CK's 2025 MLB Thread

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YES. The Tigers are going with Troy over Montero and I'm excited to watch him have a ball. They said he'd be getting "the bulk", which could mean five innings or someone else acts as the opener (despite saying he's the "starter"). Either way, think of him like a Zebby type against a poor offense. The Tigers activated Sawyer Gipson-Longtoday, and it's safe to wager we'll see him pitch in this one behind Melton. I'd normally say keep him on the IL, but SGL could vulture a W in this one...the pale Hose have been known to give up a lead late with their awful bullpen (it's the Nats bullpen on steroids)

Still and all stay away from the uncertainty of him not getting the full 5 frames in and just stash him until further notice

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Those Halos CRUMBS sure look good-but I am gonna chill.

Anyway a reader asked me where are the CRUMBS PODS-Truth is I have been so consumed with finding underdogs that I simply forgot to list my CRUMBS PODS the last few days.

Today

Michael McGreevy (Cardinals) only 10% rostership-what's not to like? A 90% share dispersal for me and probably the Commish? I will take that every time. If Mikolas can handle the Rox then this guy can because he has better stuff. All I want is my 5/3/1/K/W

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Adding on some more confusion-both for 2 UNITS-only one of them needs to win to create a +

Nats+150 Irvin
Braves+174 Carrasco

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SOME TOTALS I MADE MOVES ON OUTSIDE OF THE CHALLENGE (all 1 UNIT)

Buccos/Brews UNDER 7.5 Keller/Woodruff
Nats/Royals UNDER 9 OR 8.5 Irvin/Lugo
Rox/Cardinals UNDER 9 OR 8.5 Gomber/McGreevy
Sailors/Orioles OVER 8.5 Gilbert/Rogers
Fish/Guardians UNDER 7.5 Perez/Williams
Dodgers/Halos UNDER 9 Ohtani/Hendricks
Rays/A's UNDER 9.5 Rasmussen/Ginn
Twinkies/Bombers UNDER 8.5 Ryan/Schlittler

Okay so I do think that the Fish and Guardians will go over-so I made a move against my inner thoughts on that one

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CHALLENGE MOVES

Snakes+127 Gallen
Fish+115 Perez
Twinkies+135 Ryan
Cubs+113 Horton
Red Sox+143 Buehler
Rays-130 Rasmussen
Pale Hose +104 Smith
Orioles+120 Rogers

ALL FOR 2 UNITS

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Next week the challenge is on TOTALS ONLY!

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Real quick y'all! Challenge moves

Twinkies+193 1 UNIT
Braves+118 3 UNITS
Nats+162 2 UNITS
Snakes+123 3 UNITS
Halos+156 2 UNITS
Fish+116 2 UNITS
Rays-102 Baz 2 UNITS

Not supposed to be doing this but here's some TOTALS I snuck in on my own all for 1 UNIT

Blunts/Red Leggins OVER 9.5
Buccos/Brews UNDER 6.5
Sailors/Orioles UNDER 9 Kirby/Kremer
Cubs/Jays UNDER 9 Brown/Berrios
Snakes/Wanderers UNDER 8.5 Desclafani/Leiter
Fathers/Giants UNDER 7.5 Cortes/Ray
Nats/Royals UNDER 9 Parker/Wacha
Fish/Guardians UNDER 9 Junk/Allen

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But on the good side of things the PC Play on the Valkyries panned out-and brought in a huge payday off of betting that situation

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Dang-Rox and Snakes with even more 1 run losses. Now bringing my total of bad luck losses this season to an astonishing 123! Holy smokes!

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Valkyries-4.5 2nd half

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I hate the Rox bullpen!

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I have to up mu units a bit to get some more emphasis on my dog lines. Of course they all won't hit-so what? I am out for + UNITS

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Blunts ML +104 (3 UNITS)
Twinkies ML +151 (2 UNITS)
Nats ML +127 (3 UNITS)
Buccos ML +167 (1 UNIT)
Snakes ML +134 (3 UNITS)
Astronauts ML +143 (3 UNITS)
Rox+185 (2 UNITS)

WNBA

Golden State Valkyries-7.5 PC Play

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WNBA PC Play coming up tomorrow. I am putting down some major consideration on this one

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I am planted firmly in the middle of the pack for the challenge. Need my underdogs to have more bite than bark this week!

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Good opportunity to add in a prop

Imanaga (Cubs) UNDER 5.5 hits allowed (15-4 78.9% ROI 46.3%)

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Today's mix

Astronauts+167 Alexander 2 UNITS
Halos+152 Kochanowicz 2 UNITS
Red Sox+122 Bello 3 UNITS
Rays+160 Houser 1 UNIT
Jays+151 Lauer 2 UNITS
Twinkies-115 Urena 2 UNITS

Trust me boys-I am doing things the right way by going with plus money this entire challenge-there are guys losing their shirts taking BIG FAVORITES and paying tons of vigorous

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Last night Lucas Giolito was at 91 pitches and had walked three straight batters, including one with the bases loaded to force in the tying run home. That wasn't enough. They left him in and he walked his fourth straight batter… and effectively cost the Sox the game having walked in the tying and go ahead runs. Can’t have that long of a leash. I hate bad managerial decisions

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One more

Red Leggins-1.5 +150 RL Martinez

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I may be in trouble with Wanderers. Just gonna absorb the hit and move on to tomorrow

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ALL FOR 2 UNITS

Halos+114 Kikuchi
Metropolitans+116 Montas
Red Sox+118 Giolito
Jays+139 Bassitt
Pale Hose+113 Burke
A's-101 Perkins
Bombers-105 Gil
Nats+136 Lord

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Before things get out of hand with this line

Wanderers-135 deGrom 3 UNITS

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PURCHASE ORDERS ARE ALL FOR 2 UNITS OR TO WIN 2 UNITS (BLUNTS AND A'S)

Braves+114 Elder
Red Sox+146 Buehler
Jays+117 Scherzer
Cardinals+134 McGreevy
Pale Hose+120 Civale
A's-110 Ginn
Red Leggins-1.5 +140 RL Burns
Rays+110 Rasmussen
bluts-135 Sanchez

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CRUMBS POD for today

Cam Schlittler (Bombers) I love Cam's stuff and expect him to improve across the season. The fact that he has only 10% rostership puts me in line for a MONSTER payday boys.

Stay ready for my underdogs today. The only FAVORITE that I like is Red Leggins with the short number-plus they are a HUGE underdog yesterday and are favored today which is appealing. I think that since this is a challenge format I will be more than likely going one unit to cut down a bit on the margins for this 7 days-that is unless I see something that is too hard to not approximate...

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I went with

WNBA

Fever+4.5 2 UNITS

No Caitlan-no problem

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As far as NFL is concerned I may or may not do a preseason game

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No CRUBS POD Streamer-I already got a bat going for today

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Only one move today-Red Leggins+145 3 UNITS

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Damn..joes are winning with the OVERS I see

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I am entering a challenge from this Friday to next Friday within our group with only SIDES during that time period. Entry fee is $300 with huge shares for the top 3 in UNITS (not wins) and no move can be over 3 UNITS. Welp look for me to be exploiting dog lines pretty much the entire contest.

One thing that I want to do is to take some time and recalibrate teams with the new additions-it has been casing me fits for totals with the new bats integrated into the already existing teams. So this would give me a chance to observe and see how teams are performing leading up to the time when i get back to making totals moves. So tomorrow will be the last time in a while that I will be on totals boys

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LATE STUFF

Brews/Braves UNDER 8.5 Quintana/Strider
Royals/Red Sox UNDER 8.5 Wacha/May
Pale Hose/Sailors UNDER 7.5 Cannon/Kirby
A's/Nats UNDER 8.5 Springs/Cavalli

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Alright laddies! Here are my SIDES for today

Guardians+150 3 UNITS
Brews+115 3 UNITS
Wanderers+110 3 UNITS
Twinkies+170 1 MORE UNIT
Cardinals+170 1 UNIT
Red Leggins+115 3 UNITS
Rays-1.5 +139 RL 2 UNITS
A's-1.5 +119 2 UNITS

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EARLY STUFF

Orioles/Blunts UNDER 8.5
Red Leggins/Cubs UNDER 7.5
Guardians/Metropolitans UNDER 7.5
Twinkies+110 Ryan 2 UNITS
Rays/Halos UNDER 9
Giants/Buccos UNDER 7.5
Twinkies/Tigers UNDER 7.5

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Welp the Fathers, Wanderers and Dodgers did in fact blow my moves out of the water LOL! Alright so for today my

CRUMBS POD will be passed on for today as I search for a bat. I like Cade Cavalli somewhat as a special add but I am going to pass reluctantly. Cavalli is throwing harder and set to make his second start of his career, with his debut coming in 2022. It's a wide mix without a definitive out pitch that has me hesitant to chase as a spec add, even if he's up to 97/98 mph on the heater - its poor shape has me a little skeptical. The cutter has turned into a legit strike pitch to RHB with the curve as his premier breaker to both handed batters. The changeup feel is highly suspect, though I do appreciate the sinker being utilizied inside to RHB. Here's to hoping he wows us in his second "MLB Debut".

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The Fathers, Halos, Wanderers and Dodgers should blast my moves out of the water today! However, I could care less-the opportunity cost outweighs my fears of losing if that makes sense. I hate vigorous and I swear that I would rather have a record around .500 with hella CRUMBS that add up to over +80 UNITS or more at the end of the season. I ain't trying to win-I am handling my money in such a manner as if I was trying to lose it by taking 70% or so underdogs or using the RL to avoid paying vigorous as much as possible. I have 74 one run losses this season and counting on totals and sides and RL's