CK's 2025 MLB Thread

[atthehalf]

Rob Zastryzny is in for the Brews instead of Chad Patrick which of course means that this is effectively going to be a full bullpen game for the Brews. He has previously played in MLB for the Chicago Cubs, New York Mets, Los Angeles Angels, and Pittsburgh Pirates. Expect no more than 1-2 frames from him-I am personally not going to do an emergency draft for him; and instead pick up a bat for Chad Patrick. Some books will let you get your money back for a total on a pitch change like Hard Rock-so be sure to notify them and see what happens. The Blunts absolutely blast left handed pitching so this move makes no sense. Don't you just hate managerial decisions like that?

[atthehalf]

If one wanted to align themselves with the books today-look no further than taking the under as much as humanly possible. There is only ONE public UNDER and that the Tigers/Royals UNDER 7 which went up to 7.5 (wink wink)

[atthehalf]

After yesterday's good payday with Kyle Harrison-I am rolling with (Orioles) Dean Kremer who actually has only 3% rostership

[atthehalf]

No fear

5/31/25

Twinkies-110 Ober
Bombers/Dodgers UNDER 9.5 Warren/Knack
Red Sox/Braves UNDER 8.5 +100 Buehler/Schwellenbach
Cardinals/Wanderers UNDER 7.5 +100 Gray/Corbin
Pale Hose/Orioles UNDER 9.5 -130 Martin/Kremer
Red Leggins/Cubs UNDER 7.5 -20 Lodolo/Pomeranz
Brews/Blunts UNDER 8.5 -120 Patrick/Luzardo
Rays/Astronauts UNDER 8.5 -120 Littell/Gordon
Giants/Fish UNDER 7.5 -110 Ray/Cabrera
Twinkies/Sailors UNDER 7.5 -130 Ober/Miller
Blunts-1.5 +105 RL Luzardo
Cardinals-145 Gray


Orioles-0.5 -135 FF RL Kremer
Rays-105 FF ML Littell
Cardinals-0.5 -110 ML FF Gray
Twins-115 ML FF Ober
Red Sox+0.5 +100 FF RL Buehler

[atthehalf]

Alright-grab some

Tigers/Royals UNDER 8.5 Mize/Lugo

[atthehalf]

Unloading on a TOTAL in a few minutes that the Hard Rock needs BAD. They raised the price on it too. Starts at 8

[atthehalf]

The RARE PARLAY that won't hit LOL!

Astronauts-1.5 +130 RL
Twins+120 ML
Giants-1.5 +100 RL
Guardians-1.5 +140 RL
Bombers-1.5 +130 RL
Brews+100 ML

6 WAY +11072

[atthehalf]

Damn...don't you just love it when the OVER FF comes in the top half of the 6th frame? Wow

[atthehalf]

Cubs are a crisp 15-8-4 for the OVER FF and also are #2 vs lefties with an OPS of (get this) .823.

Welp

Red Leggins/Cubs OVER 5.5 +110 FF Abbott/Rea

[atthehalf]

I know that Priester got subbed out for DL Hall-but I still have Tijuan ranked dead last! I mean I won't win every move -that's for sure-however I have to stand by my principles when it comes to my knowledge of arms for this sport

[atthehalf]

CRUMBS POD IS Kyle Harrison (Giants)

Cubs-1.5 +120 RL Rea

Bombers-0.5 -108 FF RL Fried
Bombers/Dodgers OVER 4.5 -126 FF Fried/Gonsolin
Bombers-130 ML Fried 2 UNITS

Giants-1.5 -105 RL Harrison 2 UNITS
Giants/Fish OVER 8.5 Harrison/Quantrill

Cardinals-130 ML Liberator

Brews+125 Hall 2 UNITS
Guardians-1.5 +142 RL Ortiz

Astronauts-1.5 +140 RL Valdez

Twins+0.5 -113 FF RL Matthews
Fathers-0.5 -121 FF RL Pivetta
Tigers-122 FF ML Mize
A's+0.5 -110 FF RL Springs
Red Sox+0.5 -115 FF RL Giolito
Cardinals/Wanderers UNDER 4.5 +105 FF Liberator/Lieter
Rox/Metropolitans UNDER 4.5 -120 FF Freeman/Peterson
Brews/Blunts UNDER 4.5 +110 FF Hall/Walker
A's/Jays UNDER 4.5 -115 FF Springs/Bassitt

[atthehalf]

The Bombers are going to scalp the Dodgers in the first game-I have Fried as my #1 ranked and Gonsolin as a DNS...

[atthehalf]

Just looking ahead-I have Tijuan Walker (Blunts) ranked dead last on the board for tomorrow-look for me to back Priester and the Brews HEAVILY. He has no business being a favored arm.

My CRUMBS POD for tomorrow will be Kyle Harrison (Giants). A LHP against the Marlins is a gift. I'm tossing him out there, even if he was under 60 pitches last time out. This should help get the Giants out of their current losing streak. This could get very ugly very fast as the Fish try to get used to the EST again after a long PST trip with short rest

Seth Lugo may still be recovering from his stint on the injured list-facing Casey Mize may not be the best solution and let's face it-the Tigers are hot as fish grease

[atthehalf]

This is some ignorant stat....

Chris Sale has faced 101 Blunts batters-he has K'd up 40 of them. Let that sink in for a minute. That's ridiculous

[atthehalf]

Ok so

Braves-110 Sale 2 UNITS

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I m really excited for Friday-there are a lot of really good arms out there facing one another! And of course Colin Rea is facing the Red Leggins with his low rostership!

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The Sailors are 2nd in K's vs lefties. Gore is #1 in K's with 93 on the season-so

Nats (Gore) OVER 7.5 K's -115

[atthehalf]

My CRUMBS POD is Jacob Lopez (A's) with 0% rostership.

Nats-109 Gore 2 UNITS
Rays-105 Baz
A's/Jays UNDER 4.5 -105 FF Lopez/Berrios
A's+0.5 -115 FF ML Lopez
A's/Jays UNDER 8.5 -120 Lopez/Berrios

[atthehalf]

I hate the Giants manager right about now-pulling Roupp after 4 frames-the 4 runs weren't on him-he only had 1 earned and 7 k's and 2 walks...what a piss off

[atthehalf]

The Fathers starting pitching is not good right now!

[atthehalf]

Not that making a move against Wheeler is the wisest decision-the books need Smith Sharver to show out today BAD. Here's what else the Hard Rock are backing

Fish+130
Jays+114
Orioles-120
Braves+130

[atthehalf]

Roupp!!!! Bringing home the bacon y'all!

[atthehalf]

Damn-someone hit my message box and asked me why I liked the Orioles RL. I have this thing about teams with worse records being favored over teams that are way above .500-this is one of those situations-so i took the RL.

Listen folks I have no fear when it comes to this thing of ours. I have bought fully into the theory that each and every advantage must be exploited. As Billy Walters put it-when you look at the betting board in a casino there isn't just one singular bet offered. There are hundreds. So the books are utilizing hundreds of ways to make a profit with the objective to extract vigorous and high earnings from bettors on the wrong side-each and every offering is meant to do that-so he mirrored what the books are doing. Very good book; very informative. I mean so what happens if I am rolling around .500 and then suddenly have 2-3 enormous days in a row and then cash out a huge profit? So in his mind that type of outcome is much better than stocks and bonds

[atthehalf]

5/28/25


Orioles-1.5 +165 RL Povich
Red Leggins/KC UNDER 7.5 -105 Greene/Cameron
Braves/Blunts UNDER 7.5 -105 Smith-Sharver/Wheeler
Giants-104 Roupp
Giants/Tigers UNDER 8 Roupp/Jobe
Jays/Wanderers UNDER 8 Lauer/Mahle
Twins/Rays UNDER 8 Lopez/Rasmussen


FIRST FIVES

Fathers-0.5 -103 RL FF Hart
Twinkies+102 ML FF Lopez
Wanderers-0.5 -114 RL FF Mahle
Athletics+105 ML FF Severino
Twinkies/Rays UNDER 4.5 FF -135 Lopez/Rasmussen
Jays/Wanderers UNDER 4.5 -120 FF Lauer/Mahle
A's/Astronauts UNDER 4.5 -120 FF Severino/McCullers
Pale Hose/Metropolitans UNDER 4.5 -130 FF Smith/Canning
Red Leggins/Royals UNDER 3.5 -105 FF Greene/Cameron

[atthehalf]

Noah Cameron is going for the Royals also tomorrow and with only 23% rostership I'm certainly on him for those 5 frames. Now that he has a few starts under his belt, it's time to waltz down the "Reds Carpet". I hope he's still at 92 mph, he's far better there than the 90 mph earlier this year.

[atthehalf]

Ok so for HUMP DAY

Giants (Landen Roupp) Well I mean hey...I drafted him and he has given me some huge paydays. The Tigers aren't the ideal matchup and Roupp is still ironing out the kinks. Hopefully the changeup and cutter take another step forward. With only 12% rostership he's the one. Yes he is

[atthehalf]

Ok boys-I grabbed some more POSITIONS which would make some of these into 2 UNITS total

Braves-1.5 +140 RL Strider 1 MORE UNIT
Guardians+110 Bibee 1 MORE UNIT
Cardinals-1.5 +135 RL Pallante 1 UNIT (ALREADY HAVEW THEM FOR FF ML)
Royals-1.5 +170 RL Lynch IV 1 UNIT
Jays+122 Francis 1 UNIT

The rest of the mistakes I will just absorb and move on to tomorrow

[teecee]

Thanks, for posting, Champ. Good luck.

[atthehalf]

The Action Network tidied up my record to

277-271-16 +10.96 UNITS

[atthehalf]

I feel great-with Ryan Weathers giving me a substantial payday with 5 2/3rds with 6 K's and 3 walks.

And for you guys I even picked up +3.59 UNITS to move to a crispy 276-271-16 +9.96 UNITS as I keep on plugging away at betting like the book. I still get the information from my good source; and I am combining it with the arms that I like

Building up the bankroll on Tuesday. It's kind of rare that I run into a schedule full of this many holes; filled with profound good betting situations. So if you are a broke bettor; then break out your calculator and make your moves with smaller units. I use excellent money management so trust me-although my record is around .500 like everyone else's I refuse to spend over -145 for any move the entire season

I decided to go full Billy Walters and like a straight shooter make moves on any and all advantages that I see-making my moves before money pushing the numbers around (movement).

My CRUMBS POD for Tuesday is Cade Horton (Cubs). I mean I drafted him so I am going to keep using him. Having him on only 13% rostership is wonderful and should give me an excellent return should he get my 5/3/1/K/W




Braves+100 Strider
Pale Hose/Metropolitans UNDER 8.5 Cannon/Megill
Jays/Wanderers UNDER 8 Francis/Eovaldi
A's+165 Sears Sears
Twinkies-120 Ryan
Fathers-1.5 +115 Kolek
Wanderers-1.5 +130 Eovaldi
Metropolitans-1.5 -120 Megill
Guardians+115 Bibee 2 UNITS
Brews-120 Civale 2 UNITS
Giants-120 Webb
Nationals+125 Parker


FIRST FIVE ACTION

Fathers-0.5 -125 RL FF Kolek
Twinkies-0.5 RL FF Ryan
Wanderers-0.5 -120 RL FF Eovaldi
Athletics+0.5 +115 RL FF Sears
Cardinals-115 ML FF Pallante
Metropolitans-0.5 FF Megill
Twinkies/Rays UNDER FF Ryan/Bradley
Jays/Wanderers UNDER 4.5 -135 FF Francis/Eovaldi
A's/Astronauts UNDER 4.5 -135 FF Sears/Brown
Pale Hose/Metropolitans UNDER 4.5 -125 FF Cannon/Megill
Red Leggins/Royals UNDER 4.5 -110 FF Singer/Lynch IV

[atthehalf]

My bad y'all. I didn't come back and announce that I passed on the Cardinals SIDE!

[atthehalf]

Just an idle thought-I don't think that I have ever seen as many NBA playoff games in one season that have teams down by 20 eventually end up winning. These playoffs are absurd

[atthehalf]

Ah there it is-Charlie Morton's playing stickball today. Something is fishy about this game. Morton has stellar-I mean STELLAR numbers vs the Cardinals lineup, and Fedde has a .040 AVG against the Orioles

Cardinals/Orioles UNDER 9.5 Fedde/Morton

[atthehalf]

Pale Hose/Metropolitans UNDER 4.5 -105 FF Houser/Holmes

[atthehalf]

Still waiting it out to see what happens with Cardinals line