CK's 2025 MLB Thread

[atthehalf]

And with Skenes having a 5/2 split it sure would be nice if he were to get another walk and leave the game and Horton win the head to head for a bonus

[atthehalf]

Whew! Had to sweat that one out! So Horton goes 5 2/3rds with 4 K's and one walk and I get a treat of an 83% share winnings! Good stuff

Now let's root the OVER home now that both of them starters are out or close to being out of the game

[atthehalf]

At some point during today I am gonna get me some Royals, Snakes and Red Leggins to balance out my forthcoming Nats loss. Just waiting for the right time and my buy in price to be met. And don't trip about the Nats-it's part of the process.

We will all end up with .500 or so records so just get your units in when you can and exploit mistakes-the books will get some and so will you

[atthehalf]

The 6.5 is 6-3 for the OVER so far this MLB season-so do it man

Buccos/Cubs OVER 6.5 Skenes/Horton

[atthehalf]

TOTALS

6:30 Jays/Blunts UNDER 8 Gausman/Suarez 2 UNITS
6:30 Fish/Nats UNDER 9 Cabrera/Irvin
7:00 Rox/Braves UNDER 9 Marquez/Elder
7:00 Bombers/Red Sox UNDER 8.5 Yarbrough/Crochet
7:00 Rays/Metropolitans UNDER 8 Bradley/Holmes 2 UNITS
8:00 Cardinals/Brews UNDER 7.5 Fedde/Peralta
8:00 A's/Royals UNDER 8 Severino/Wacha
10:00 Giants/Dodgers UNDER 7.5 Webb/Yamamoto
10:00 Dodgers-1.5 +135 Yamamoto

SIDES

6:30 Nats-1.5 +165 RL Parker
6:30 Jays+102 Gausman
7:00 Orioles-1.5 +116 RL Morton
7:30 (CFL) Ottawa+4.5
8:30 NBA Thunder-6 LARGE
10:00 Guardians+118 Williams

[atthehalf]

Damn...sometimes you can do everything right and still end up wrong-such was the case with the Cardinals today. Sonny Gray is a top 5 arm, they were off of being swept at home, the line movement was correct. they are behind 6-0 in the 4th frame; and it makes me think of those who streamed him with alacrity and how the Commish is about to get a 94% share. It's weird; but true. Sometimes one can make more money off of one single stream than all of the conventional moves made COMBINED.

I am always looking for those type of CRUMBS. Tomorrow it's all about Cade Horton (Cubs) and his 17% rostership going up against the mighty Paul Skenes!

[atthehalf]

The key number was exposed late on this one

[atthehalf]

BET OUT OF

Tigers/Orioles OVER 8

by taking

Tigers/Orioles UNDER 7.5

DO IT LIVE IF NEED BE

[atthehalf]

Something tells me that the Orioles have seen enough of Skubal to have an idea of what's coming. There's a big difference between winging it and seeing what happens. Now let's see what happens. Just so happens that the 8 is one of my favorite numbers to take for an over after the number has decreased

Tigers/Orioles OVER 8

[atthehalf]

You can still get some Cardinals/Buccos UNDER 8 if you hurry. There's still some out there

[atthehalf]

RECORD UPDATE (From The Action Network)

410-416-18 +20.81 UNITS

[atthehalf]

7:30 Cardinals/Brews UNDER 7.5 Gray/Misiorowski
7:30 Cardinals-130 Gray 3 UNITS
7:30 Bombers/Royals UNDER 9 Warren/Lugo
8:00 Buccos/Cubs UNDER 7.5 Heaney/Taillon
8:00 Pale Hose/Astronauts UNDER 7.5 Martin/Valdez

EXOTICS

Cardinals-130/UNDER 7.5 2 WAY +2.47 UNITS

[atthehalf]

bailey Falter gave me 5cand 1/3rd with 3 K's and 1 walk exact. There was a part of me that was losing my mind when he came back out for the 6th frame with a sweet 3/0/K/W and then thankfully the baseball Gods had the manager remove him after that wolk and securing a large share payment for me.


For today let's get this now and move on

Cubs-200
Twinkies-168
Metropolitans-250
Astronauts-267

4 WAY ML PARLAY +3.60 UNITS

My CRUMBS Streamer for today is Davis martin (Pale Hose) with only 4% of rostership. I love the new cutter this year and it should do well against a slew of RHB of the Astronauts-and it seems that no one is paying attention to the act that the total is set at 7.5 which means that Framber won't be doing this alone.

Okay back to my data mining-I do know that I am on the Cardinals and Sonny Gray as a side only-just need to hone in on the totals

[atthehalf]

NBA Championship

Thunder/Pacers OVER 113.5 1st half
Thunder/Pacers OVER 226.5 to 227.5

[atthehalf]

The teams in the WNBA have jelled now so it's time to start getting some of that free money boys

[atthehalf]

Also I have Lynx/Storm combining for 143 points and the O/U is 155. You know what to do

Lynx/Storm UNDER 155

[atthehalf]

WNBA Seattle Storm+3.5

[atthehalf]

EVENING STUFF

6:30 Orioles-126 Eflin 3 UNITS
6:30 Tigers/Orioles UNDER 9 Mize/Eflin
7:00 Rays+103 Littell
7:00 Metropolitans-1.5 -130 RL Peterson
7:30 Wanderers/Twinkies UNDER 8.5 Leiter/Festa
7:30 Twinkies-140 Festa 2 UNITS
7:30 Royals+109 Bubic 2 UNITS
7:30 Bombers/Royals UNDER 9 Schmidt/Bubic
8:00 Pale Hose/Astronauts UNDER 8.5 Burke/Gusto
8:00 Pale Hose+0.5 -125 FF RL

EXOTICS


Twinkies-140/UNDER 8.5 2 WAY +2.16 UNITS

Royals+109/UNDER 9 2 WAY +2.82 UNITS

Orioles-126/UNDER 9 2 WAY +2.38 UNITS

[atthehalf]

Justin Wrobleski 1%
Logan Allen 2%
David Festa 4%

I am on all of these early for streamers

[atthehalf]

6/11/25 EARLY SLOTS

12:30 Fish/Buccos UNDER 8.5 Quantrill/Falter
1:00 Cubs/Blunts UNDER 8.5 2 UNITS
1;00 Red Leggins/Guardians UNDER 8.5 2 UNITS
1:00 Guardians-109 Allen 3 UNITS
2:00 Jays/Cardinals UNDER 8.5 Lauer/Liberator
3:30 Sailors-117 Woo 2 UNITS
3:30 Sailors/Snakes UNDER 9 Woo/Rodriguez
4:00 A's/Halos UNDER 10 Sears/Hendricks

EARLY EXOTICS

1:00 Guardians-109/UNDER 8.5 +2.44 UNITS
3:30 Sailors-117/UNDER 9 +2.46 UNITS

[atthehalf]

Love the mindset—steady accumulation, then boom, the big pop. That QQQ comparison hits. Keep firing those sharp numbers, I’m following along.

Indeed!

[ProSportsEdge]

I am already looking at how many moves can I get up on the board for tomorrow. Been jabbing a bit past few days-now it's time to blast away. Identifying and exploiting any and all errors on the board is a must. it's not about the action-it's about building up the bankroll. Like my QQQ stocks have quite a few days and sometimes a week or more before a really good movement. most days they stay steady. I buy more. then one day they have a massive gain. If this can happen once or twice a week conventional betting it's all good. If you don't like what I am doing there's always grecycle's thread. I am going to keep pushing as many good numbers as is humanly possible

Love the mindset—steady accumulation, then boom, the big pop. That QQQ comparison hits. Keep firing those sharp numbers, I’m following along.

[ProSportsEdge]

CRUMBS POD RECORD 5-1

Todays CRUMBS POD Streamer is

Orioles (Charlie Morton)

Appearing on only 13% of rosters this is clearly a cash grab. And his numbers vs the Red Sox aren't overwhelming. but they are decent as ****. 71 AB; 18 K, 7 BB, .225 AVG, .295 OBP, .296 SLG, .591 OPS. The mere fact that he has a 10.80 ERA and is FAVORED means that for the most part the homework has already been done for you. Morton is your typical middling arm. There's a chance for a quality start and win here even in the conventional sense of betting as he has a dynamite offense to help out if he is terrible today. You guys are after conventional sides and totals moves-I am not. I am a cold blooded fantasy league sharp who's out for large sums of cash. It is quite common that I can have a losing day with conventional sides and totals and make a HUGE profit streaming. Hell I gotta go pick up another envelope this morning from the Commish at his office (and pick up a few summons and complaints to serve) for Roupp!

I have Carrasco (Bombers) ranked dead last today, and when Merrill Kelly has a .180 AVG, .240 OBP, .348 SLG, and .588 OPS vs the Bombers I am not afraid to go against the joes and take the Snakes yet again. I hate relievers so as per the usual I am going FF with this.

If you are chilling in a league where you can only go after K's then Brown vs Ryan may be your game for a combo. One of them is going to scorch the earth so 11 or 12 is actually not as high a number for a comb as you may think


Ok so here are the goods for today

Rot.#951 Rox/Blunts OVER 5.5 +100 FF Senzatela#9 DNS/Walker#8 DNS
Rot.#956 Orioles-105 ML FF Morton#4
Rot.#958 Astronauts/Twinkies UNDER 3.5 +100 FF Brown#2/Ryan#1
Rot.#959 Snakes+105 Kelly#5

Appreciate the insight, man. Morton call makes a lot more sense after that breakdown. Kelly vs the Yanks feels like a sneaky good spot too. Let’s see how it plays out!

[atthehalf]

I am already looking at how many moves can I get up on the board for tomorrow. Been jabbing a bit past few days-now it's time to blast away. Identifying and exploiting any and all errors on the board is a must. it's not about the action-it's about building up the bankroll. Like my QQQ stocks have quite a few days and sometimes a week or more before a really good movement. most days they stay steady. I buy more. then one day they have a massive gain. If this can happen once or twice a week conventional betting it's all good. If you don't like what I am doing there's always grecycle's thread. I am going to keep pushing as many good numbers as is humanly possible

[atthehalf]

Channeling my inner Billy Walters again tomorrow and make moves in a stochastic method.

Cecconi with the 5 frames and 8K and 1 walk today and an envelope with a share of 97% will be here in the morning. i am gonna convert it into debt collection agency stocks. Giolito failed me with walks today tho-but the amount of risk was so minimal it was basically collateral damage

Anyway my CRUMBS POD for tomorrow is

Bailey Falter (Buccos) He only has 12% rostership The Marlins are atrocious against LHP and Falter's four-seamer is as good as it's been.

[atthehalf]

Watching that Fathers line again this evening-waiting on a buy in price to be met

[atthehalf]

Now grab some Red Leggins/Guardians UNDER 8.5 Abbott/Cecconi

[atthehalf]

Get out of Sailors/Snakes UNDER 8.5 and take them to go OVER 9.5 or just absorb the hit. With the pitch change the Sailors exposed themselves somewhat

[atthehalf]

I put together some more mess

Guardians-115
Red Sox-115
Orioles-131

3 WAY +5.32 UNITS

[atthehalf]

Holy smokes-Giolito (Red Sox) has only 6% rostership. That makes for a 94% share! I'm sorry for dragging y'all into this but those CRUMBS are too hard to ignore. I had the nerve to put him in a 10 teamer to make sure, So as for this conventional sense

Red Sox-109 Giolito 2 UNITS

[atthehalf]

Alright-so for those who can't get out of this move roll with the Orioles-130 Povich at the same amount risked to bet out of it

[atthehalf]

Here we go again with an arm change. The Tigers made a switch for their starter so make sure your book gives you back your money for "listed"

[atthehalf]

My CRUMBS POD Streamer

Slade Cecconi (Guardians) I'm fine taking a position on the Red Leggins conventionally however Cecconi for my streaming simply because he has only 3% rostership, though he's not as refined as others who have taken full advantage of those free swingers. I would care less if the Red Leggins don't win my conventional move should this hit

[atthehalf]

6/10/25

Sailors-106 Logan 2 UNITS
Sailors/Snakes UNDER 9 Logan/Pfaadt
Cubs-103 Rea
Cubs/Blunts UNDER 9.5
Wanderers/Twinkies UNDER 8.5 Mahle/Woods-Richardson
Tigers+100 Gipson-Long 2 UNITS
Tigers/Orioles UNDER 9 Gipson-Long/Povich
Red Leggins+100 Abbott
Nats/Metropolitans UNDER 7.5 Gore/Canning
Bombers/Royals UNDER 8.5 Fried/Cameron
Jays/Cardinals UNDER 8.5 Bassitt/Mikolas
Pale Hose/Astronauts UNDER 7.5 Smith/McCullers
Braves/Brews UNDER 8.5 Holmes/Priester
A's/Halos UNDER 9 Spence/Soriano

EXOTICS

Cubs-103/UNDER 9.5 2 WAY+2.69 UNITS
Tigers+100/UNDER 9 2 WAY +2.90 UNITS

[atthehalf]

Oh those dirty dogs...anyway be sure to get your money back from your book for the A's FF as Springs has been replaced with Grant Holman