CK's 2025 MLB Thread

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Fish/Snakes UNDER 9 ONE MORE UNIT

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Rox/Brews UNDER 9 ONE MORE UNIT

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Wondering aloud here. I haven't been more disappointed with an arm over the past two seasons than that of Kumar Rocker (Wanderers), He has filthy stuff. Rocker's cutter is legit. I'm just hoping he keeps throwing it 40% of the time and can support it properly. Maybe today is the day, maybe it isn't-but his skill set should work well against the Sailors... You already know what you are gonna get with Woo. He will hold it down on his end.

The second one is Bailey Ober. His issues are mostly from this season. You just can't trust him these days. He's far removed across the board from his 2024 self, mostly with his four-seamer velocity and command. Pitching through injury doesn't help things, either. He will still K yo ass up-just has issues going deeper off into games and putting the Twinkies suspect bullpen in the crosshairs...anyway

Here's some of that MORE I was talking about


Twinkies/Tigers UNDER 9 ONE MORE UNIT
Giants/Pale Hose UNDER 8 ONE MORE UNIT
Pale Hose+1.5 -120 RL Houser
Wanderers+102 ML Rocker (GOD HELP ME)

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Umpire assignments are coming out now. So look for me to either make a purchase order for MORE or in some case BET OUT of positions

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A's/Bombers UNDER 9 Sears/Schmidt
Twinkies/Tigers UNDER 8.5 Ober/Mize
Sailors/Wanderers UNDER 8 Woo/Rocker
Rox/Brews UNDER 9 Senzatela/Priester
Rays/Orioles UNDER 10 Littell/Eflin
Blunts/Braves UNDER 8 Luzardo/Schwellenbach
Metropolitans/Buccos UNDER 9 Blackburn/Falter
Fish/Snakes UNDER 9 Alcantara/Pfaadt
Jays/Red Sox UNDER 9 Bassitt/Giolito
Cardinals/Guardians UNDER 8.5 Mikolas/Cecconi
Nats/Halos UNDER 9 Soroka/Hendricks
Cubs/Astronauts UNDER 8.5 Rea/McCullers

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Cubs+105
Orioles-110
Braves-157
Guardians-120
Red Leggins-156

5 WAY ML PARLAY +1827 ODDS

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Lots of totals coming in a few-channeling my inner Billy Walters and trying to exploit the board i as many ways as possible

RECORD UPDATE (The Action Network)

534-532-29 +41.81 UNITS

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Red Sox+107 Giolito 2 UNITS
Cubs+106 Rea 3 UNITS
Nats+100 FF ML Soroka
Pale Hose+0.5 -110 FF RL Houser
Orioles-109 Eflin 2 UNITS
Brews-1.5 -114 RL Priester
Braves-1.5 +140 Schwellenbach 2 UNITS
Guardians-1.5 +174 Cecconi 2 UNITS
Red Leggins-1.5 +132 Abbott 2 UNITS

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I am going to blast away on some SIDES in a few hours for tomorrow to lock in the good numbers

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Tanner Banks ended up starting for the Blunts after the rain delay-so be sure to make your books refund your money for this one

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Okay so it's been confirmed that Ohtani will spell Casparius tomorrow and now I had to temprorarily waive him. The search for CRUMBS continues

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Damn I need 2 more K's from Roupp without giving up a walk!!

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Alright for tomorrow's CRUMBS POD

Dodgers (Casparius) My man only has 11% rostership-this is risky and I am hoping and praying that he can go for 5 frames! That 89% share poyout opportunity got the best of me

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Wow! Aaron Judge has also left the bases loaded TWICE! That makes 3 times total that the bases have been full and no runs from those situations. Yikes!

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Those moments are the type of moments that kill a total...

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Damn...the A's had the bases LOADED and didn't get a run in the top of the first! Yikes!

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RECORD UPDATE (The Action Network)

524-521-28 + 32.02 UNITS

With bad money management you can actually have a wonderful record and be upside down with units. I think that the highest juice I have made a move on this season is -145. You can't make moves on -200 or more sides and expect to turn a profit y'all. Shit has to be slow and methodical in conventional side and total moves.''

My CRUMBS POD Streamer record is 65-25 after yesterday's gem by Edward Cabrera. That's where my distinct advantage is. I actively look for and find value with arms that non one else likes at bargain basement prices that give me paydays so large that it doesn't matter sometimes if I win a single conventional move-I will still get a healthy profit

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I am not sure what the line move was about for the Blunts/Braves game. All I know is that umpire Brennan Miller hands out 18.4 K's per game so those K's will have to come from somewhere. So I went with Abel to get 4 K's which won't come easy because the Braves are starting to get hot-although the Chris Sale rib injury is certainly not helping their cause. Interestingly enough I have Abel ranked at #17 today and Bryce Elder at #29 which is second to last. Maybe the Baseball Gods know something I don't about the arm matchup.

Logan Gilbert is a stud and is ranked #1 for me personally today and the 6.5 K's may very well be a gift when the umpire for that game gives out a whopping 18.3 K's per game.

The Bombers haven't had a game go OVER in what seems like forever-but today they get an extreme hitters umpire in Vondrak who's games average a crispy 12.13 RPG and he is 10-5 overall for the over.

The Cardinals/Guardians total is one where they have some wonderful arms facing lineups that aren't familiar with their approach. Ortiz sometimes loses his slot-let's just hope it doesn't happen today so he can give the ball to the bullpen (one of the best) with a low scoring game

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ARMS

Sailors (Gilbert) OVER 6.5 K's -130
Blunts (Abel) OVER 3.5 K's -134

TOTALS


7:00 A's/Bombers OVER 8 or 8.5 Spence/Warren 2 UNITS
7:00 Fathers/Red Leggins UNDER 9 Cease/Martinez 2 UNITS
7:00 Jays/Red Sox OVER 8.5 Berrios/Bello
7:00 Cardinals/Guardians UNDER 8.5 Gray/Ortiz 3 UNITS
7:00 Rays/Orioles UNDER 9 Pepiot/Sugano
7:30 Giants/Pale Hose UNDER 9 Roupp/Civale
8:00 Cubs/Astronauts UNDER 8.5 Horton/Walter 2 UNITS
9:30 Fish/Snakes UNDER 8.5 Perez/Kelly
9:30 Nats/Halos UNDER 9 Irvin/Soriano

THREE WAY TOTAL 1 UNIT TO WIN +6.49 UNITS

7:00 Fathers/Red Leggins UNDER 9 Cease/Martinez
7:30 Cardinals/Guardians UNDER 8.5
8:00 Cubs/Astronauts UNDER 8.5 Horton/Walter

Guardians+115/UNDER 8.5 2 WAY PARLAY +3.07 ODDS

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Pale Hose+0.5 -120 FF RL Civale

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I have 13 TOTALS that I like without benefit of the umpire assignments announcements y'all so make sure that you are well stocked to be involved. Umpire assignments usually come out around 5-6 PM

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6:30 Buccos+138 Keller
7:00 Guardians+105 Ortiz

That will in all likelihood do it for my SIDES

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Believe it or not the Bombers are in a bad spot too...

My CRUMBS POD Streamer for tomorrow is

Landen Roupp (Giants) He still has only 19% rostership so the payday is excellent

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I will have my TOTALS together after I get the umpire assignments. As far as SIDES I will have some smaller unit moves throughout the day tomorrow.

Right now the Metropolitans, Giants and Cardinals all are in BAD SPOTS. Just a matter of the injury report and the juices

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7:00 Jays-114 Berrios 3 UNITS
7:00 Blunts+118 Abel 3 UNITS
8:00 Sailors-108 Gilbert 3 UNITS

STRAIGHT AND ALSO 3 WAY FOR +6.91 UNITS

SOLE AND SEPERATE

Snakes-1.5 +115 RL Kelly 2 UNITS

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Hancock came back FLAT after the rain delay-no live bets or stupid shit- let it ride and absorb the loss-plenty of ways to get it back tomorrow boys!

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I will be looking to stake some POSITIONS this evening for tomorrow! Stay locked in

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Let's go

Braves/Metropolitans UNDER 8.5 Holmes/Canning 2 UNITS

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Sailors+100 Hancock
Guardians-123 Bibee
Cardinals+115 Pallante
Rays-124 Baz
Rays/Royals OVER 10 Baz/Lorenzen
Cubs/Cardinals UNDER 9
A's+123 Springs

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Standing firm on my SIDES again tomorrow-and I made a move on this one right now

Astronauts-145 Brown 3 UNITS

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Cubs/Cardinals UNDER 4.5 FF Boyd/Fedde

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8:00 Blunts/Astronauts UNDER 7.5 Wheeler/Gordon 3 UNITS

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Bet OUT of Royals by taking

Rays-132 ML Rasmussen

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SIDES



6:30 Guardians-122 Williams 2 UNITS
6:30 Guardians (Williams) OVER 4.5 K's -116 2 UNITS
7:00 Metropolitans-140 Holmes 2 UNITS
7:30 Royals+109 Wacha 1 UNIT
7:30 Cubs-1.5 +105 Boyd 3 UNITS
7:30 Twinkies-125 Ryan 3 UNITS
8:00 Blunts-1.5 +108 RL Wheeler 2 UNITS

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I am standing on my SIDES today and upping the UNITS for those y'all.

My CRUMBS POD is Edward Cabrera (Fish) today with only 10% rostership. Not saying he will win the game but I just want my 5/3/1/K/W to keep the wins piling up-especially after Arraez gave me my 1.5 BASES OVER