CK's 2025 MLB Thread

[matt711]

Unders today!

[atthehalf]

Not my day yesterday it seems! The public won big on Saturday so I went down in flames. Gimme a bit. Got some more looking over numbers to do

[atthehalf]

Don't get to worrying boys. There are lots more underdogs to go. The books are not doing so well with all of these public faves winning so far-but it's long day

[atthehalf]

Patrick Corbin turned back into Patrick Corbin here. Well I can smell the money burning on that one really quick!

[atthehalf]

Getting dirty 101

Buccos+178 1 UNIT
Wanderers+137 3 UNITS
Nats+119 3 UNITS
Fish+151 2 UNITS
Orioles+118 3 UNITS
Fathers+108 3 UNITS
Cardinals+134 3 UNITS
Pale Hose+122 2 UNITS
Twinkies-110 2 UNITS
Rox+143 2 UNITS
A's-120 2 UNITS
Guardians-111 Cecconi 3 UNITS

[atthehalf]

Check back around 1 or so for my +money underdogs y'all

[atthehalf]

I'm going to the dark side again today boys. Guys were blasting away on the Snakes and Astronauts yesterday and losing their shirts. I can see light at the end of the tunnel.

For today my CRUMBS POD Streamer is Zebby Matthews with only 12% rostership which of course makes for a sweet payday. I'm a bit shocked he's under 15% rostered. What, y'all don't like a young arm with whiffability, a 96/97 mph four-seamer, and a quintet of pitches? As far as the side is concerned on that one-sure would be nice if Royce would be Royce again and give the twinkies some pop. I may end up taking them today in my hunt for + money

[atthehalf]

Gonna absorb the loss with the Sailors...no sweat-at least it won't cost me any vigorous

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Dang-looks like I will probably have some very small chalk to eat tomorrow for the finale...you already know I ain't going over -135 tho

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Dudes are just blasting away on favorites today. A lot of them are on the Snakes obviously. Should the Rox find a way to win that one it would wound a multitude of challengers

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Oh that one hurt some of the guys higher in the rankings than me. No one had the Buccos

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Damn...you can just feel the Buccos bullpen is gonna give it up here in the late frames :/

[atthehalf]

Alright yall-here's the rest. I am going for the crown!

ALL 2 UNITS

Buccos+164
Pale Hose+150
Red Leggins+121
Twinkies+114
A's+102
Rox+167

[atthehalf]

Nats+158 2 UNITS
Sailors+102 3 UNITS
Fish+138 3 UNITS
Orioles +186 2 UNITS
Fathers+149 3 UNITS
Rays+108 3 UNITS

Probably more later

[atthehalf]

No one is going to like what I am planning on making moves on today. It's dirty. I have to somehow find a way to come up with a way to make up an 9 UNIT deficit to win this challenge.

[atthehalf]

I am tempted to take all of the inner division dogs today as they know the favored arms better than any other team since they face them all of the time. I gotta do something dramatic today. I squeezed my way up to 7th! If I should choose to go that route hopefully the Red Leggins could outlast Misiorowski who God only knows if he will be allowed to go 5 frames. I still have him at my player discount price because I picked him up before he made it to the bigs. But when he only goes 4 frames it nullifies his extremely good K's %

My CRUMBS POD is your favorite and mine-Colin Rea (Cubs) with only 16% rostership.

I will be back later on to post the + money moves that I make

[atthehalf]

I know that if the Tigers lose this game today vs the Twinkies that the top tier guys in the challenge are going to continue to tumble

[atthehalf]

Boy some of these guys in the challenge are taking some HUGE losses betting these big favorites-meanwhile I am taking the biggest of underdogs . I may have to stick to making moves on large underdogs the rest of the way and make less totals moves also. Some really good totals numbers are being presented only for joes blindly betting the over to cash. It's weird. Or runner told me a few mornings ago that the books are taking some sizeable public losses on totals recently-and that explains that

[atthehalf]

Damn yet another one run loss with the Cubs.. and they had more hits than the Jays..

[atthehalf]

Gotta have a good day to set up tomorrow! I just found out that all of these big underdogs that I have been winning are games where the guys were throwing down on the other side with those -170's etc and so my positioning in the challenge is at 11th place. Two good days of big plus money dog wins may do the trick!

[atthehalf]

Cubs-120 2 UNITS

[atthehalf]

Twinkies/Tigers UNDER 7.5
Fish/Guardians UNDER 7.5

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All I know is if the Cubs are FAVORED come game time I am all in on them

[atthehalf]

Nats+162
Braves+162
Twinkies+170

Not for the scary

[atthehalf]

Welp for starters

Orioles+110 Sugano

[atthehalf]

Bailey Ober is now pitching without any soreness again. Hmmm. I am seriously thinking about taking the Twinkies today against the entire world

[atthehalf]

Wow! Everything was there for the Storm-the line movement, the motivation, the situation and the familiarity cluse and they still went down in flames...

Anyway on to today. Because I am forced to deliver a streamer in the league that I am in I went with

Tomoyuki Sugano (Orioles) Understandably he has a 13% rostership-but you only have to be good for one day and the Sailors do have some issues handling splitters/ He will give me the 5 frames-the only wonder here is if he will give me a 3/1 K/W ratio as he is NOT a K pitcher by any stretch of the imagination. McGreevy only gave me 2 K's yesterday and I was besides myself

[atthehalf]

Storm have lost 5 in a row so the MOTIVATION is there. the Dream have won 5 in a row including a win over the Mercury as a underdog in their last game. This is also their final game of the road trip and also third time zone switch-and they have been on this road trip for 5 days; 6 if you include tonight. So you have a team with lots of time zone changes facing a team that is beyond hungry for a win. A typical HOME-3.5 in basketball wins by an average of +7.96 points and has a winning percentage of 84%. So naturally I put a lot of consideration on this one and I put a LOT of money on this one basically rolling over the ton of money earned from the Valkyries

[atthehalf]

You can do the Storm-3.5 also-cost not a factor

[atthehalf]

WNBA

Storm-145 ML 10 UNITS

[atthehalf]

BET OUT OF RAYS

Take

A's+120

[atthehalf]

Damn the under is toast in Nats/Royals LOL!

[atthehalf]

YES. The Tigers are going with Troy over Montero and I'm excited to watch him have a ball. They said he'd be getting "the bulk", which could mean five innings or someone else acts as the opener (despite saying he's the "starter"). Either way, think of him like a Zebby type against a poor offense. The Tigers activated Sawyer Gipson-Longtoday, and it's safe to wager we'll see him pitch in this one behind Melton. I'd normally say keep him on the IL, but SGL could vulture a W in this one...the pale Hose have been known to give up a lead late with their awful bullpen (it's the Nats bullpen on steroids)

Still and all stay away from the uncertainty of him not getting the full 5 frames in and just stash him until further notice

[atthehalf]

Those Halos CRUMBS sure look good-but I am gonna chill.

Anyway a reader asked me where are the CRUMBS PODS-Truth is I have been so consumed with finding underdogs that I simply forgot to list my CRUMBS PODS the last few days.

Today

Michael McGreevy (Cardinals) only 10% rostership-what's not to like? A 90% share dispersal for me and probably the Commish? I will take that every time. If Mikolas can handle the Rox then this guy can because he has better stuff. All I want is my 5/3/1/K/W

[atthehalf]

Adding on some more confusion-both for 2 UNITS-only one of them needs to win to create a +

Nats+150 Irvin
Braves+174 Carrasco