System Integrity?

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • ploben
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-09-09
    • 527

    #316
    LAD RL down to +115...I like it
    Comment
    • owll52
      SBR High Roller
      • 02-07-09
      • 131

      #317
      TLAR = NYY -208 -1 1/2 -110 Same as yesterday on R/L NYY -1 1/2 -110 Cle +1 1/2-110

      On a side note I noticed Betjam quite doing e-checks for deposits anyone know why?
      Comment
      • ploben
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-09-09
        • 527

        #318
        LAD hit for me last night. Hope I had some followers to ease the early chase pains.

        If not, chase day 5 pursues today. Yanks, again, at -230 ML/ -110 RL.

        TLARFTSBIDLICTPP
        (That Looks Right For The System But I Don't Like I Considering Their Past Performance)
        Comment
        • ploben
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-09-09
          • 527

          #319
          The STL/CHC game is one worth looking at. PJ Walters will replace the scheduled Lohse in todays matchup against Zambrano. Tough spot for a farm hand in his MLB debut. The RL still unreleased but might be worth the look in place of the struggling NYY.
          Comment
          • do5000
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 06-06-08
            • 853

            #320
            well so far its been pretty discouraging, but lets hope game 5 ends this chase.
            dont know if my bankroll can support a 6th...

            i'm on the yanks today. hopefully they will rebound from that train wreck yesterday.
            Comment
            • coreygman
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-18-09
              • 325

              #321
              I hear ya do5000!

              Ok my bet is also on the Yanks.
              Here is the line on my book
              1:05 PM NYY CHAMBRLAIN-R -215 u9 -120 -1½ -105

              And my bet. 30+60+120+264 losses + 30 to win

              MLB STRAIGHT BET [968] NYY -1½-105 ( AN REYES -R / CHAMBRLAIN-R ) Risk 530.00 / To Win 504.00
              Comment
              • ploben
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-09-09
                • 527

                #322
                Yanks need a break out day. I would implore you to take a look at the Cubs this afternoon if you haven't played the Yanks yet. - RL for the Yanks is a wish that they rebound from their horrible start. Joba should be great at the beginning of the season so might be the time to lay money on him now, but the Yanks haven't proved themselves to be getting lines like these.

                Well I guess we will have to will the Yanks to win so I'll start the chase on them today and hope we all cash to end your chase.

                NYY -110 RL is the play.
                Comment
                • rightmow
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 01-23-09
                  • 68

                  #323
                  that is six in a row with the second highest favorite of the day. minus 1.5. the dodgers did it last night, unfortenately. I am still chasing the YANKEES.
                  Comment
                  • rightmow
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 01-23-09
                    • 68

                    #324
                    tonight would be the Rays
                    Comment
                    • do5000
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 06-06-08
                      • 853

                      #325
                      thats an interesting thought about the 2nd highest of the day.
                      anybody interested in testing that?

                      go yanks!
                      Comment
                      • ploben
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-09-09
                        • 527

                        #326
                        I took the LAD last night as my chase "day" 5 instead of waiting for today. I mean you can test the system after the fact for how it does but when you are actually betting you might want to look at some of the top favorites and adjust your bets accordingly.
                        Comment
                        • ploben
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-09-09
                          • 527

                          #327
                          Doesn't look good for the Yanks. Need to give up a run then get a 2 run walk off in the 9th.
                          Comment
                          • ploben
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-09-09
                            • 527

                            #328
                            Well boys and girls...I know some of us got some work to do. Chase day "Final Countdown".

                            Looks like BOS will be the play and I couldn't be happier. I will be at that game tomorrow night, screaming my @$$ off for everyone on here who is down to their last $ playing this system a month too early. I want everyone to cash tomorrow. Becket on the mound, bats are coming alive, it's all going to take place in Massachusets tomorrow night.

                            BOS -270 ML / -130 RL....heavy heavy chalk, maybe wait to see what it does in the afternoon. Might see a few points come off that line.

                            GL to all and hope to see you on the other side.
                            Comment
                            • coreygman
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 01-18-09
                              • 325

                              #329
                              Looks like I am going to have a hefty bet tonight on the game!

                              BOS J BECKETT -R-270 u9 EV -1½ -130
                              Comment
                              • do5000
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 06-06-08
                                • 853

                                #330
                                too bad we couldnt take CLE - 12.5
                                Comment
                                • do5000
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 06-06-08
                                  • 853

                                  #331
                                  i went against the system and took LAD today, so far looks good.
                                  hopefully BOS will win big (enjoy the game ploben!), and the system will save itself.

                                  if not, whoever suggested we follow this, unless the fav is NYY, might be a genius.
                                  Comment
                                  • brooks85
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-05-09
                                    • 44709

                                    #332
                                    System holds true. Crazy it starts off with a six game chase so soon.
                                    Comment
                                    • ploben
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-09-09
                                      • 527

                                      #333
                                      Oh man what a game. Just getting home back to CT. Got a little worried with Paps doing some funky 9th inning stunts but it all works out.

                                      Let's keep on chasin'
                                      Comment
                                      • brooks85
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-05-09
                                        • 44709

                                        #334
                                        NYY the play today
                                        Comment
                                        • ploben
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-09-09
                                          • 527

                                          #335
                                          I don't know if any money should be put on the NYY until the prove they can at least win a game...forget winning by two.

                                          The books have lost so much with the heavy chalk they set for the NYY that all they are doing is raising inflating that line to make up for their losses. I think you have to steer clear of the Yank-ums.

                                          The Red Sox are the second fav. on the board and are at least EV for the RL.

                                          Something to think about.
                                          Comment
                                          • jellobiafra
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 03-08-09
                                            • 6291

                                            #336
                                            I think it's kind of scary (for their sakes) all the posts I'm seeing about loading up on the Yankees today. Sure, they'll probably win. But if we've learned anything about them the past couple games it's that they could very well lose again today. People are just soooo sure that oh....today is the day they get right....they have to win big today... Why? Just because they're in pinstripes? I'm avoiding the Yankees like the plague for the time being. I would say it'll be hilarious to see them lose again today, but it won't because I know some people here are loading up on them and I don't want to see them get hurt. But then again if they lose today, those same people will probably just load up even heavier next game because then the Yankees will HAVE to win. It's a lock, right? They're the YANKEES for god's sake.
                                            Comment
                                            • ploben
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-09-09
                                              • 527

                                              #337
                                              Originally posted by jellobiafra
                                              I think it's kind of scary (for their sakes) all the posts I'm seeing about loading up on the Yankees today. Sure, they'll probably win. But if we've learned anything about them the past couple games it's that they could very well lose again today. People are just soooo sure that oh....today is the day they get right....they have to win big today... Why? Just because they're in pinstripes? I'm avoiding the Yankees like the plague for the time being. I would say it'll be hilarious to see them lose again today, but it won't because I know some people here are loading up on them and I don't want to see them get hurt. But then again if they lose today, those same people will probably just load up even heavier next game because then the Yankees will HAVE to win. It's a lock, right? They're the YANKEES for god's sake.


                                              Stay away until they can play baseball.

                                              I'm on BOS today @ EV $
                                              Comment
                                              • owll52
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 02-07-09
                                                • 131

                                                #338
                                                [quote=ploben;1760918]

                                                Stay away until they can play baseball.

                                                I'm on BOS today @ EV $[/quote

                                                Couldn't agree more. I'm treading lightly this month. I'll start to increase my bets in May
                                                Comment
                                                • brooks85
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-05-09
                                                  • 44709

                                                  #339
                                                  I dont like the yankees today either but i am following the system. Its meant to be a chase, a loss on game A is no big deal. Id rather follow the system for a loss rather than make a different pick for a loss/win.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • do5000
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 06-06-08
                                                    • 853

                                                    #340
                                                    brooks, i agree.
                                                    the more you add in personal opinion, the less it becomes a system.
                                                    i took the yanks and hopefully theyll pull it out in the 8th.
                                                    if not, i'll try again tomorrow.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • brooks85
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-05-09
                                                      • 44709

                                                      #341
                                                      a yessir, Yankees covered.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • coreygman
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 01-18-09
                                                        • 325

                                                        #342
                                                        nice, 2 wins in a row!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • do5000
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 06-06-08
                                                          • 853

                                                          #343
                                                          looks good!

                                                          let's hope the winning keeps up tomorrow with a really early BOS game.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • coreygman
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 01-18-09
                                                            • 325

                                                            #344
                                                            Looks like todays bet will be Boston

                                                            Here is what I see in my book, anybody else see anything different?

                                                            BOS MASTERSON -R -220 u10½ -120 -1½ -110
                                                            Comment
                                                            • coreygman
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 01-18-09
                                                              • 325

                                                              #345
                                                              So I had a little problem with my book only allowing bets up to $750.00 So I am going to change the way I bet a little bit.

                                                              I will start out with $30 for the first game, then go up by $15 each game after that. so here is how the 6 game chase could max out.

                                                              Risk Amount
                                                              1. $30.00
                                                              2. $45.00
                                                              3. $90.00
                                                              4. $180.00
                                                              5. $360.00
                                                              6. $715.00
                                                              Comment
                                                              • HarleyRoadKing
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 01-07-09
                                                                • 199

                                                                #346
                                                                Originally posted by brooks85
                                                                I dont like the yankees today either but i am following the system. Its meant to be a chase, a loss on game A is no big deal. Id rather follow the system for a loss rather than make a different pick for a loss/win.

                                                                Very wise statement Brooksie.... Fellas, as soon as you start injecting your opinions and a lack of discipline in commiting to the fundamental system, you will inevitably screw up it's success... Case in point yesterday... System play was NYY, which covered... Some didn't like the way NY has been underperforming (understandable) and went with BOS, who by the way only won by one run....
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ploben
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 01-09-09
                                                                  • 527

                                                                  #347
                                                                  Originally posted by coreygman
                                                                  So I had a little problem with my book only allowing bets up to $750.00 So I am going to change the way I bet a little bit.

                                                                  I will start out with $30 for the first game, then go up by $15 each game after that. so here is how the 6 game chase could max out.

                                                                  Risk Amount
                                                                  1. $30.00
                                                                  2. $45.00
                                                                  3. $90.00
                                                                  4. $180.00
                                                                  5. $360.00
                                                                  6. $715.00
                                                                  Not sure if this is correct because you want to be chasing what you risked plus amount to win. Your risk amount would be decided by the RL. If you are chasing $30 and it's day A and the RL is -110 you will actually have to risk $33 to win $30. If you lost day A, then day B would be like this:

                                                                  To Win: $33 (risked from day A) + $30 (chasing to win) = $63
                                                                  Risk for Day B: RL -120...$75.60 to win $63
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • coreygman
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 01-18-09
                                                                    • 325

                                                                    #348
                                                                    Originally posted by ploben
                                                                    Not sure if this is correct because you want to be chasing what you risked plus amount to win. Your risk amount would be decided by the RL. If you are chasing $30 and it's day A and the RL is -110 you will actually have to risk $33 to win $30. If you lost day A, then day B would be like this:

                                                                    To Win: $33 (risked from day A) + $30 (chasing to win) = $63
                                                                    Risk for Day B: RL -120...$75.60 to win $63

                                                                    Yes you are correct, if it is a - run line then my number will increase by whatever that is, but what I meant is by only added on to win 15 after the 1st game, it will keep my overall bet lower, and still be able to work with my book and keep it under $750
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ploben
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-09-09
                                                                      • 527

                                                                      #349
                                                                      Sweeeeeeeeeeeeep
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • do5000
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 06-06-08
                                                                        • 853

                                                                        #350
                                                                        3 in a row!
                                                                        last two were easy covers.

                                                                        no lines out for tomorrow yet, although Doc at home against the rangers looks to be up there.
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...