System Integrity?

[floridagolfer]

Anybody know how this system went the past few days?

Cubs won a Game B on Friday (Aug. 28).
Angels lost Game A on Saturday, Cardinals won the game but did not cover the 1.5 on Sunday. That makes the Dodgers a Game C play on Monday night.

[pelos879]

Dodgers or Yanks? According to Covers.com the Yanks are -185; Dodgers are -180. Sbr lines has Dodgers higher favorite though than the Yanks.

[JamboDB]

Seems like a very nice system according to the numbers.
Will give it a try and start today with Dodgers

[SKiLLsSoLoN]

What happen to this thread?

Looks like a good money maker

[Blargh]

I think everyone is just quietly making money.
It seems to be a very cut and dry system. Not much to discuss. Take the top ML team on the RL. Even the most indecisive members can figure that out on thier own without asking who is the official pick. I assume you won't see much action on the thread until there is a day with two teams tied with the top ML. At that time most will say take the game with the highest total and others will attempt to cappers. Other than that there isn't much value to posting in the thread other than pat each other on the back.

[floridagolfer]

I think everyone is just quietly making money.
It seems to be a very cut and dry system. Not much to discuss. Take the top ML team on the RL. Even the most indecisive members can figure that out on thier own without asking who is the official pick. I assume you won't see much action on the thread until there is a day with two teams tied with the top ML. At that time most will say take the game with the highest total and others will attempt to cappers. Other than that there isn't much value to posting in the thread other than pat each other on the back.

Yes, agreed.

Wednesday seemed to have two teams tied as the highest opening ML favorite, Colorado and St. Louis at -280, but both were winners, so it didn't matter how you decided to break the tie. We did go to a Game D this week, but the system still has no losses for the season.

[arctictiger]

which team today? what is record now ?

[pelos879]

Anyone know what happened in the past few days?

[arctictiger]

pelos, i think we lost couple bets but rockies came through today , sweep Ari DBs. I think it is a good system, still on the rockies tomorrow.

[floridagolfer]

Anyone know what happened in the past few days?

We've needed four games to win two of the last three series, so the W's haven't come as frequently in the last week and a half, but we're still unbeaten on the series.

Monday's play seems to (narrowly) be on the Rockies over Cinci.

[Blargh]

We've needed four games to win two of the last three series, so the W's haven't come as frequently in the last week and a half, but we're still unbeaten on the series.

Who did you have the last three series?
Below is what I have the past week and a bit.
I have only had one 4 game chase recently. I use SBR opening lines.

Aug 27 Astros 4 Cards 3 A
Aug 28 Mets 2 Cubs 5 B
Aug 29 Mets 4 Cubs 11 A
Aug 30 Nationals 1 Cards 2 A
Aug 31 Dbacks 5 Dodgers 3 B
Sept 1 Mets 3 Rockies 8 C
Sept 2 Brewers 3 Cards 10 A
Sept 3 Mets 8 Rockies 3 A
Sept 4 Padres 2 Dodgers 0 B
Sept 5 Reds 3 Braves 1 C
Sept 6 Dbacks 5 Rockies 13 D
Sept 7 Reds 3 Rockies 4 A

[SKiLLsSoLoN]

Blargh where you getting your lines at?

[Blargh]

I use the link at the top of page to get the opening line from SBR Live Odds.
Tomorrow's play is the Giants who opened at -260 according to SBR.

[williams22]

Couldn't you speed this system up by playing the biggest favorite for the afternoon games and then the biggest favorite for the night games each day as long as you always pick a team with a ML of -200 or higher?

[threeg5]

I use the link at the top of page to get the opening line from SBR Live Odds.
Tomorrow's play is the Giants who opened at -260 according to SBR.

03:45 PM ET
955San Diego Padres- +160 | +165 | 8+105 | 8-117
956San Francisco Giants- -170 | -172 | 8 -125 | 8 +107

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/Scores/MLB+Odds.aspx

Blargh I do not understand this says here from sbrforum odds that sf opened at -170 where do I find these lines that you see?

by using these sbrodds the LAA are the play opening @ -210
________________________________________ _____________
OK I am leaving this up to show that I am an idiot and just noticed that the Blargh Post was for 9-8-09 play and today is the 9-10-09 nothing like 5 in the morning (no excuses though jusy a tard)

Sorry Blargh for questioning this

[threeg5]

Couldn't you speed this system up by playing the biggest favorite for the afternoon games and then the biggest favorite for the night games each day as long as you always pick a team with a ML of -200 or higher?

Sometimes my friend Greed will walk up and punch you dead in the face and you have to laugh back at it and understand that it is better just to sit back and take what its giving you without wondering why you can not have more.
Besides if you are that interested just started doubling your bets I think your odds would be batter that way any how.
If you are desperate for action find other sports to bet on.

[floridagolfer]

Who did you have the last three series?
Below is what I have the past week and a bit.
I have only had one 4 game chase recently. I use SBR opening lines.

Aug 27 Astros 4 Cards 3 A
Aug 28 Mets 2 Cubs 5 B
Aug 29 Mets 4 Cubs 11 A
Aug 30 Nationals 1 Cards 2 A
Aug 31 Dbacks 5 Dodgers 3 B
Sept 1 Mets 3 Rockies 8 C
Sept 2 Brewers 3 Cards 10 A
Sept 3 Mets 8 Rockies 3 A
Sept 4 Padres 2 Dodgers 0 B
Sept 5 Reds 3 Braves 1 C
Sept 6 Dbacks 5 Rockies 13 D
Sept 7 Reds 3 Rockies 4 A

On Aug. 29 I had the Angels, a loser, which took that series to four games before Colorado won on Sept. 1. That's the only difference.

[floridagolfer]

Couldn't you speed this system up by playing the biggest favorite for the afternoon games and then the biggest favorite for the night games each day as long as you always pick a team with a ML of -200 or higher?

You could do this, but this isn't the system as it was researched. There's no magic minimum line of -200, so by implementing it, you are essentially playing under a completely different set of rules.

[williams22]

Sometimes my friend Greed will walk up and punch you dead in the face and you have to laugh back at it and understand that it is better just to sit back and take what its giving you without wondering why you can not have more.
Besides if you are that interested just started doubling your bets I think your odds would be batter that way any how.
If you are desperate for action find other sports to bet on.

Respectfully, I don't think doubling my unit is the same thing at all. Doing this increases variation, meaning a higher bankroll is necessary, whereas playing 2 games a day rather than one does not increase variation at all, it simply speeds things up. The premise of this system is the same as any progressive system, if you keep picking X it has to win at some point. The main goal is to keep any potential streak of losses as minimal as possible, which I think this system does well.

However, I don't think the system has any concept of "days", so by picking an afternoon game and a night game you turn each day in to 2 essentially. All that is important is that you know the outcome of game #1 before placing your game #2 bet. I realize the numbers haven't been run for this modification, but I'm willing to guess they are similar to the numbers for the one game per day method. When I get some time I will crunch the numbers for the last year and see how it fares.

[floridagolfer]

Respectfully, I don't think doubling my unit is the same thing at all. Doing this increases variation, meaning a higher bankroll is necessary, whereas playing 2 games a day rather than one does not increase variation at all, it simply speeds things up. The premise of this system is the same as any progressive system, if you keep picking X it has to win at some point. The main goal is to keep any potential streak of losses as minimal as possible, which I think this system does well.

However, I don't think the system has any concept of "days", so by picking an afternoon game and a night game you turn each day in to 2 essentially. All that is important is that you know the outcome of game #1 before placing your game #2 bet. I realize the numbers haven't been run for this modification, but I'm willing to guess they are similar to the numbers for the one game per day method. When I get some time I will crunch the numbers for the last year and see how it fares.

I understand your rationale.

At the very least, what you would be doing is increasing the number of series that go long — five or six games, which in turn means risking more money more often.

[williams22]

I understand your rationale.

At the very least, what you would be doing is increasing the number of series that go long — five or six games, which in turn means risking more money more often.

Hopefully it would not increase the percentage of streaks that go five or six games, which is all that is important. If you choose to use this system you have already accepted a certain amount of risk. Playing the system for longer doesn't increase your overall risk. By your logic, playing the system for two weeks instead of just one is a bad idea because it means risking more money, and if that's how you approach it, why gamble in the first place?

On a separate note, does anyone know where I can find a spreadsheet with all of last year's games, lines, and outcomes? I will run the math on my idea.

[threeg5]

Respectfully, I don't think doubling my unit is the same thing at all. Doing this increases variation, meaning a higher bankroll is necessary, whereas playing 2 games a day rather than one does not increase variation at all, it simply speeds things up. The premise of this system is the same as any progressive system, if you keep picking X it has to win at some point. The main goal is to keep any potential streak of losses as minimal as possible, which I think this system does well.

However, I don't think the system has any concept of "days", so by picking an afternoon game and a night game you turn each day in to 2 essentially. All that is important is that you know the outcome of game #1 before placing your game #2 bet. I realize the numbers haven't been run for this modification, but I'm willing to guess they are similar to the numbers for the one game per day method. When I get some time I will crunch the numbers for the last year and see how it fares.

I undesrtand what you are saying and here is but a pain staking thought.
If thinking this way you could in theory figure out (given no OT (and if there were just skip that game))
x # of games a day will be done by time y
the list of games that fit the criteria within that timeframe
now repeat for the next time frame
there are many ways to do this williams22 the problem becomes where to stop and by but 1 a day you put yourself in position as stated above to only have to chase 1 game up to maybe bet E or F (betting x eventually has to win given the BR to cover it) now I am also aware that 1 may go to game E or F while the others could just continuosly bank at game A and B so being able to chase more and more maybe even dripping some into the flowing bets of the game that is haveing the longest chase (of course this is still saying that eventually it has to win)
This is the problem with with breaking it down where exactly do you stop remember if it aint broke brother don't try to fix it.
If you are looking for more action in the MLB world, find something that everyone would embrace this is not it I can guarantee you. too much work for one (yes we are lazy when it comes to easy money) but maybe test out chasing the top 3 teams using the same criteria as in once you have your bet for the day eliminate it and then find the next one as it would then be the next fitting the same criteria.
BOL williams22
The preceding was just the opinion of threeg5 not meant to be that of sbrforums or the opther members or affiliates thereof any resemblance to the opinions by any of those are welcomed to join in with there thoughts

[Blargh]

If you are looking for action, do the modified RL chase. There is a thread in the baseball handicapping forum. You take the highest ML fav with a dog RL (< +101). But like this RL system, it has been cooling off compared to the torrid pace it set in July/early August.
I have actually been thinking about an exit plan to both systems. I don't want to end the season with a loss in a D game. Anyone else been thinking about when they plan on ending this system for the season? I am thinking my last A game will be sometime between Sept 28-30th depending on how the system does during the rest of Sept. This gives me plenty of time to finish off the last chase before the season ends.

[floridagolfer]

If you are looking for action, do the modified RL chase. There is a thread in the baseball handicapping forum. You take the highest ML fav with a dog RL (< +101). But like this RL system, it has been cooling off compared to the torrid pace it set in July/early August.
I have actually been thinking about an exit plan to both systems. I don't want to end the season with a loss in a D game. Anyone else been thinking about when they plan on ending this system for the season? I am thinking my last A game will be sometime between Sept 28-30th depending on how the system does during the rest of Sept. This gives me plenty of time to finish off the last chase before the season ends.

I decided the other day that I'm done at the end of next week (with series that end on Sunday, the 20th). I've met my financial target for the season. I'm going to assume that over the last two weeks of the season, you're going to get a steady diet of the same teams that need to win in order to stay in the playoff hunt: Boston, Texas, Colorado, SF.

[Slanina]

I was doing the system a few months back, but I stopped for some reason. I was wondering how it turned out for everyone. Was there a loss?

[floridagolfer]

I was doing the system a few months back, but I stopped for some reason. I was wondering how it turned out for everyone. Was there a loss?

No losses yet. It's 78-0 since I started playing this two weeks into the season.

[Blargh]

No losses yet. It's 78-0 since I started playing this two weeks into the season.

How many 5 or 6 game chases have there been this season? I started early July and only had 3 - 4 game chases so far.

[floridagolfer]

How many 5 or 6 game chases have there been this season? I started early July and only had 3 - 4 game chases so far.

Since April 17, one has gone to six games. No others have gone as long as five. Series have won as follows:
Game A -- 42
Game B -- 22
Game C -- 6
Game D -- 7
Game F -- 1
That's 85 percent ending in one or two games.

[pelos879]

Does anyone know what has happened in the past few days? I am at school and its tough to stay on top of this stuff...

[floridagolfer]

Does anyone know what has happened in the past few days? I am at school and its tough to stay on top of this stuff...

Colorado won a Game A on Thursday.
Yankees got murdered on Friday and today the Yankees are in the process of duplicating their less-than-steller performance.

[Blargh]

I hate the Yankees!
Let's Go Yankees!

C Game Balt at NYY -300/-142

[SKiLLsSoLoN]

I hate the Yankees! Let's Go Yankees! C Game Balt at NYY -300/-142

looks like Yankiees again today!

[pcjayd]

Rockies are the play for 9-22-05 game B of the chase!!!

[floridagolfer]

Rockies are the play for 9-22-05 game B of the chase!!!

Game B on Tuesday? I had Atlanta as Monday's play (a winner) and I don't recall that the Braves were equal highest odds with anyone.

[shhhhh22]

They weren't.... The braves were the play.