UFC 330 Odds: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry Full Card Odds & Predictions

What a weekend coming up at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia. The UFC returns to the City of Brotherly Love for the first time in over seven years, and we're breaking down all the fights with the top UFC 330 odds. Headlining the action is a welterweight title clash between Islam Makhachev (-350) and Ian Machado Garry (+275).

But fight fans will be treated to a second title fight, as Mackenzie Dern (-220) will look to defend her strawweight strap for the first time against Gillian Robertson (+180) in the co-main event. You can catch all the action on Paramount+, starting with the early prelims at 6 p.m. ET and all the way through the main card at 9 p.m. ET.

Below, we have the best live UFC 330, as well as fighter notes and UFC 330 predictions.

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📊 UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry - Main Card odds

Islam Makhachev (28-1) vs. Ian Machado Garry (17-1) 

Islam Makhachev notes:

• First defense: Transitioned to 170 lbs after dominating lightweight, capturing a vacant title in November
• Key stat: Averages 3.1 takedowns/15 minutes and is 13-0 via submission

Ian Machado Garry notes:

• The Present? "The Future" has just one loss in 11 UFC bouts, and has never been finished in his career as he enters his first title fight
• Key stat: Boasts an 80% takedown defense and averages 4.78 strikes/minute

🩸 UFC 330 predictions: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Machado Garry is a tough customer, make no doubt, but Makhachev's wrestling should win the day. Given the challenger has never been finished, and the moneyline odds on the favorite are quite long, there's value in the Makhachev by decision (+130) market.

Mackenzie Dern (16-5) vs. Gillian Robertson (17-8)

Mackenzie Dern notes:

• First defense: Claimed the vacant strawweight title with a unanimous-decision victory over Virna Jandiroba in October
• Key stat: Is 8-0 in her career via submission but just 0-1 via knockout

Gillian Robertson notes:

• The Savage: Her six submission wins in the UFC are the all-time record for all women's fighters
• Key stat: Relentless wrestling with 2.76 takedowns/15 minutes and a 40% takedown accuracy

🩸 UFC 330 predictions: Dern vs. Robertson

Robertson is a top-tier grappler, holding UFC records, and enters on a five-bout win streak. She's a tough cookie, and her path to having her arm raised for a sixth-straight fight is clear. Give me the underdog to pull off the upset and become the new champ; it's Robertson (+180) for me.

Charles Johnson (19-9) vs. Jose Ochoa (9-2)

Charles Johnson notes:

• InnerG: It's been struggles for the 35 year old veteran, with three losses in his last five bouts (one KO/TKO, one submission, and one decision)
• Key stat: Will look to use his 3-inch reach advantage to build on 4.54 strikes/minute

Jose Ochoa notes:

• Kaizifer: Is 2-2 across four UFC bouts, most recently picking up a decision win over Clayton Carpenter in May
• Key stat: Has piled up 5.16 strikes/minutes while absorbing just 2.99 (compared to 3.88 for Johnson)

🩸 UFC 330 predictions: Johnson vs. Ochoa

Johnson is a wily vet, and he should be able to navigate the early risk presented by Ochoa. If he can, the fight should be poised to go all the way, like three of Ochoa's four UFC bouts. The best UFC betting sites are showing Fight to go the distance: Yes in the -125 range, and that's my angle.

Mansur Abdul-Malik (9-1-1) vs. Dustin Stoltzfus (16-8)

Mansur Abdul-Malik notes:

• Looking to bounce back: Abdul-Malik suffered a KO/TKO loss to Yousri Belgaroui last time out
• Key stat: All nine of his victories have come via stoppage (7-1 KO/TKO, 2-0 submission)

Dustin Stoltzfus notes:

• All-or-nothing: Is 2-3 across his last five bouts, including two straight losses, but both wins have earned him Performance of the Night honors
• Key stat: A generalist who can get it done any way with three TKO/KO wins, six submission victories, and seven nods via decision

🩸 UFC 330 predictions: Abdul-Malik vs. Stoltzfus

The moneyline odds here tell the story, but they're not appealing from a betting standpoint. You can catch Abdul-Malik to record the KO/TKO victory at +100, which is my favorite way to attack this one. Seven of the favorite's nine victories have come via KO/TKO. 

Edson Barboza (24-10) vs. Esteban Ribovics (15-3)

Edson Barboza notes:

• In nickname only: Hardly "Junior" anymore, Barboza is the oldest fighter on the card at 40 years old - 10 years older than Ribovics
• Key stat: Barboza has been outworked and outpunched in three straight losses, last winning in 2023

Esteban Ribovics notes:

• El Gringo: The Argentine fighter has struggled with consistency since joining the UFC, logging a 4-3 record with the promotion after coming in at 11-0
• Key stat: Heavy striking leading to 7.27 strikes landed per minute

🩸 UFC 330 predictions: Barboza vs. Ribovics

Oddsmakers agree that Barboza's slide should continue on Saturday, but the straight moneyline doesn't offer much for Ribovics. The Argentine's knockout power hasn't translated to the UFC, but sportsbooks like him to get the KO win (-150); instead, I'm going to back that trend to continue and expect him to outwork "Junior" while picking up a decision victory at +290 for a quarter-unit.

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📊 UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry - Prelim odds

Chidi Njokuani (25-12) vs. Joel Alvarez (23-4)

Chidi Njokuani notes:

• Bang Bang: Njokuani used to bring fearsome knockout power he's been knocked out twice since 2022, scoring just one KO victory of his own in that eight-bout stretch
• Key stat: Has the best significant strike accuracy of all active welterweights (62%)

Joel Alvarez notes:

• El Fenomeno: Since going to the judges in his 2019 UFC debut, only one of his 10 bouts has gone the distance
• Key stat: Has a 3-inch reach disadvantage, lower striking accuracy (54%) and output (4.53 strikes/minute)

Jalin Turner (15-9) vs. Kaue Fernandes (11-2)

Jalin Turner notes:

• The Tarantula: Turner has just two wins in his last six bouts, but they both came via first-round KO
• Key stat: Has the eighth-shortest fight time of any active lightweight (6:47)

Kaue Fernandes notes:

• Strong chin: Fernandes has never been finished in his pro career, with his only two losses coming via decision (and one a split decision, at that)
• Key stat: Recorded a 1.18 takedown average and 100% takedown accuracy in his four UFC fights

Donte Johnson (8-0) vs. Eric McConico (11-4-1)

Donte Johnson notes:

• Lockjaw: Johnson picked up a first round KO/TKO victory in DWCS, earning his contract, and has a submission victory (Sedriques Dumas) and split-decision win (Cody Brundage) since joining the promotion
• Key stat: Seven finishes (6-0 via TKO/KO, 1-0 via submission) in his seven fights

Eric McConico notes:

• KO Candidate: McConico has been on the receiving end of KO/TKO losses four times in his career, including twice in his four UFC bouts
• Key stat: Only 45% striking defense with 3.05 strikes absorbed per minute; 0.00 submission average

Vincent Luque (24-12-1) vs. Tresean Gore (7-4)

Vincent Luque notes:

• The Silent Assassin: Luque has 21 finishes in his 24 wins with 11 KO/TKO, but his last KO/TKO win came back in 2020, although he has four submission wins since
• Key stat: Most of his career as a welterweight, where he has the third-most fights (24) and second-most wins (16) of any active fighter; won his first UFC middleweight fight

Tresean Gore notes:

• Mr. Vicious: Hasn't lived up to the billing since joining the UFC, going just 3-4 while being knocked out twice
• Key stat: Has the third-best takedown defense (83.9%) of all active middleweights

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📊 UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry - Early prelim odds

Rafael Tobias (14-2) vs. Lucas Fernando (13-3)

Rafael Tobias notes:

• Rough beginnings: Tobias lost his first UFC bout by unanimous decision, falling to Diyar Nurgozhay in March
• Key stat: Has five KO/TKO wins and six submission wins in his career; posted a 1.6 submission average

Lucas Fernando notes:

• The debut: Is making his UFC debut off a string of four victories in LFA
• Key stat: Has never been finished in his career, with all three losses coming via decision (including to Cesar Almeida in Aug. 2023 on DWCS)

Neil Magny (31-15) vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (13-6) 

Neil Magny notes:

• The Haitian Sensation: Magny has been with UFC since 2013, and while things have been rough lately, he still won two of three bouts last year
• Key stat: Has been finished in the first round in three of his last five bouts, twice via KO/TKO and once via submission

Ramiz Brahimaj notes:

• Submission specialist: Twelve of his victories have come via submission, and an array of methods (rear naked choke, guillotine, arm triangle, even a kimura in there)
• Key stat: Takedown average of 1.99 (34.48% accuracy) and submission average of 1.6

Jeremiah Wells (13-4-1) vs. Myktybek Orolbai (16-2-1)

Jeremiah Wells notes:

• Struggling for results: Wells burst onto the scene with three finish victories within 5:30, but is 2-2 since with all four fights going to the judges
• Key stat: A 1.31 submission attempt average in the UFC, but just one of his four career submission victories is with the promotion

Myktybek Orolbai notes:

• Kyrgyzstan glory: Orolbai has picked up five wins in six UFC fights as he builds the resume, including submission, KO/TKO, and decision victories
• Key stat: Takedown average of 8.77 (59.02% accuracy) indicates he wants to out-wrestle his opponents

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📺 Where to watch UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

• Date: Saturday, Aug. 15
• Start times: 5:30 p.m. ET (early prelims), 7 p.m. ET (prelims), 9 p.m. ET (main card)
• Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia)
• Streaming: Paramount+

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