So a little confused on this system. I'm on the Mets today, but are people still chasing the Phillies runline since they lost yesterday?
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I am really like this NYM line and I think they are ready for a breakout game.
Anyone upping their bet tonight on the Mets?Comment -
No. All we are chasing is the money, not a specific team. We play the RL on the biggest ML fav of the day. Phils yesturday, Mets today.Originally posted by tbill11Comment -
I kept the normal 10 for the chase. But put 50 more on the mets as a side bet. First time I bet with santana, so hopefully he doesnt screw me. Or they give him more than 2 damn runs for support. Just for kicks I checked out like 4-5 sites for the moneyline. One site sportsinteraction has it at -305. That is criminal.Originally posted by plobenComment -
Edited: Alright I got it. Sounds like a great system and obviously it's working. Thanks for the help!Originally posted by plobenComment -
-305 is criminal....its forcing action on the RL which I don't think is all that bad.Comment -
RL back up to -130...hope you got it at the discountComment -
Now bodog has it at -310. I checked it at 5 and was 280. Crazy.Comment -
Be nice if Reyes wouldn't leave 42 people on base per at bat.Comment -
Just about to go to bed and enjoy a nice payday from the Mets and wham...2 run shot.....FUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCKComment -
Hahahaha. Did that just happen. Remind me next time if I ever do a side bet that it's 5 innings. ****k bullpens. Amazing how I bet on a team and a relief pitcher who hasn't given up a run this year gives up two in the 9th for a 1 run game.Comment -
Dropped and extra 10 on them. Now I gota chase 10 more than i should be. Patience man...I gotta learn it.
Looks like Mets tomorrow too...at least its + moneyComment -
And it's final. Already chasing to a game 3 and I just started 4 days ago. The best part is I was so close to taking the moneyline for 50 as my sidebet. But the payout was like 17. God damnit.Comment -
Seems like everytime we get a new person on the thread we end up going a couple games.Comment -
Originally posted by ploben
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Originally posted by ploben
Considering the W-L record is 5-9. This would only make sense.Comment -
Mets again it looks like on my book no line for the runline yet but Mets are 1.53 moneyline ( -188)Comment -
I got them at +105 last night...Bookmaker's got them at +110 right nowOriginally posted by MarvelboyComment -
So I really have to chase to a game 3 with a pitcher who has more walks than strikeouts this year and an ERA over 8 and hasn't pitched in almost two weeks. This should be a fun game. Hope the mets score 9 runs today.Comment -
ya looks like mets in my book to, and its at +105!!
NYM M PELFREY -R -185 u10EV -1½ +105Comment -
No kidding..LOL.. I was sitting live at the Marlins-Phillies game watching the damn Marlins closer shit the bed in the 9th... Kept vigil on the scoreboard to see the Mets go into the 9th up 4-1, then watch the scoreboard light up to 4-3 final... It's almost as if the friggin Mets closer called my bookie to see who I had the -1.5 run line and said to himself, "let me stick it to ole Harley" and we still get to win the game...Originally posted by ploben
I FVVCKIN HATE LOSING LIKE THAT....
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ya we all did get screwed last nightComment -
I'm afraid I don't have any NHL data. Sorry. I think this system would be just as risky on NHL as MLB, so I wouldn't recommend that anyone try it.Originally posted by brooks85Comment -
Now this is what im talking about!Comment -
so far so good. but lets not get too excited until the 9th is over.Comment -
Its true, system just is not worth it. It might have been great years ago if/when RLs were + money. I read your results wrong from the last test. Just betting to win 10 dollars a game, your looking at a 1200+ or - dollar loss when the chase loses. If there was 13 loses and only 824 wins at 10 dollars a win, definitely not worth it.Originally posted by BettorBobComment -
Appears to be Padres today. -200 with Oswalt on the mound. Followed closely are the Mets at -190. But I'll wait till I wake up in the morning and see the lines once again.Comment -
Originally posted by brooks85
are you saying hte MLB system is nto worth it?Comment -
I dont believe it is. I am going to keep tracking it.Comment -
I think you mean Peavy on the mound. Got to like the +115!Originally posted by Slanina
Padres are the pick for me also, beat out the mets...
SDG J PEAVY -R -200u 7½ -115 -1½ +115
NYM OL PEREZ -L -185 u9½ -115 -1½ +110Comment -
I don't think people have faith for any kind of chasing systems. Even if you are sacrificing 19 units to win 1 unit like the JM system, you still have people complaining about it.
If you do a 6 game chase on ML, the system is flawless to date.... the question is do you have the balls to do it. of course if you are planning to use a chase system, make sure your bankroll can support several series losses.Comment -
todays bet should be NYM, not SD (if we go by opening lines).
mets opened at -185 and SD opened at -171.
i'm on the mets today, hopefully they can do it twice in a row.
ps johncrud, you meant if you do a 6 game chase on RL right? (not ML)Comment -
You can check out page 8 where BettorBob posted his results for the past years. RL has lost 10 times while -1 RL has lost 2 times. Then I went and analyze ML myself and found that it has yet to lose..Comment -
This is true. The NYM line has fallen but was the board favorite when the lines opened.Originally posted by do5000Comment -
thats interesting, i didnt know.
im guessing you'd need a much bigger bankroll since taking a heavy fav would win very little (prob $10 to win $4). so at the end of the chase it can get really expensive.
but i do agree that as long as you stick with it, it will work.
curious to know if those 10 and 2 losses would have been erased on the 7th game.Comment
