CK's 2025 MLB Thread

[atthehalf]

For those who like NBA I am on Rockets ML HEAVY and the Heats+7.5 1st half

[stevenash]

You want some juicy tater props?

Load up on KC's power hitters, Texas Rangers' power hitters, and Twins power hitters.
Rangers should rock that crappy lefty JP Sears, I'm looking at Garcia, Langford, Semien, and Jake Burger in particular.

Same goes for the Twins, they face that White Sox mess of a pitching staff.
Buxton, Larnach, and Correa are in play there.

My beloved Royals get in super soft tonight as well.
You can use M. Garcia, Salvator Perez, Bobby Witt Jr., and Vinny Pas all with confidence.

Houston's Y. Alvarez is a solid stand-alone candidate for a ding-dong, too.

Go get 'em champ

[atthehalf]

Explained-I kind of feel like my experiment last season crossing fantasy betting over into conventional sides and totals went well-this season for whatever reason I am having a startling amount of one run losses which are taking away from your potential profits. I am making a heap personally because of my streamers-yet that's not the idea for my following here who I am coming to understand are basically conventional sides and totals bettors. What better way to take care of my following than to pass along sportsbook backed information straight from someone who is working behind the counter.

I am still going to stream-just will be giving out he info much much later on in the day once it is available. Notice how I crossed over my Halos move with the Buccos? That's commitment

[atthehalf]

Don't worry boys-I had a good meeting today

UPDATE STRAIGHT FROM MY COUNTER PERSON AT HARD ROCK

Here's what I am going to make moves on for this evening-going back to the old drawing board and greasing some palms for information from now on in MLB conventional sides and totals


Jays/Houston UNDER 8.5
Jays-110 Francis
Nats+119 Williams
Brews/Giants UNDER 6.5
Cubs-130 Boyd
Buccos+114 Heaney
Sailors+1.5 -160 RL

[atthehalf]

This morning and overnight there was a mad shuffle with guys bidding to draft Festa (Twinkies) who has 5% rostership and his price went through the roof. When the smoke cleared I think he got overpriced for the impulse.

Newcomb AND Hancock BOTH have 1% rostership so there was some competitive open bidding this morning-mostly on Newcomb. I have both of those arms as DNS and Hancock actually as dead last at #30 which is why it is an attractive ideal. I just feel that of the two he actually has the better chance to hang in there for 5 frames. With only 1 AB vs the Sox that was the sway to making him dead last.

Hoping that Matthew Boyd can grind out 5-6 frames against the Dodgers today...

I like Webb later on tonight as well. he's actually getting K's now and it's wonderful. It does look fishy that he is this prohibitive of a favorite over Peralta-makes one want to take the Brews-which is why the Giants seem to be the conventional play

[atthehalf]

TOP TEN STREAMERS


#1 Wheeler (99%)
#2 Webb (98%)
#3 Rodon (85%)
#4 Peralta (96%)
#5 Alcantara (80%)
#6 Singer (59%)
#7 Kochanowicz (1%)
#8 Francis (62%)
#9 Boyd (23%)
#10 Rodriguez (16%)

[atthehalf]

Trying to figure out how to use Kochanowicz in this method and I figured that it was best to go with this

Heaney only K's up 23.2% of the Halos batters and has an ex OBA of .364 which is horrid and the Halos of this season are in the bottom of the league in being K'd up which is also wonderful, Given the amount of one run losses i have taken this MLB season (which is beyond interesting) I am still gonna stick to my guns and go with money management over impulse

Halos-0.5 -115 FF RL Kochanowicz

I am watching the Sailors line with great interest today. I am not sure that the correct side is favored in that one. Sean Newcomb will either K you up or give up a long ball-his flyball rate is awful-add to that the Red Sox strike out the second most in MLB. There's plenty of time before that one starts. I see Sailors and an OVER about to happen so far tho

[atthehalf]

Today is the day. Ortiz only averages 6.5 K's vs Bombers and they are on the verge of being swept-what more could you possibly want

Rot.#961 Bombers-140 Rodon
Rot.#961 Bombers/Guardians OVER 8.5 +100

STRAIGHT AND 2 WAY

[atthehalf]

For added gusto put him on a 10 teamer today

[atthehalf]

CRUMBS POD

Grab some Kochanowicz (Halos) He's only got 1% of rostership and it's a HUGE payday should he succeed with a 5/3/1/K/W

[atthehalf]

4/22/25

Wanderers (Corbin DNS(1%) 17.9% K's vs A's-A's bottom 7 in k's) 3.5 +125 UNDER K's
Cardinals (Pallante DNS (9%) 14.3% K's vs ATL-ATL bottom 7 in k's) UNDER 3.5 K's +130
Astronauts (Blanco#16 (36%) 14.9% K's vs TOR, TOR bottom 7 in K's)UNDER 4.5 K's -130
Buccos (Falter DNS (1%) 16% K's vs Halos-Halos bottom 7 in K's) UNDER 3.5 K's +125
Orioles (Kremer#18 (3%) 4.5% K's vs WAS-WAS bottom 7 in K's) UNDER 4.5 K's -150
Tigers (Flaherty 22% K's vs SD-SD bottom 7 in K's) UNDER 5.5 K's -130
Fathers (Pivetta#6 (85%) 31.6K's vs DET-DET top 7 in K's) OVER 6.5 K's -105
Guardians (Bibee#14 (86%) 30.4% k's vs NYY-NYY top 7 in K's ) OVER 5.5 K's -155

SIDES

Fathers-115 ML FF Pivetta#6 (85%)
Guardians-120 Bibee#14 (86%)
Blunts-0.5 +105 FF RL Sanchez#2 (87%)
A's-0.5 -110 FF RL Bido#22 (5%)
Giants-0.5 +100 FF RL Hicks#11 (13%)

[atthehalf]

I am looking for big profit shares from

Giants (Hicks#11) (13%) Doesn't anyone understand that he is sitting 99 MPH and has had a killer schedule?

A's (Bido#22) (5%) He just throws strikes and yes it can work and I can collect a sweet 95% profit share

Red Leggins (Martinez#9) (20%) This is a clear stream if you can do it


TOP TEN STREAMERS

#1 Braves (Strider) 92%
#2 Blunts (Sanchez) 87%
#3 Twinkies (Ober) 85%
#4 Sailors (Miller) 88%
#5 Cubs (Imanaga) 99%
#6 Fathers (Pivetta) 85%
#7 Royals (Bubic) 74%
#8 Snakes (Pfaadt) 79%
#9 Red Leggins (Martinez) 20%
#10 Halos (Soriano) 34%

[atthehalf]

Damn...Priester and Cannon hand me more one (half run) K's losses. This is insane...

[atthehalf]

My TOP EARNERS for today

Megill (42%)
Meyer (35%)
Fedde (17%)
Priester (2%)
WIlliams (29%)
Cannon (1%)

Translated today can be a high earnings day!

[atthehalf]

And after laying down my TOP TEN I see that a move on Meyer is a must

Rot.#952 Fish (Meyer) OVER 5.5 K's +125

[atthehalf]

My TOP TEN Streamers

#1 Braves (Schwellenbach) 96%
#2 Tigers (Flaherty) 91%
#3 Red Leggins (Lodolo) 64%
#4 Astronauts (Brown) 93%
#5 Blunts (Nola) 94%
#6 Fish (Meyer) 35%
#7 Giants (Ray) 64%
#8 Jays (Gausman) 91
#9 Metropolitans (Megill) 42%
#10 Bombers (Schmidt) 38%

[atthehalf]

4/21/25

My CRUMBS POD Streamers are 18-6 so far this season and I keep picking up or having delivered these huge shares envelopes; meanwhile I am running around .500 for conventional moves with negative units-which is not pleasing to me for your benefit or lack thereof.

With now 26 one run losses it's a double edged sword here..So I must be doing something right. Whatever.

My CRUMBS POD for today is Eric Fedde (Cardinals) He's trying out for Spiderman and the Braves offense hasn't been the best so far. With only 17% rostership he's clearly putting me in line for a big payday.

It's also a double treat because the Cardinals are now a S/O(B) play


Rot.#955 Cardinals/Braves OVER 4.5 -115 FF Fedde/Schwellenbach
Rot.#955 Cardinals+1.5 -145 RL Fedde 2 UNITS
Rot.#959 Pale Hose (Cannon) OVER 4.5 K's -120
Rot.#962 Guardians (Williams) OVER 6 K's -120
Rot.#953 Blunts (Nola) UNDER 5.5 K's +115
Rot.#963 Jays+115 ML FF Gausman
Rot.#964 Astronauts (Brown) UNDER 6 K's -120
Rot.#957 Brews (Priester) OVER 3.5 K's -105

[atthehalf]

Unfortunately any of the SIDES that go down today will be played on AGAIN their next game with an upgrade in UNITS

[atthehalf]

Strange but true-BOTH Sonny and Grant pulled off the money moves with over 5 frames and 3/1/K/W so a wonderful return on that one game alone-Sonny not so much, but Grant-heaps!

Irvin already has his K's through 5 frames. So the conventional sides aren't so hot but the streaming is fab

[atthehalf]

Roupp keeps getting these 90% shares. I am lovin it!

My TOP TEN Streamers are

#1 Tigers (Skubal) 99%
#2 Dodgers (Glasnow) 96%
#3 Bombers (Fried) 98%
#4 Fathers (Cease) 98%
#5 Twinkies (Ryan) 94%
#6 Cardinals (Gray) 95%
#7 Astronauts (Valdez) 97%
#8 Blunts (Luzardo) 87%
#9 Sailors (Castillo) 96%
#10 Metropolitans (Holmes) 19%

Ok so for today my CRUMBS STREAMER POD is with Metropolitans Grant Holmes#10 (19%) with that crisp 81% return. It looks as if i am fading myself because trust me-I am on Sonny Gray in this spot-but truth be told all that I am after with him is my 5 frames and 3/1/K/W. It's a great matchup and we're all witness to The Real Estate Broker having a longer leash today

So with that there are 4 of my studs facing one another in events. I placed them together in a neat 2 WAY PARLAY (+159) with ALTERNATE ODDS from Hard Rock


Fathers /Astronauts UNDER 4.5 -150 Cease#4/Valdez#7
Cardinals/Metropolitans UNDER 4.5 -180 Gray#6/Holmes#10

[Monchito]

Ny Mets ml
Boston Red Sox ml
Philadelphia Phillies ml
Ny Yankees ml
Detroit Tigers ml
Los Angeles Dodgers ml
San Diego Padres ml

[atthehalf]

4/20/25

I am letting the quirky systems work for me today and added in these jewels

(WAS) Irvin K's up 32.8 Rox-Rox 2nd worst in K's this season
(LAA) Kikuchi K's up 29.2% of Giants faced-Giants 3 worst in K's this year




Rot.#903 Cardinals+120 Gray 2 UNITS (Sweep w/shutout)
Rot.#920 Buccos-115 ML Keller 2 UNITS (Sweep w/shutout)
Rot.#905 Snakes+110 Kelly 2 UNITS (sweep w/shutout)
Rot.#921 Twinkies+100 Ryan#5 (94%) 1 UNIT (Sweep)
Rot.#929 Fathers+110 ML Cease#4 (98%) 1 UNIT (Sweep)
Rot.#907 Nats (Irvin#22 (6%) OVER 5.5 K's +120 1 UNIT
Rot.#928 Halos (Kikuchi#16 (72%) OVER 6.5 K's +102 1 UNIT

[atthehalf]

Best game of the day hands down-Sailors/Jays. I can't stop peeking at it as i watch the Pistons/Knicks game

[atthehalf]

Dang-another one run loss with the Sailors/Jays OVER! Egads!

[atthehalf]

Add on

Rot.#979 Giants-130 ML FF Roupp

[atthehalf]

4/19/25


Not much in the way of having to look far for the CRUMBS POD. I drafted him before the season-I keep rolling with him-then take into consideration that he has only 10% rostership. I keep getting these huge paydays with this guy; and of course I don't come onto my thread bragging about it

Grab some

Giants (Landen Roupp#9 (10%)) CRUMBS POD Streamer

OK now for the rest of my conventional moves-and yes it's only a matter of time before the hotness happens folks.

Shane Baz has some bad #'s vs the Bombers and it's ok. With only 18.2% K's vs the Bombers lineup you already know that the ball will be in play a lot. Why is this important? Steinbrenner Stadium is a cookie cutter field that is the same as Yankee Stadium. Maybe a cheap win can be had with Carrasco should the Bombers score enough runs? I can't back him as a FF because it's anyone's guess as to what will happen when he toes the rubber. The OVER FULL GAME looks excellent tho!

I can't stop backing Gallen can I?

Rot.#953 Snakes-120 FF ML Gallen#11 (93%) 2 UNITS

Rot.#966 Rays (Baz#10 (77%) UNDER 6.5 K's -115
Rot.#965 Bombers/Rays OVER 9 +105

Kodai Senga is back to 96 MPH and has a wide arsenal to back it

Rot.#958 Metropolitans-0.5 -130 FF RL Senga#7 (88%)

Michael King-aces gonna ace

Rot.#973 Fathers-130 FF ML King#4 (98%)

I elected to use Roupp this way-Hendricks has some sweet numbers vs Giants and this thing may be a tie in a low scoring FF

Rot.#980 Giants/Halos UNDER 4.5 +105 FF Roupp#9 (10%)/Hendricks#19 (3%)

Lugo-he's not leaving your lineup and it;s the Tigers

Rot.#959 Royals-105 ML FF Lugo#8 (77%)

This will happen-both have shitty numbers vs the other teams hitters

Rot.#961 Sailors/Jays OVER 4.5 -105 FF Gilbert#3 (99%)/Berrios#15 (66%)

[atthehalf]

Damn...Ginn was pulled with 4 2/3rds frames. I hate it when coaches do that...

[atthehalf]

Damn...here we go-A's with 7 hits and the Brews with 3....but they are behind 0-2 dammit! Yikes!

however as far as I am concerned roster wise JT Ginn with 4 frames and 6 K's and 1 walk. Just get through this frame and get the hell out of the game bay-bee! I could use a 99% payout on a DNS!

[atthehalf]

Wind is blowing OUT at Wrigley Field today-you know what to do

Snakes/Cubs OVER 11 -115

[atthehalf]

Ordinarily as most readers know-since two of the top ten are facing one another I usually would elect to take the UNDER FF for those (Alcantara/Wheeler 3.5 +105 and Rodon/Rasmussen 4.5 -105). I just may end up going with those as the day progresses

[atthehalf]

Time to introduce my TOP TEN Streamers again

#1 Blunts (Wheeler 99%)
#2 Royals (Ragans 99%)
#3 Dodgers (Yamamoto 99%)
#4 Giants (Webb 98%)
#5 Sailors (Woo 87%)
#6 Bombers (Rodon 84%)
#7 Wanderers (DeGrom 93%)
#8 Brews (Peralta 96%)
#9 Fish (Alcantara 86%)
#10 Rays (Rasmussen 55%)

[atthehalf]

4/18/25

Firstly David Peterson-the weather is normal and the velocity is up and he gets the Cardinals-ok so looking inside of the numbers he hasn't impressed me. Exit velocity 92.2 on average; hard hit rate 50%; 11.3 walks average per nine innings. It's true that he doesn't have much history vs the Cardinals-and that may work to his advantage early-but not the second time through the order. Mikolas would be a stud if all that he had to do was face the Metropolitans. Plus the CRUMBS for this guy-oh my goodness! 98%

Rot.#905 Cardinals+145 Mikolas#25 (2%)

It's Woo Day-we should all be so thankful. Aces gonna ace y'all. Not much in the way of a return however

Rot.#913 Sailors-120 FF ML Woo#5 (87%)

Corbin Burnes-every imaginable issue is present for him after the big contract. He's struggling to make his best pitch stellar again. Exit velocity is 93.9 on average; hard hit 54.5%; 13% walks per nine frames. Hmm- I will take my chances with Rea who has another one of those 1% rostership rates. And he isn't a bad arm either

Rot.#902 Cubs+103 Rea#29 (1%)

Ragans-aces gonna ace-next. The game ML is -136 and the FF ML is -155-what does that tell you?

Rot.#909 Royals-0.5 -105 FF RL Ragans#2 (99%)

Kyle Hart is getting love because he is playing for the Fathers and they are winning. His changeup and frisbee aren't what I want it to be to back him and he will get a ton of right handed batters today against the Astronauts. Go the other way with Gusto and the 98% share

Rot.#926 Astronauts-135 Gusto#28 (2%)

UPSET SPECIAL

I know that Freddy Peralta is the MAN! I have him ranked at #8 (96% of rosters y'all) and there's no denying that he is a master at his craft. The problem is that against the A's he has a 1.333 OPS and .333 average. Meanwhile JT Ginn is getting 1% rostership and I am hunting for CRUMBS moreso than conventional wins. Ginn has added more drop to his sinker and also velocity in his return to the rotation. Today he is pitching in a pitcher friendly park as well. The A;s also are in the bottom 5 in the league at striking out-which means that the ball will be in play A LOT!

Rot.#927 A's+140 Ginn#16 (1%)

Ortiz#15 vs Mlodzinski#30 DNS (DEAD LAST)? What are you serious?

Guardians/Buccos OVER 9

The Bombers are striking out in big numbers and are currently #8 with 174 K's (WOWZERS!). Here to save the day is Drew Rasmussen with a crispy 27.8% K's.

Rot.#912 Rays (Rasmussen#10) OVER 5.5 K's -105

[atthehalf]

Bombers-105 Warren

This is actually a HOME game for the Bombers too

[atthehalf]

Rot.#967 Halos/Wanderers OVER 9.5 +100

[atthehalf]

It's official. I have already made my last moves with the Rox, Fish and the Pale Hose as sides for this entire season regardless of how good they look on paper. They are money burners

I have to make moves with Noah Schultz when he comes up tho-but it will be on something other than the side