CK's 2025 MLB Thread

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As far as NFL is concerned I may or may not do a preseason game

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No CRUBS POD Streamer-I already got a bat going for today

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Only one move today-Red Leggins+145 3 UNITS

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Damn..joes are winning with the OVERS I see

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I am entering a challenge from this Friday to next Friday within our group with only SIDES during that time period. Entry fee is $300 with huge shares for the top 3 in UNITS (not wins) and no move can be over 3 UNITS. Welp look for me to be exploiting dog lines pretty much the entire contest.

One thing that I want to do is to take some time and recalibrate teams with the new additions-it has been casing me fits for totals with the new bats integrated into the already existing teams. So this would give me a chance to observe and see how teams are performing leading up to the time when i get back to making totals moves. So tomorrow will be the last time in a while that I will be on totals boys

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LATE STUFF

Brews/Braves UNDER 8.5 Quintana/Strider
Royals/Red Sox UNDER 8.5 Wacha/May
Pale Hose/Sailors UNDER 7.5 Cannon/Kirby
A's/Nats UNDER 8.5 Springs/Cavalli

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Alright laddies! Here are my SIDES for today

Guardians+150 3 UNITS
Brews+115 3 UNITS
Wanderers+110 3 UNITS
Twinkies+170 1 MORE UNIT
Cardinals+170 1 UNIT
Red Leggins+115 3 UNITS
Rays-1.5 +139 RL 2 UNITS
A's-1.5 +119 2 UNITS

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EARLY STUFF

Orioles/Blunts UNDER 8.5
Red Leggins/Cubs UNDER 7.5
Guardians/Metropolitans UNDER 7.5
Twinkies+110 Ryan 2 UNITS
Rays/Halos UNDER 9
Giants/Buccos UNDER 7.5
Twinkies/Tigers UNDER 7.5

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Welp the Fathers, Wanderers and Dodgers did in fact blow my moves out of the water LOL! Alright so for today my

CRUMBS POD will be passed on for today as I search for a bat. I like Cade Cavalli somewhat as a special add but I am going to pass reluctantly. Cavalli is throwing harder and set to make his second start of his career, with his debut coming in 2022. It's a wide mix without a definitive out pitch that has me hesitant to chase as a spec add, even if he's up to 97/98 mph on the heater - its poor shape has me a little skeptical. The cutter has turned into a legit strike pitch to RHB with the curve as his premier breaker to both handed batters. The changeup feel is highly suspect, though I do appreciate the sinker being utilizied inside to RHB. Here's to hoping he wows us in his second "MLB Debut".

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The Fathers, Halos, Wanderers and Dodgers should blast my moves out of the water today! However, I could care less-the opportunity cost outweighs my fears of losing if that makes sense. I hate vigorous and I swear that I would rather have a record around .500 with hella CRUMBS that add up to over +80 UNITS or more at the end of the season. I ain't trying to win-I am handling my money in such a manner as if I was trying to lose it by taking 70% or so underdogs or using the RL to avoid paying vigorous as much as possible. I have 74 one run losses this season and counting on totals and sides and RL's

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Ok so just for fun I combined all of my 7.5's (my favorite UNDER number) into a 5 way for +2342 ODDS

Giants/Buccos UNDER 7.5
Royals/Red Sox UNDER 7.5
Brews/braves UNDER 7.5
Red Leggins/Cubs UNDER 7.5
Pale Hose/Sailors UNDER 7.5

5 WAY PARLAY +2342 ODDS

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Two more moves just fell into my zone

Brews/Braves UNDER 7.5 Peralta/Wentz
Royals/Red Sox UNDER 7.5 Bergert/Crochet

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I fully expect for the Dodgers to absolutely DEMOLISH the Cardinals-but we are back to doing things my way-so trust the process. I hate paying vigorous....but my models are configured off of my personal pitching stats for fantasy league and DraftKings odds. Always going to be good days and bad days, ups and downs, but at the end of the day... my system is PROVEN.

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PURCHASE ORDERS

SIDES

Buccos+120 Burrows 3 UNITS
Guardians+136 Allen 3 UNITS
Red Leggins+159 Littell 2 UNITS
Cardinals+152 Mikolas 2 UNITS
A's+115 Severino 2 UNITS
Orioles+121 Kremer 2 UNITS
Twinkies+124 Matthews 2 UNITS
Bombers+105 Warren 2 UNITS
Braves+124 Wentz 2 UNITS
Rays+109 Pepiot 2 UNITS
Snakes+113 Nelson 2 UNITS

TOTALS


Giants/Buccos UNDER 7.5 Webb/Burrows
Pale Hose/Sailors UNDER 7.5 Martin/Woo
Cardinals/Dodgers UNDER 9 Mikolas/Sheehan
Fathers/Snakes UNDER 9 Darvish/Nelson
Red Leggins/Cubs UNDER 7.5 Lattell/Imanaga

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Purchase orders coming up in a few minutes

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Alright-seems like good things came when I decided to go back to publishing my stuff yesterday. More of the same today-getting the Hard Rock backed killed my profile at Action Network tho

For today's

CRUMBS POD I am going with Emmet Sheehan (Dodgers) with 10% rostership. Let's be real-the Cardinals have a tepid offense and that should be enough for him to get through the 5 frames. Sheehan's skills are fantastic and I'm thrilled to see him getting regular starts in the rotation.

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PURCHASE ORDERS

Guardians+160 Cecconi 2 UNITS
Snakes+112 Pfaadt 2 UNITS
Buccos+105 Oviedo 3 UNITS
Red Leggins+118 Lodolo 2 UNITS
Wanderers+119 Corbin 3 UNITS
Orioles+167 Povich 2 UNITS
Cardinals+157 Gray 1 UNIT
Tigers-1.5 +109 Mize 3 UNITS


Bombers/Wanderers UNDER 7.5 Fried/Corbin
Orioles/Blunts UNDER 9 Povich/Luzardo
Fathers/Snakes UNDER 9 Sears/Pfaadt

CRUMBS POD Streamer Michael Soroka (Cubs) with only 8% ROSTERSHIP!

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Cease is DEALIN" and has held the Cardinals to only 1 hit with 8 K's! He's a beast!

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So now I am gonna blast away on

Tigers+155 Morton

has to be a reason why the line hasn't moved all day long and I am about to find out

In my inbox guys are requesting that I list my moves in addition to the Hard Rock so I will do that again tomorrow. Be ready for MANY more underdogs again as per the usual

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Whew! Got that one in just before a 2 run dinger for the Sailors LOL! Just had a feeling

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Just took

Sailors-115 LIVE BET #arbitrage

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Time to get active

Nats+180 LIVE BET

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A good price for the Fathers is -1.5 +100 for their RL which is about where i estimated them against Cardinals. The only SIDE that I agreed with today for Hard Rock was the Wanderers. I don't like any favorite OVER -145 which is what the Guardians were, and from a value standpoint the twinkies are a better option. You can always bet in LIVE on the Twinkies-I passed on it even though I did get it monitored tho

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I also wouldn't recommend betting against the Fathers right now either. Their bullpen is anchored by Mason Miller now too! That was exactly what they needed to make them whole again. The Cardinals are gonna play good defense but sometimes that's not enough against a team that I feel should dethrone the Dodgers this season-yes I said that.

In my opinion-y'all should get out of the Cardinals

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Back in the saddle again and as prescribed by OUR sharps-the Red Sox are blasting the Astronauts. The Red Sox are too hot to make a move against right now-so the books will be taking a hit on that one

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Kind of hard to make moves that I normally disagree with but here we are...anyway headed to the outlets in Wesley Chapel-time to do some school shopping with the family

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Some of these had my hands shaking when I made the moves-ordinarily also I would have gone UNDER for the Pale Hose/Halos but we will see

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Personally I have a hard time making a move that costs-175 and also going against the Fathers and Red Sox because they are hot as fish grease right now...but this is what they want to happen so...the sharp bettors in my group are on the Red Sox! Yikes

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HARD ROCK BACKED

Astronauts-125 Valdez
Snakes-110 Rodriguez
Guardians-175 Cantillo
Cardinals+155 Pallante
Wanderers/Sailors UNDER 7.5
Wanderers-145 deGrom
Pale Hose/Halos OVER 9.5 Burke/Kochanowicz
Bombers/Fish UNDER 8 Gil/Cabrera
Orioles/Cubs UNDER 8 Young/Rea

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Welp-I gotta get out of here for a few hours and hit some grounders to my son-TTYL! Enjoy

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Hard Rock backed

Rox+2.5 -110

Again-never in a million years would I have even thought to make this move

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Hard Rock backed

Pale Hose+130 Civale

Never in a million years would I have made this move-but here it is

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Hard Rock backed

Royals+120 Cameron (Yikes! My stomach started bubbling when I made this move LOL)

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Hard Rock backed

Snakes+108 Gallen
Snakes-1.5 +140 RRL

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Hard Rock backed

Cardinals/Fathers UNDER 8.5 McGreevy/Vasquez