UFC 329 Odds: Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway 2 Betting Lines & Card Info

It's a rematch over a decade in the making, and our UFC 329 odds break down McGregor vs. Holloway in the headliner and every fight on the card
Conor McGregor celebrates a TKO victory as we look at the full UFC 329 betting odds and predictions.
Pictured: Conor McGregor celebrates a TKO victory as we look at the full UFC 329 betting odds and predictions. Photo by Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
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The UFC caps International Fight Week this Saturday as UFC 329 takes over T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. This card is headlined by the long-awaited return of former two-division champion Conor McGregor against former champion Max Holloway at welterweight, so we're looking at the live UFC 329 odds for every fight ahead of all the action.

The co-main event features a lightweight showdown as No. 5 contender Benoit Saint-Denis takes on Paddy Pimblett, with the winner right in the title mix. Fans can watch the early prelims at 5 p.m. ET, prelims at 7 p.m. ET, and the main card at 9 p.m. ET on Paramount+.


📊 UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 odds - Main Card

Conor McGregor (22-6) vs. Max Holloway (27-9)

Conor McGregor Max Holloway
Moneyline +185 -235
Total Rounds Over/Under > 2.5 (-110) < 2.5 (-120)

Conor McGregor notes:

  • The Notorious returns: The former two-division champion fights for the first time since July 2021, when he broke his leg against Dustin Poirier at UFC 264, and moves up to welterweight for the rematch
  • Key stat: Owns a 22-6 record built on left-hand knockout power but sits 1-3 since 2018, his last win a January 2020 TKO of Donald Cerrone

Max Holloway notes:

  • Blessed: The former featherweight champion and reigning BMF titleholder makes his welterweight debut, having stayed active against the division's best while McGregor sat out
  • Key stat: Lands 6.91 significant strikes per minute, among the highest volume in UFC history, and has gone 5-3 since 2021 with wins over Gaethje and Poirier

🩸 Betting outlook

Max kept fighting elite competition in Gaethje, Oliveira, and Poirier while McGregor last fought in 2021, when he broke his leg in Round 1. Play the Holloway moneyline (-235) or Holloway by KO (-125) for a shorter price.

Benoit Saint-Denis (17-3) vs. Paddy Pimblett (23-4)

Benoit Saint-Denis Paddy Pimblett
Moneyline -145 +120
Total Rounds Over/Under > 2.5 (+124) < 2.5 (-160)

Benoit Saint-Denis notes:

  • God of War: The No. 5 lightweight and former French special forces soldier rides a four-fight finishing streak under coach Nicolas Ott, stopping Prepolec, Ruffy, Dariush, and Hooker
  • Key stat: Has earned a finish in all 17 of his career wins and is 9-3 in the UFC lightweight division

Paddy Pimblett notes:

  • The Baddy: The Liverpool star opened 2026 with the first loss of his UFC run, dropping an interim title fight to Justin Gaethje at UFC 324 that snapped a nine-fight Octagon win streak
  • Key stat: Holds a 23-4 record and went 7-1 in the UFC before the Gaethje setback, headlined by a 2025 win over Michael Chandler

🩸 Betting outlook

Saint-Denis brings a power and grappling game that erases Pimblett's best path. Pimblett's toughness keeps him competitive, but the BSD moneyline (-145) is the play. I also like a half-unit on the fight to go over 2.5 rounds at +124 or longer.

Cory Sandhagen (18-6) vs. Mario Bautista (17-3)

Cory Sandhagen Mario Bautista
Moneyline -142 +120
Total Rounds Over/Under > 2.5 (-270) < 2.5 (+200)

Cory Sandhagen notes:

  • The Sandman: The No. 4 bantamweight returns from a five-round title loss to Merab Dvalishvili and meets the man he submitted back in 2019 in a seven-year-later rematch
  • Key stat: A rangy, high-level kickboxer whose 56% takedown defense has been the soft spot in losses to Dvalishvili and Umar Nurmagomedov

Mario Bautista notes:

  • Hard-nosed climber: The No. 7 bantamweight has won nine of his last 10, most recently submitting Vinicius Oliveira in his first UFC main event in February
  • Key stat: Built an eight-fight win streak with wins over Jose Aldo, Patchy Mix, and Ricky Simon before a close loss to Umar Nurmagomedov

🩸 Betting outlook

Sandhagen carries a beatable 56% takedown defense, and both Merab and Umar bullied him with grappling. Bautista is the fiercer wrestler, so I'm backing him with a one-unit moneyline bet (+120).

Lone'er Kavanagh (10-1) vs. Brandon Royval (17-9)

Lone'er Kavanagh Brandon Royval
Moneyline -218 +180
Total Rounds Over/Under > 2.5 (-188) < 2.5 (+145)

Lone'er Kavanagh notes:

  • Little Dragon: The 27-year-old Londoner rocketed up the flyweight ladder with a short-notice, five-round win over former two-time champion Brandon Moreno in February
  • Key stat: Sits at 10-1 with a kickboxing black belt and a 94% takedown defense, his lone loss a knockout to Charles Johnson

Brandon Royval notes:

  • Raw Dawg: The No. 4 flyweight and two-time title challenger drags everyone into a firefight, though he has dropped two straight to champion Joshua Van and Manel Kape
  • Key stat: A volume-heavy scrambler who lands 5.54 significant strikes per minute and averages better than a submission attempt per fight

🩸 Betting outlook

Kavanagh looked smooth while outpointing Brandon Moreno over five rounds. His speed and power are massive assets at flyweight, and I like him to beat the older Royval (-218). I'm also tossing a half-unit on Kavanagh by KO (+225).

King Green (35-17-1) vs. Terrance McKinney (18-8)

King Green Terrance McKinney
Moneyline +114 -135
Total Rounds Over/Under > 1.5 (+300) < 1.5 (-425)

King Green notes:

  • King: The 39-year-old California veteran is chasing a fourth straight win and still fights at a punishing pace after more than 50 pro bouts
  • Key stat: Carries a 35-17-1 record with elite volume striking, though the division's heavier hitters have been able to stop him

Terrance McKinney notes:

  • T-Wrecks: The Spokane finisher is one of the fastest starters in the sport and opens the main card looking to blitz Green early
  • Key stat: Has finished 17 of his 18 career wins in the first round

🩸 Betting outlook

Green can still turn back the clock, but he's about to get sucked into the cyclone that is McKinney. Take McKinney in Round 1 at +100 or longer.


📊  UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 odds - Prelims

Robert Whittaker (26-9) vs. Nikita Krylov (31-11)

Robert Whittaker Nikita Krylov
Moneyline -135 +115
Total Rounds Over/Under > 1.5 (-210) < 1.5 (+160)

Robert Whittaker notes:

  • The Reaper: The former middleweight champion moves up to light heavyweight for the first time in his career, aiming to snap a two-fight skid
  • Key stat: One of the quickest, most technical strikers in the sport's history at 185, now testing that speed against naturally bigger men

Nikita Krylov notes:

  • The Miner: The durable veteran steadied himself in January with a third-round finish of Modestas Bukauskas after back-to-back knockout losses in 2025
  • Key stat: A decade-plus veteran with 31 wins, though his once-elite chin cracked against Dominick Reyes and Bogdan Guskov

🩸 Betting outlook

Whittaker gives up size moving up to light heavyweight, but his hand and foot speed sit a class above Krylov's. I'll ride those quick kicks and punches and take the Whittaker moneyline (-135).

Gable Steveson (3-0) vs. Elisha Ellison (5-2)

Gable Steveson Elisha Ellison
Moneyline -2700 +1300
Total Rounds Over/Under > 1.5 (+380) < 1.5 (-580)

Gable Steveson notes:

  • Olympic gold: The former Olympic wrestling champion makes his UFC debut as one of the largest betting favorites in promotional history
  • Key stat: Undefeated at 3-0 with rare heavyweight athleticism, though largely untested against UFC-level opposition

Elisha Ellison notes:

  • The newcomer: The Pacific Northwest heavyweight steps in as a heavy underdog after dropping his UFC debut last year
  • Key stat: Owns a 5-2 record and will need one big shot to trouble Steveson

🩸 Betting outlook

Steveson is a different athlete, and the Olympic gold tells you where this goes on the mat. At -2700 there's nothing straight, so use him only as a parlay anchor. If you need a number, Steveson by first-round KO (-225) is the bet.

Cody Garbrandt (15-7) vs. Adrian Yanez (17-6-1)

Cody Garbrandt Adrian Yanez
Moneyline +340 -410
Total Rounds Over/Under > 1.5 (-200)< 1.5 (+154)

Cody Garbrandt notes:

  • No Love: The former bantamweight champion looks to rebuild after a rough recent stretch marked by knockout losses
  • Key stat: Still carries fast, accurate hands and title-level experience, but the chin has become a question

Adrian Yanez notes:

  • The technician: A crisp, high-volume boxer and sizable favorite who can end nights with either hand
  • Key stat: Holds a 17-6-1 record as one of the division's more polished technical strikers

🩸 Betting outlook

Two polished boxers with shaky chins rarely see the judges. Yanez is the busier hand and deserves to be favored, but -410 is steep on anyone who can be cracked. I'd rather back this fight under 1.5 rounds (+154).

Luke Riley (13-0) vs. Kai Kamaka III (18-7-1)

Luke Riley Kai Kamaka III
Moneyline -280 +242
Total Rounds Over/Under > 2.5 (-210)< 2.5 (+160)

Luke Riley notes:

  • Undefeated prospect: The Scouser is one of six unbeaten fighters in the featherweight division and 2-0 in the UFC
  • Key stat: Sits at 13-0 and steps into his third UFC bout as a clear favorite

Kai Kamaka III notes:

  • The veteran: Kamaka III scored a short-notice split-decision win in his UFC return in April and looks to build a streak
  • Key stat: A durable, pressure-based featherweight at 18-7-1 testing the unbeaten Riley

🩸 Betting outlook

Riley is the fresher, more dangerous prospect and should have the tools to win. Kamaka is a durable grinder who drags prospects into deep water, though, so I'll take Riley by decision rather than lay -280.


📊  UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 odds - Early Prelims

Tracy Cortez (12-3) vs. Cong Wang (9-1)

Tracy Cortez Cong Wang
Moneyline -103 -117
Total Rounds Over/Under > 2.5 (-280)< 2.5 (+210)

Cesar Almeida (7-2) vs. Damian Pinas (9-1)

Cesar Almeida Damian Pinas
Moneyline +175 -205
Total Rounds Over/Under > 1.5 (-120)< 1.5 (-110)

Farid Basharat (15-0) vs. John Garza (6-1)

Farid Basharat John Garza
Moneyline -600 +475
Total Rounds Over/Under > 2.5 (-120)< 2.5 (-110)

Ryan Gandra (9-1) vs. Zach Reese (10-3)

Ryan Gandra Zach Reese
Moneyline -135 +115
Total Rounds Over/Under > 1.5 (+154)< 1.5 (-200)

Alessandro Costa (16-5) vs. Cody Durden (18-10-1)

Alessandro Costa Cody Durden
Moneyline -255 +215
Total Rounds Over/Under > 1.5 (-195)< 1.5 (+150)

📺 Where to watch UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

  • Date: Saturday, July 11
  • Start times: 5 p.m. ET (early prelims), 7 p.m. ET (prelims), 9 p.m. ET (main card)
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, Nevada)
  • Streaming: Paramount+

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