CK's 2025 MLB Thread

[atthehalf]

No moves on the first NBA playoff game this evening-I am however keeping an eye out for game #2

[atthehalf]

Some of the movements are specific only to their book so be advised this isn't Vegas line movement

[atthehalf]

LOL! This is how I get them so there it is!

[atthehalf]

6 Hard Rock Backed UNDERS in the MLB todayAnd yes I am on these as well

PHI/CLE U7.5 (-105): 6% of public $'s The over is widely public & has dropped from 9.5 to 7.5
STL/WSH U8.5 (-105): 8% of public $'s The over is widely public & has dropped from 10.5 to 8.5
CHC/NYM U7.5 (+105): 14% of public $'s The over is widely public & has dropped from 8.5 to 7.5
BOS/KC U8.5 (+110): 16% of public $'s The over is widely public & has dropped from 9 to 8.5
BAL/LAA U9.5 (+100): 35% of public $'s The over is moderately public & has dropped from 10.5 to 9.5
TEX/DET u7.5 (-115): 19% of public $'s The over is widely public & has dropped from 8.5 to 7.5

[atthehalf]

Adding on

Cardinals/Nats UNDER 8.5 +100

[atthehalf]

CRUMBS STREAMER POD O' THE DAY

Tomoyuki Sogano (Orioles)

[atthehalf]

5/9/25

Tigers-1.5 -120 RL Skubal
Giants+105 Hicks
Guardians+100 Williams
Metropolitans-1.5 +130 RL Holmes
Nats-120 ML FF Parker
Snakes+110 Rodriguez

[atthehalf]

How the Wanderers let Bello get out of some of those jams without scoring is beyond comprehension. That was just a luck thing right there

[atthehalf]

Boy I sure hope that the tallying is going to produce a run-off win for me-should know by tomorrow morning. Anyway i chopped it up with my good source again last night and i earned a lesson in market averages. I had heard Billy Walters mention it in the interview with Joe Rogan and I wanted to dg a little deeper off into it and what it means in the MLB marketplace. I think that I am getting the parlay method down with the exception that the round robin theory still escapes me a bit. Anyway during the discussion here is what I picked out to see if I was understanding it correctly. By the end of the conversation I began to get a sense why the super big sides and totals guys pour buckets of money onto the totals more than sides.

I knew that this conversation would be intriguing when it started off with "whoever is pitching is not of consequence if they are not a number 1 starter. Those lines will always be inflated-the jewels are for the games after the number ones in direct correlation to the totals amounts"

Red Leggins/Braves OVER 8
Jays/Halos UNDER 8.5 Bassitt/Soriano
Rays+122 Pepiot
Wanderers+124 Leiter
Orioles/Twinkies UNDER 8.5
Pale Hose/Royals OVER 8

[atthehalf]

I'm bored. let me take something that makes no sense

Rot.#972 Nats+117 Soroka

[atthehalf]

Cubs wheels falling off ruined the evening

It's ok! It's a long season. The real tragedy was the A's leading the entire game only to have the bullpen give it up in the top of the 9th. Now that was collateral damage at it's finest!

[atthehalf]

Those are my run off purchase orders

[atthehalf]

5/7/25

Rot.#978 Bombers-1.5 RL +115 Fried 2 UNITS
Rot.#977 Fathers/Bombers OVER 7.5 -120 1 UNIT
Rot.#959 Red Leggins-113 Greene 2 UNIT
Rot.#953 Giants+126 ML Ray 2 UNITS
Rot.#966 Royals-1.5 -103 RL Wacha 2 UNITS
Rot.#965 Pale Hose/Royals OVER 7.5 -130 1 UNIT
Rot.#973 Astronauts-130 Valdez 1 UNIT
Rot.#952 Cardinals-1.5 +119 RL Gray 2 UNITS
Rot.#951 Buccos/Cardinals OVER 7.5 -110 1 UNIT
Rot.#955 Metropolitans-125 ML Senga 2 UNITS
Rot.#962 Sailors/A's UNDER 4.5 +100 FF Woo/Hoglund 1 UNIT
Rot.#967 Orioles+126 Morton 1 UNIT
Rot.#976 Rays+115 ML Baz 1 UNIT
Rot.#964 Red Sox-122 Houck 1 UNIT

[MisterSack]

Cubs wheels falling off ruined the evening

[atthehalf]

Watching these bullpens do what they do and it all is coming back to me as to why I like FF moves over full game ones. There's not much of a way to sustain good returns when guys are walking the first batter that they face

[atthehalf]

If Dubs are still +6.5 come gametime I am on board

[atthehalf]

For those who like NBA...

Cavs-5.5

[atthehalf]

Oh Lord...

Commish has demanded a 12 team pick runoff for tomorrow with the voting and declared winner on Sunday. $200 entry and for those who don't put it up it will be extracted from their winnings throughout the week. $7200 purse and a crispy half purse of $3600 to the winner with the most units sounds pretty good to me...

I won't be studying long to come up with my 12-that's how you lose horse racing bets. I am going to look for and exploit value the best way that I can and take run lines on my favorites mostly

[atthehalf]

be careful y'all looking for a chicken dinner with the Buccos today and Skenes. Liberator is nice-and if you don't know your arms you may get beat

[atthehalf]

5/6/25

If you watched the Billy Walters interview with Joe Rogan you heard him speak on something I always talk about and that is money management.

Money management in full effect here-don't pay over -135 if you don't have to-it will cost you some wins taking RL's but for the betterment of the operation as a whole it is a must to get the best deals

I am making an honest effort to make the switch from basically intersecting fantasy baseball with conventional sides and totals. Along the way I have learned some good things from confidants at the sportsbook and I am using these tools now

Rot.#924 Rays+109 Rasmussen
Rot.#920 A's-1.5 +165 RL Springs 2 UNITS
Rot.#910 Snakes-108 Gallen
Rot.#925 Fathers-1.5 +155 RL King
Rot.#916 Twins-1.5 +115 2 UNITS
Rot.#932 Nats-110 FF Irvin
Rot.#908 Buccos/Cardinals UNDER 7 -105 Skenes/Liberator
Rot.#906 Cubs-1.5 +155 RL Rea 2 UNITS
Rot.#04 Braves-1.5 -105 RL Sale 2 UNITS
Rot.#914 Royals-1.5 -108 Lugo

4 WAY ML PARLAY ODDS +469

Twins-160
Braves-225
Cubs-145
Royals-230