Todays Action, 2009 M.L.B. Thread
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MexicanStallionSBR Posting Legend
- 09-08-08
- 20429
#1471Comment -
mcbainSBR High Roller
- 03-11-09
- 184
#1472mcbain picks for Thursday:
CUBS
KC/HOU OVER 9
BOS -1.5
BOS OVER 4.5
PHI OVER 4.5
TB OVER 4.5Comment -
BamaBill67SBR Wise Guy
- 11-12-08
- 682
#1473Down -3.85 units, so close yesterday.......oh well
Quick post, I placed 1.5 units on 5 bets today
LaD -150
Min -130
Bos -120
Tx -110
Fl -120Comment -
therber2Restricted User
- 12-22-08
- 3715
#1474
FLA/BAL(2 units)
NYY -103 (.5 unit)
Rangers -112 (1.5 unit)
Marlins -115 (1 units)
Mariners -178 (1.5 unit)
SEA/ PADs(1 unit)
Boston -120 (1.5 units)Comment -
BamaBill67SBR Wise Guy
- 11-12-08
- 682
#1475Been working the graveyard shift. I got up at the last minute to make those 2 early bets, wasn't going to post anything but decided to go ahead. If it means anything, both games were 0-0 when I did post. My main objective was to get in the later games.....I am going back to bed. Hope I gain some ground when I get up.Comment -
TodaysActionRestricted User
- 08-01-08
- 12762
#1476WA, risk 1.00 unit
BALT, win 1.00 unit
CIN, risk 1.00 unit
BOS/WA,, risk 1.00 unit
PHI/TAM,, win 1.00 unit
BALT/FL,, win 1.00 unit
TX/AZ,, win 1.00 unit
Comment -
TodaysActionRestricted User
- 08-01-08
- 12762
#1477Long time coming but, folks knew it would happen.
but the good news is one of us will win
Comment -
TodaysActionRestricted User
- 08-01-08
- 12762
#1478[quote=therber2;1967564]
TA needed a break. All this action could easily get in the way of his tapdancin' We wouldn't want that FOG......we wouldn't want that.lol
Looks like you figured out the smileys. I want to hit a, but I didn't have anything today. I guess it is better to wager on the spirit of optimism!
Real nice call and couldn't be happier for you and those who tailed it!Comment -
TodaysActionRestricted User
- 08-01-08
- 12762
#1479Foghorn,
You sir are astute!We were on the roof over looking the river and had a great time. My boys did me proud, as they gave up their seats to some elderly folks so they could sit and enjoy the show. Shit like that tells me we did right. All kinds of folks were down in the D and very few incidents which might bring a few more of the burbites down come summer. Was =given a pair of seats for this afternoons game, so I took baby girl and had a blast. I for one appreciate what you bring to the thread and look forward to reading what you got for the day.
Comment -
TodaysActionRestricted User
- 08-01-08
- 12762
#1480Yesterday's four pack went 1-3 taking 3.70 units from the accounts.
Today's R.T.B.play is: WA
The R.T.B. record is 2-1, +1.23 (for what ever level you're at).
F.Y.I, R.T.B.'s are not the standard $100 unit wagers.
Rock The Boat (RTB) will now be known as Ride Te Wave (RTW) until a rocking boat image is readily available here.Comment -
therber2Restricted User
- 12-22-08
- 3715
#1481Been working the graveyard shift. I got up at the last minute to make those 2 early bets, wasn't going to post anything but decided to go ahead. If it means anything, both games were 0-0 when I did post. My main objective was to get in the later games.....I am going back to bed. Hope I gain some ground when I get up.Comment -
therber2Restricted User
- 12-22-08
- 3715
#1482Yesterday's four pack went 1-3 taking 3.70 units from the accounts.
Today's R.T.B.play is: WA
The R.T.B. record is 2-1, +1.23 (for what ever level you're at).
F.Y.I, R.T.B.'s are not the standard $100 unit wagers.
Rock The Boat (RTB) will now be known as Ride Te Wave (RTW) until a rocking boat image is readily available here.
What is Rock The Boat? Is this WNBA?Comment -
TodaysActionRestricted User
- 08-01-08
- 12762
#1483As posted earlier in the thread, "Here are tonight's "Rock the Boats" - meaning too many on one side for my liking. To qualify, a team needs a score of 180 or more."
"F.Y.I, R.T.B.'s are not the standard $100 unit wagers.
Rock The Boat (RTB) will now be known as Ride The Wave (RTW)
until a rocking boat image is readily available here. "
They are for M.L.B. only at this time, however this has been back tested (one of the projects I was working one while you and others were and are doing the M.L.B. mining. with it completed I can now begin my second series of work for more) for
and I like what I've seen.
Comment -
TodaysActionRestricted User
- 08-01-08
- 12762
#1484Been working the graveyard shift. I got up at the last minute to make those 2 early bets, wasn't going to post anything but decided to go ahead. If it means anything, both games were 0-0 when I did post. My main objective was to get in the later games.....I am going back to bed. Hope I gain some ground when I get up.
BamaBill67 has another way of looking at the games, which is good far as I'm concerned as long as things are straight/on the level/tight. His fact finding missions are of quality - if you need evidence/proof of this go back and read his first two or three posts in the thread. Bear shook the tree and money fell.Comment -
TodaysActionRestricted User
- 08-01-08
- 12762
#1485As WA took down BOS,
therecord is now 3-1, +2.26.
Comment -
therber2Restricted User
- 12-22-08
- 3715
#1486I agree, it's one thing to have the post miss by a minute or two because one is entering the text/message but if it's more than three minutes, make a note of it and DON'T count it in your record here.
BamaBill67 has another way of looking at the games, which is good far as I'm concerned as long as things are straight/on the level/tight. His fact finding missions are of quality - if you need evidence/proof of this go back and read his first two or three posts in the thread. Bear shook the tree and money fell.
I did Seatle 5 units largest bet in this thread for me so far. This illustrates another scenario. This game checked out very strong in my card alone, and there were neither people against or for besides the general public (who was on Mariners I think). Flexibility is key; however a good blend of sticking to "what works" and deriving new strategies is what I thinks brings success.
To anyone new here, the things we post are not to be blindly tailed. Do so at your own risk; we are happy to help you, and happy to have you help us.Comment -
TodaysActionRestricted User
- 08-01-08
- 12762
#1487The night ends up 5-2 and +2.79 units.
Thewon too (+1.00
unit) and is now 3-1, +2.26.
Comment -
therber2Restricted User
- 12-22-08
- 3715
#1488Gah, I was playing Boston. This was a poorly thought out pick; too many emotional factors in play. I need to keep reminding myself, logic only.
TA, when you talk about ratings, what exactly do you refer to? Just price? Or weight of the public?Comment -
TodaysActionRestricted User
- 08-01-08
- 12762
#1489Lol. Okay. Well, with TA backing your credibility (and I will check what you wrote before--I apologize for my ignorance) your plays are absolutely fine. As I said before, the more early picks we get in though, I think the better our final picks can be. Just to be clear, my posted picks are not exactly what I play. Most of the time, they are what I play for real $$, but they are always subject to change. For example, I have a habit of putting minimun units on my picks for the day. Say TA has 20 units on the other side, I will keep my real wager at what it is. If no strong conflicts pick up I will usually up the bets a bit more to what I see fit. I have mentioned before, if I feel strong, and there is a concensus it could turn out to be a very large pick.
I did Seatle 5 units largest bet in this thread for me so far. This illustrates another scenario. This game checked out very strong in my card alone, and there were neither people against or for besides the general public (who was on Mariners I think). Flexibility is key; however a good blend of sticking to "what works" and deriving new strategies is what I thinks brings success.
To anyone new here, the things we post are not to be blindly tailed. Do so at your own risk; we are happy to help you, and happy to have you help us.
Be assured nobody in this thread will came down on you if things go south - it's not what this thread is about. People have average, bad and good days; all part of life.
Seattle was the publics' choice and had SD not won the night before, they (SD) would have been a. Like I said, I'm glad to see other's hit their larger action - all that will do is help them and/or their family.
Good point about anyone who tails or blindly follows any of the choices/selections/wagers/your term here, please it's your money do a little research and if it agrees with what's here, and you feel up to it, go for it. If if doesn't play, if you want to, what you've learned.
Again, no issues with a play being 1 or 2 minutes late because of typing it in but if it's more than three (3), please don't count it in your record for the thread. Thanks for your co-operation.Comment -
TodaysActionRestricted User
- 08-01-08
- 12762
#1490
WT alone/only will yield a good return but the other factors bump it up a couple steps.I do not post them very often but felt some needed "proof" of success to show validation for the thread and myself and *poof* there it is. Going to call it a night shortly. Get good reads from the overnights.
Comment -
mcbainSBR High Roller
- 03-11-09
- 184
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BamaBill67SBR Wise Guy
- 11-12-08
- 682
#1492
First thing I look at is ERA, but I also look at innings pitched and rookie veteran or ace status
Next, home team and how teams play at home and the road.
I look at how well a team hits, Ex. I would look at a team like Texas as a problem for any pitcher when Texas is home, there line-up is good. Then teams like Houston, which burned my parlay a couple nights ago with Oswalt on the mound as one that can cost you.
I fail at not looking at line-ups (I rely on SBR brothers for that)
Sometimes I take into consideration sweeps, I use to never bet on a team that had already won all the other games in that series.
Hope this helps. I will try to give a "why" with my picks or just tail someone for a few days. Trust me though, I am here to make money and it hurts my feelings (nicer to say than it makes me mad) when I lose. I just got home from work and realized I had an UP night last night so maybe I am back on track after my 3 str8 down days. I am at -3.40 units on the week. Didnt gain alot but up is up. Ok, I need to do my research before I get to sleepy and figure where I am going to pull the trigger today......BOLComment -
BeastxxxSBR Sharp
- 06-26-09
- 446
#1493would love to hear your pics, I study the pitchers, era and ballparks and have lost for 3 months straight.
The wife is nagging me now I need to win
I am thinking nyy, bos, tb and jays for win.
tb and jays over, bos and yanks under.
Jays and tb win by 1 and nyy and boston win by1
Texas giants and LAA looks good to win by1.
I hopeComment -
BamaBill67SBR Wise Guy
- 11-12-08
- 682
#1494would love to hear your pics, I study the pitchers, era and ballparks and have lost for 3 months straight.
The wife is nagging me now I need to win
I am thinking nyy, bos, tb and jays for win.
tb and jays over, bos and yanks under.
Jays and tb win by 1 and nyy and boston win by1
Texas giants and LAA looks good to win by1.
I hope
Was @ Bal....Was sucks on the road @ 8-24, Bal is like 21-17 @ home, plus Bal has the better pitcher on the mound by far
LaA @ Ari...just a couple of things but I think its strong, J. Weaver for LaA lost his last time out against his cousin for LaD. He pitched a good game as he has all year, lost by 1 i think. He rebounds today. And i think LaA is a better all around hitting team than Ari.
SD @ Tx.....In the hitting Tx is hands down better than SD, SD has showed some life lately though. Tx is finally back home. And Millwood pitched a good game @ SF but took an L, he got no run support. Tx should score on W. Silva with no problem.
I am going to get some sleep now, maybe something new and great will come up on here when I get up. The ChC/CHW game and some great finds would be nice.Comment -
mcbainSBR High Roller
- 03-11-09
- 184
#1495I agree with you on BALT and TEX, Bama Bill, but can't agree on the Weavers.
Don't like that game today and they are brothers, not cousins!
Thought you might want to know.
Good analysis though.
Orioles in a rout tonight would be aComment -
shoeboxRestricted User
- 11-26-08
- 5710
#1496TA thanks for stopping by yesterday, nice to see you cash WA as well, feel free to stop on by anytime.
Todays action for me is:
June 26
cubs +100 3 units
reds +100 3 units
Marlins +130 2 units
GL with your action fellas..
Comment -
FoghornSBR Sharp
- 01-28-09
- 461
#1497Foghorn,
You sir are astute!We were on the roof over looking the river and had a great time. My boys did me proud, as they gave up their seats to some elderly folks so they could sit and enjoy the show. Shit like that tells me we did right. All kinds of folks were down in the D and very few incidents which might bring a few more of the burbites down come summer. Was =given a pair of seats for this afternoons game, so I took baby girl and had a blast. I for one appreciate what you bring to the thread and look forward to reading what you got for the day.
Comment -
FoghornSBR Sharp
- 01-28-09
- 461
#1498I'm going with an early game today, and maybe follow up with another game later.
Chicago vs Chicago:
Cubs:
Losers of their last 4 games (all on the road), the Cubbies will be throwing Randy Wells. In his last 3 games, his ERA is 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.35. He has given up 2 runs or less in 6 of his 8 starts (4 & 3 in the other 2). I read some where that the Cubs are 5-16 in their last 21 road games.
White Sox:
Contreras is a completely different pitcher since he returned from the minors. Since his return, he has given up 3 runs in 22 innnings, and is 2-1 with an ERA of 1.23 and a whopping 0.68 WHIP. The Sox are averaging over 6 runs in their last 5 games.
NOTES: In last season's series, the home teams won every game.
PICK: Chicago............White Sox (I should just leave it as Chicago, I would then guarantee a LOCK) 1 unit
Record: 20-15-1 (+7 units)
Good Luck on all your plays tonightComment -
FoghornSBR Sharp
- 01-28-09
- 461
#1499Alright, I was going to wait until later today, but I might be doing something fun tonight. Here is my other play for today.
LA Angels at Arizona:
Arizona:
Billy Buckner on the mound, and in his last 3 games, he is 0-3 with an ERA of 9.72 and a rather large WHIP of 1.92. He gave up 7 runs in his last outing in 6 innings, and has given up 5 runs in each of the 5 games before that, and only going into the 6th inning of one of those games. Arizona has lost 5 of their last 6.
Snyder, Byrnes, Tracy, & Jackson are out for the Diamondbacks. Arizona is 15-25 at home.
Los Angeles:
Jered Weaver throwing tonight for the Angels. Lost his last game against his brother, but is 2-1 and an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.38. Other than the 5 runs he gave up in his last outing, he has given up 0, 2, 1, 1, 1 run in the previous 5 before that. Vladimir Guerrero may be out tonight for rest. Angels are 18-17 on the road, and are 7-3 in their last 10, winning their last 3 on the road at SF
PICK: LA Angels (3 units)
Record: TBD
I'll check back later, hope you are all enjoying the day.Comment -
TodaysActionRestricted User
- 08-01-08
- 12762
#1502I will be more than happy to give some insight on how I pick a game. I figure once I tell that, then someone may see where I could improve. So, here it goes.......
First thing I look at is ERA, but I also look at innings pitched and rookie veteran or ace status
Next, home team and how teams play at home and the road.
I look at how well a team hits, Ex. I would look at a team like Texas as a problem for any pitcher when Texas is home, there line-up is good. Then teams like Houston, which burned my parlay a couple nights ago with Oswalt on the mound as one that can cost you.
I fail at not looking at line-ups (I rely on SBR brothers for that)
Sometimes I take into consideration sweeps, I use to never bet on a team that had already won all the other games in that series.
Hope this helps. I will try to give a "why" with my picks or just tail someone for a few days. Trust me though, I am here to make money and it hurts my feelings (nicer to say than it makes me mad) when I lose. I just got home from work and realized I had an UP night last night so maybe I am back on track after my 3 str8 down days. I am at -3.40 units on the week. Didnt gain alot but up is up. Ok, I need to do my research before I get to sleepy and figure where I am going to pull the trigger today......BOL
A couple things that I have found to be useful, and by no means is this the only way to look at a game, is to include information pertaining to the relief staff/bullpen unless you're only doing first half games; starting pitchers WHIP is a good way to measure how far they can go by innings and pitch count since very few go nine any more; umpires are useful for totals - a small zone caller has higher scoring games generally; weather (wind, humidity, etc). Again, just tossing out some other factors what I know are used by some. Once you find a way that works for you, bang it until they tap.Comment -
TodaysActionRestricted User
- 08-01-08
- 12762
#1503Comment -
TodaysActionRestricted User
- 08-01-08
- 12762
#1504I used to come to SBR for information to help me in my handicapping of games. This thread is fun because the people aren't all hung up about their records, and I don't see all the back stabbing and bull-loney that goes on in other threads. You and Therbs and the rest of the gang are informative, insightful, and take your winning and losing in stride. See you all later tonight..........Comment -
TodaysActionRestricted User
- 08-01-08
- 12762
#1505MILEHIGHMONSTERS,
Thanks for joining the thread.You are others are welcome to post yours selections with or without explanations keep a record or not but please pass on the link to your thread.
Keep doing what you are and "it" will happen but going the route (shortcut) isn't the best or even a better/good way to go.
Good luck tonight and the season.
Comment
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