CK's 2025 MLB Thread

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CRUMBS STREAMER POD RECORD 34-14

Alright-today it's basically who isn't starting deGrom and Brown-after that it's slim pickins! Sugano has shown stellar command-but not enough K's. So I am forced to dig deep into my bag of tricks to come up with a guy who can give me the golden 5/3/1/K/W ratio.
The Red Leggins are averaging AVERAGING 9 K's per game-so Bryce Wilson (Pale Hose) it is. He has a 3.24 WRA on the highway and his xwOBA is set at .322 which isn't that great-but he does average 18.8 K's vs the Red Leggins lineup and an ERA of .222 and an 88.7% exit velocity.

CRUMBS POD

Bryce Wilson (Pale Hose)

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Welp-can't say that I didn't tell y'all that Weathers is back and he looked fantastic!

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Damn.... I got Aaron Judged in the 8th frame! Dude is so awesome. He blasted the Sailors away

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El Paso NBA

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Ok here are my TOTALS (Already have Red Sox/Tigers UNDER 7.5)

Buccos/Metropolitans OVER 8 -110
Nats/Braves OVER 9 -115
Rox/Wanderers OVER 9 -109

That's it for MLB for today-lemme sniff out the NBA

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Taillon allowed NINE hits and 5 earned in his last start vs the Metropolitans-so he is in bad form. From the research the Cubs are 0-8 straight up when he takes the mound following a bad quality start.

Let's start whittling away at the big ML parlay starting now with this and continue on selectively chipping

Fish+0.5 -105 FF RL Weathers

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Moving on

7:00 Rot.#907 Nats+145 Parker 2 UNITS
6:00 Rot.#934 Cardinals+125 Gray 2 UNITS

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Ryan Weathers (Fish) He's back! And throwing hard in his rehab starts! And it's the Cubs in a fresh off the injured list start. Stash him on the IL, then leave him there for today. We'll assess what to do after his outing tonight.

It's still looking like a good spot to fade the ML parlay and grab some Fish+1.5 tonight-from what I know about James Taillon he's not the best at K's. It's the Marlins and despite Taillon's lack of strikeouts, he could return one per inning. I would leave him off of my squads altogether

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Damn..so as vast as my knowledge of arms is I can't find much on him other than he missed some time in 2024 with a stress reaction in his right shoulder. Let's stand down on this-I think that this may be the game when Brandon Hyde figures out that he may need to start going the route of mixing and matching his pitching staff with complete bullpen games to save his job

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Hold on for a minute-I need to research Chayse McDermott of the Orioles-need to see if his skill set matches up with the Twinkies batters in game 2

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Oh forgot one

Brews+120 Henderson

Only if you know your arms would you take this move. I have Gavin trending DOWN and actually I have Henderson ranked above him so that tells you what kind of 4 seamer he has. he throws it 53% of the time and his changeup 40% with an occasional cutter and slider. Good stuff boys and girls

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Just an FYI

I will be on the Twinkies for BOTH games today vs the Orioles-just a matter of what number I end up getting

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STRAIGHTS

Twinkies+100 Oder Game 1 2 UNITS
Sailors+100 Castillo 2 UNITS

I will have more for the evening slots-but get on these now because of the value involved

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6:30 Rot.#916 Red Sox/Tigers UNDER 7.5 -125 Dobbins/Skubal

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Twins+100 (Game 1)
Sailors+100

2 WAY +300 ODDS

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ML PARLAY +1685

Metropolitans-275
Cubs-225
Tigers-225
Dodgers-275
Fathers-190
Blunts-185
Red Leggins-230
Wanderers-275

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I just grabbed some more A's

A's+145 FF ML

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Buying back Rays FF with

Jays-0.5 +100 FF RL

Bad movement on this one

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The A's are an incredible 12-0 in road games following a game where they have given up 7 or more runs. they already have a pitching edge this evening vs the Dodgers-and no one is betting them-my boys said that he hasn't taken not one bet on them today so far, making this the game that they are rooting the hardest for

Rot.#979 A's-170 Springs

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Cardinals/Blunts POSTPONED
Twinkies/Orioles POSTPONED

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5/13/25

SIDES

Rot.#963 Red Sox-110 ML FF Bello
Rot.#965 Rays+100 FF ML Baz
Rot.#978 Fathers-1.5 -108 Cease

TOTALS

Rot.#961 Orioles/Twinkies OVER 9 -117 Povich/Woods Richardson
Rot.#979 A's/Dodgers OVER 9 Springs/Knack
Rot.#971 Brews/Guardians OVER 9 Priester/Allen
Rot.#970 Bombers/Sailors UNDER 75 -117 Fried/Woo
Rot.#952 Cardinals/Blunts UNDER 8 Gray/Luzardo
Rot.#960 Snakes/Giants UNDER 7.5 Pfaadt/Ray

EXOTICS-This will happen-the Halos are second in MLB in K's at 9.8 K's per game

Fathers (Cease) OVER 7.5 K's -130

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I am actually going to be on one side in particular and some FF totals today as some of my top 10's are facing one another and some of my DNS are also facing one another. Give me a few hours-the runner is a little behind this morning

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Some really bad luck yesterday...

Metropolitans-275
Braves-240
Cubs-260
Wanderers-240

4 WAY ML PARLAY +279 ODDS

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Goddammit! They left Rea in and he got a walk! Final line 6 2/3rds frames 4 K's and 2 walks. I hate their manager right about now

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OMG! Please get Rea out of here NOW! 6 frames 4 K's and 1 BB. I just need for him to leave and go away so that I can get that 100% share split

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NBA

Knicks+3.5 1st half 2 UNITS

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Roupp dropped me to 34-12 for CRUMBS PODs. No sweat

Today's CRUMBS POD is your favorite and mine

Colin Rea (0%) Welp this is obviously a cash grab and I stand to make more off of this one to make a profit if no other move were to win. With 0% ownership it's just me and the Commish splitting the winnings folks and that is what you want. There is obviously belief that he won't make the 5/3/1/K/W but it's the Fish and he does enough to make this work. If you have a 10 teamer by all means feel free to include him as your top for today and crush your competition who will obviously have Paul Skenes and Max Fried in those spots

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Alright-today just the 4 WAY ML parlay

Blunts-180
Cubs-275
Wanderers-275
Fathers-220

+321 ODDS

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Guardians+180 ML LIVE BET

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Stay ready y'all

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Remember I am going to make a 2nd half MLB move at the conclusion of the top half of the 5th frame-right before the Guardians bat in the bottom of the frame

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Each and every last game in the Cavs/Pacers matchup has gone OVER. Those defensive assignments will tighten up and make for a golden under

Cavs/Pacers UNDER 231.5 2 UNITS

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The Bombers have been -152 on average for both games against the Athletics and are only -140 today. The A's are in my underdog radar as a result

A's+120 Severino

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The Halos are in the +120 to +140 home underdog zone and even have a decent sized margin-however that 25th ranked bullpen gives me pause-so I went with them FF RL instead. The Guardians are right there in the pocket and what's more that game is on ESPN late night tweek! That one has "trap game" written all over it. I mean really-it's too easy to take the Blunts. However joes will ignore that they are a .500 road team and the Guardians are 12-6 at home.

As far as xwOBA is concerned Wheeler .385 and Ortiz .315 check for the Guardians there. Ortiz has a lot of whiff potential and his command seems to go up only when facing top tier teams. Wheeler is going to go 7 frames and only give up 2 runs. It's just what it is. The Blunts bullpen is ranked #22 and the Guardians #3. Check for the Guardians there again. There's the gold. A mid game live move on the Guardians is not a bad prospect as long as they are keeping it close.

At the time of me writing this 83% of the money is on the Blunts. No doubt who the books are rooting for. I was told this a few hours ago by my confidant

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Although I absolutely LOVE Landen Ropp in this spot I am going to sit this one out simply because the Twinkies are a different team with Royce in that lineup and it's moving day-which of course means swinging for the fences