunts

Chric Conroy is your typical OVER umpire although he is by all means a "pitchers" umpire with 1704 K's per game, He is 9-5 for the OVER with an average of 10.50 RPG. When put up against a 9 he is 1-1-0. The home team is 7-7 so he is neutral as hell. I have both of these guys xwOBA estimated at over .340 which is in line with SAVANT.

However good teams at home losing big to other good teams as a favorite are usually good to go for the RL. Luzardo has the worse of the ERA tonight and is FAVORED. That's all you need to know. I have Luzardo ranked at #4 and Peterson at #11

Blunts-1.5 +164 RL Luzardo 2 UNITS

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Giolito burned me with that last walk to go 6 frames but 5-2...pisser

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Royals got bullpenitis! I went to the store for a six pack and came back and it's no longer 2-0 LOL!

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Pacers/Thunder UNDER 214.5 Game 7 2 UNITS

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4:00 Astronauts/Halos UNDER 9 Gusto/Hendricks
4:00 Guardians/A's UNDER 9.5 -120 Cecconi/Sears
4:00 Red Sox/Giants UNDER 7.5 -120 Giolito/Ray
4:00 Royals/Fathers UNDER 8.5 Lugo/Vasquez

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I think one of the Tigers home run balls just landed on my front lawn...

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Just heard my move on the Twinkies got refunded-Festa didn't start-Danny Coulombe did. Be sure to check with your books and see if you were properly refunded for that move

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Wow! The Rays relivers just killed my under ticket LOL! The bad beats...oh the horror

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Halos-110 Hendricks

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Something smells fishy here. Brandon Pfaadt has 3, 4, 0, 2, and 5 K's in his last 5 starts. But all of a sudden he has a line of 5.5 for K's against the Rox today which is bizarre. I looked up Austin Jones (umpire for today) and he gives out a whopping 18.3 K's per game (WOW!) and Pfaadt has K'd up 34.3% of all of the Rox batters that he has faced. So where there's fire there's smoke....

He does have 63% rostership so don't go having him too high if you're streaming-the juice isn't worth the squeeze

Snakes (Pfaadt) OVER 5.5 K's +110

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2:00 Red Leggins/Cardinals UNDER 9 Abbott/Mikolas
2:00 Brews/Twinkies UNDER 9.5 Priester/Festa

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Yikes! The wind is blowing out to dead center at 15 MPH at Wrigley today

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1:30 Pale Hose/Jays UNDER 9 Houser/Bassitt
1:30 Pale Hose/Jays UNDER 4.5 FF

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FIRST OF THE TOTALS COMIN DOWN THE PIKE

12:00 Tigers/Rays UNDER 8.5 Mize/Littell
12:00 Tigers/Rays UNDER 4.5 FF Mize/Littell

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BIG BOARD has been updated to include the A's+103 Sears

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1:30 Buccos-110 Falter 2 UNITS
1:30 Fish+118 Alcantara
2:00 Twinkies-1.5 +140 RL Festa 2 UNITS
2:00 Red Leggins-110 Abbott 3 UNITS
2:00 Sailors-115 Gilbert 3 UNITS
4:00 Royals-115 Lugo 3 UNITS
4:00 Giants-1.5 +135 RL Ray
4:00 A's+103 Sears

I will start with the TOTALS after I get the umpire information gathered

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God day yesterday-let's keep it going. Today I am rolling with Lucas Giolito (Red Sox. Not saying that they will win the game of course-just looking for my 5/3/1/K/W. He has only 14% rostership-which of course means a solid payday should he achieve that feat. I'm encouraged by Giolito's 94/95 mph four-seamer last time with improved command.

CRUMBS POD (Red Sox) Lucas Giolito

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Metropolitans-120 Canning

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9:30 Astronauts/Halos UNDER 8.5 Walter/Soriano

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9:30 Halos-125 Soriano 3 UNITS

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Get that now before it goes up to 10.5

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Metropolitans/Blunts OVER 10 Canning/Abel 2 UNITS

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Woods-Richardson ain't got it today!

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7:00 Royals/Fathers UNDER 7.5 Cameron/Cease 2 UNITS

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4:00 Red Sox+102 Bello

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4:00 Wanderers/Buccos UNDER 8.5 Rocker/Keller

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4:00 Red Sox/Giants UNDER 7.5 Bello/Roupp

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More positions

Twinkies-134 Woods-Richardson
Jays-1.5 +105 RL Berrios 2 UNITS

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CONDENSED SO FAR

12:00 Tigers/Rays UNDER 9 Gipson-Long/Pepiot
2:00 Brews/Twinkies UNDER 9 Quintana/Woods-Richardson
2:00 Sailors/Cubs OVER 12.5 Hancock/Horton 2 UNITS
2:00 Red Leggins/Cardinals UNDER 9 Suter/Gray
9:00 Snakes/Rox OVER 12.5 Kelley/Palmquist 2 UNITS

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2:00 Brews/Twinkies UNDER 9 Quintana/Woods-Richardson

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Tigers/Rays UNDER 9 Gipson-Long-Pepiot

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Don't fight it-it's hot and the ball is carrying in Coors

9:00 Snakes/Rox OVER 12.5 Kelley/Palmquist 2 UNITS

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The wind is blowing out in Wrigley-you know what to do

Sailors/Cubs OVER 12.5 2 UNITS

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LATE STUFF

10:00 A's+101 Springs
9:30 Astronauts/Halos UNDER 8 Brown/Kikuchi
9:30 Royals/Fathers UNDER 7.5 Lorenzen/Pivetta
10:00 Guardians/A's UNDER 9 Bibee/Springs

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Red Sox/Giants UNDER 7.5 Dobbins/Birdsong 2 UNITS