Dolphins +3+100 and ml +150 play of the week

[lakerboy]

great play here. miami should be able to run all over the packers and control the clock. miami defense will do enough to keep them in the game. very bad spot for the packers. a couple of wins by them makes everyone think they are fine but gb will be in for a tough game here.

1 unit on the ml
3 units on the spread

[crustyme]

trying to divert attention from twizzler's 0-13 run.....

lol

[Dollars2Donuts]

Sorry Lakerboy, but I am going the MAX the other way.

[klemopixx]

Sure GB is not fine, but where is Miami? One big win in London over a clueless Raiders squad does not make them force to be reckoned with. Will Tannehill be able to keep up with Aaron Rodgers? Moreno is still banged up so its up to Lamar Miller "run all over the Packers and control the clock"? He ain't all that! I'm not so sure about this home dog...

[THam12]

I had been leaning GB, now I just tipped. -3 for the win.

[Big Bear]

good luck LB.

i will pass on this one, it looks like a coin flip IMO.

both teams are very flawed.

[BeanTownClown88]

Play of week? IDK about that..but certainly GB is going to have their hands full and I wouldn't max out on GB by any means.

[DrunkHorseplayer]

I'm big on GB; they're hitting stride and i don't put any stock in beating the Raiders. GB -3.

[jjgold]

Pass

Dont trust Dolphs

[WWCD]

I'm on GB small, but I do believe Miami is a good play. I was on the fence for a bit on this one, but ultimately had to "relax" and roll with Rodgers.

[LT Profits]

Dolphins are my best bet of the week too, but I got +3.5 -115.

[LT Profits]

Sure GB is not fine, but where is Miami? One big win in London over a clueless Raiders squad does not make them force to be reckoned with. Will Tannehill be able to keep up with Aaron Rodgers? Moreno is still banged up so its up to Lamar Miller "run all over the Packers and control the clock"? He ain't all that! I'm not so sure about this home dog...

You are overlooking the Philbin factor. Plus Rodgers may need to do it alone, Miami could stuff the run.

[RollinDo]

I had been leaning GB, now I just tipped. -3 for the win.

This is good stuff...always nice to have confirmation about our leans right?

[BeanTownClown88]

Miami does do a good job of keeping the ball and the opposing QB off the field.
Maybe I'm leaning under too here

[GunShard]

I know you have a biased hate for the Packers.

[GT21Megatron]

God damnit

[pavyracer]

What's the deal here? Twizzler leaves and his ghost lakerboy picks up the button of suckage.

Go all in on Packers. Just booked my ticket.

[LT Profits]

We agree on Dolphins and Royals. I don't know what to make of that.

[lakerboy]

We agree on Dolphins and Royals. I don't know what to make of that.

we usually agree on most plays

[Biff41]

Can Miami def stop Lacey?

[RickyRoma]

lakerboy i see things the other way, although miami is a different team at home, there just not up to par with green bay. could be a backdoor cover, but i like the packers ML even if the value isnt great

[LT Profits]

Can Miami def stop Lacey?

Yes they can, allowing 3.8 YPC.

[SteveKerrsJunk]

For some reason I really like the Dolphins +3, don't ask me why because I have no valid reasons to pick them.

[LT Profits]

For some reason I really like the Dolphins +3, don't ask me why because I have no valid reasons to pick them.

There are PLENTY of valid reasons for liking Miiami:

Courtesy of Walter Cherepinsky:


GREEN BAY OFFENSE: Quick, what do you know about Aaron Rodgers? He's obviously a great quarterback. He went to Cal after being in community college. He makes cool State Farm commercials. He hates Todd McShay's guts. And he kind of resembles Michael Scofield from Prison Break (imagine him with a shaved head). That's pretty much all I've got, and I imagine you have a similar list. Joe Philbin, on the other hand, knows Rodgers better than almost anyone.

Philbin, the head coach of the Dolphins, used to be Rodgers' offensive coordinator. He knows all of Rodgers' weaknesses, and he's had two weeks to prepare for his former signal-caller. He also has a defense that possesses a tremendous pass rush, which spells trouble for Rodgers, given how awful Green Bay's offensive line has been this year.

Rodgers will still get his yardage and points. He's just too good. However, he'll have to do everything because Miami excels against the run, so don't expect much from Eddie Lacy. It all just might be too much for Rodgers, so the Dolphins might be able to somewhat limit him and give their offense a chance to outscore one of the NFL's elite quarterbacks.

MIAMI OFFENSE: Can the Dolphins' scoring attack do it? I wouldn't ordinarily have much faith in Ryan Tannehill, but considering the opponent, it might just be feasible.

Green Bay's defensive concerns have been well-documented. The team has so many liabilities on its stop unit, which would explain why it ranks 26th in overall defensive efficiency. The Packers are especially brutal when it comes to stopping the run. They've struggled at that aspect against most of their foes. They limited Minnesota's backs on Thursday night, so there is some hope, but that was likely the result of the defense being able to stack the box with Christian Ponder on the other side.

Lamar Miller (and perhaps Knowshon Moreno) will have much more success than Matt Asiata because the Packers will actually have to worry about Tannehill. Granted, he's not the greatest quarterback, but he's much better than Ponder. He also has some solid weapons that he can utilize, and I'm not confident that Green Bay's pedestrian linebackers and mediocre secondary will be able to stop them.

RECAP: As you can tell, I like the Dolphins quite a bit. I'm taking them for four units. Here's why:

1. The Philbin factor. Head coaches have had great success against their former quarterbacks over the years. As mentioned, Philbin has had two weeks to prepare.

2. The Packers are coming off a perfect win. They have to be feeling great about themselves, and they've had 10 days where everyone has been telling them how awesomethey are. Will they even be focused against a non-conference foe they know absolutely nothing about?

3. It's going to be hot in Miami. It's not September, but the forecast is calling for 88 and sunny, which will be brutal for a 1 p.m. start in South Beach. Like the Patriots, the Packers could melt under the Miami sun and just be completely exhausted in the second half.

4. The 80-20 rule currently applies. When there's 80 percent or so action on one side, the other side covers more often than not. The public is pounding Green Bay despite mostly everything favoring the Dolphins.


Source: WalterFootball.com

[Pete0]

great info LB ,

usually wouldnt fade rodgers but am in this scenario
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[Hot Jerry]

WNT

[klemopixx]

I'll believe it when I see it. Packers -3

[coitus_maximus]

Agreed, with the poor run D, and an extra week to prepare by the EX Green Bay Offensive Coordinator. It is the right play IMO.

[BeanTownClown88]

Miami will play gb like they do NE..long slow drives, keep offense on sideline..they also have decent defense..think under is good play but il prolly lay off

[BigDeem5]

Packers ml -150 is the play

[LT Profits]

Packers ml -150 is the play

Plenty of -130 out there. But doubt the Packers win (although I just took 3.5)

[boomer62]

I love Miami too, sharps on Miami BUT all the services are too as well as Buffalo. Yesterday all services were on UCLA and A&M and we know how that turned out. Having my doubts on Miami on pulling the trigger.
Like Cleveland and Dallas.

[Demonata]

Green Bay Will Win.

[slacker00]

If there's one guy that can expose Dom Capers for the fraud that he is, it's Philbin.

[slo mo]

I think that 90 degree heat and humidity will play a factor. I'm leaning towards the fins and the points