USA vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina Prediction: Best World Cup Picks at Kalshi (July 1)
My USA vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina prediction breaks down the nightcap for today's Round of 32 action. The co-host Americans are a -260 betting favorite on the three-way line to win in regulation and punch their ticket to the Round of 16. Play from Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif., starts at 8 p.m. ET, airing on FOX and Telemundo and streaming on FOX One.
Traders on prediction market apps have USA sitting at over 80% to advance from tonight's knockout game. My World Cup best bets will help you find better value than that long line.
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⚽ USA vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina predictions: Pick to win & player prop picks
See all of our experts' soccer picks for World Cup 2026.
| 💰 Best picks | 📊 Yes/no price | ⚖️ Volume (units) |
|---|---|---|
| USA wins by more than 1.5 in regulation time | 47 cents (yes) | 1u -> 1.13u |
| USA to have 6+ corners | 65 cents (yes) | 1.5u -> 0.81u |
| Both teams to score: no | 51 cents (no) | 0.5u -> 0.48u |
📈 Who will win USA vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Prediction market via Kalshi. You can use our Kalshi promo code for a $10 bonus by signing up today. Market subject to change.
There is a gulf between the talent level of these two teams, and the co-hosts will be looking to put their Group Stage-ending loss to Turkey behind them. The USA will lead the way in possession and field tilt, will comfortably get off more shots and more shots on goal, and will hold the way in progressive passes and carries.
I'm struggling to find a way that Bosnia is the better team here, even if they scored first I don't see them as capable of holding off USA over 90 minutes.
Score prediction: USA 2, Bosnia 0
💵 My best pick: USA to have 6+ corners (Yes, 65 cents)
Deep defending from Bosnia will produce blocked crosses, blocked shots, and the USA recycling possession and repeating their attacks. It's a recipe for corners.
Bosnia will play under pressure and defend for long stretches. But this line is a little long at 65 cents. At 70 cents, I'd move to the 8+ corners instead, although my preference would actually be 7+, but that market isn't available.
🦶 Who will score in USA vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Follow all of our expert soccer analysis for World Cup 2026.
Folarin Balogun, F, USA (46%)
Balogun has already had a bit of a coming-out party during the World Cup, with rumors circulating that PSG, Chelsea, and Tottenham are considering offers for the AS Monaco striker. He scored two in the opener against Paraguay, but was held off the scoresheet in the second game against Australia before resting in the group finale.
Balogun is a pure goal-scorer, having logged over a goal per 90 at the 2024 Copa for the USA and over half a goal per 90 over his last two years domestically in Ligue 1. He's the most likely to get a goal tonight.
Best USA vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina goal-scorer pick: Folarin Balogun (46%)
💰️ World Cup parlay today
Well, as I write this the first leg of my World Cup parlay is already in shambles with the early Congo goal, but the other two legs are in play still.
🥅 Will both teams score in USA vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina?
I don't have both teams scoring tonight. The American defense hasn't been excellent throughout the opening games but it should handle Bosnia. Bosnia will have limited chances to take advantage of their sole edge, physicality.
American should have one or two early and be able to take their foot off a bit and focus on limiting mistakes and chances.
Both teams to score (BTTS) pick: No (51 cents)
💡 How to trade on both teams to score (BTTS)
Our soccer expert Jeremy Vernon broke down how to handicap BTTS at the World Cup with a full history and statistical analysis of the popular prop market across more than 7,000 matches.
📺 How to watch USA vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina
- Date: Wednesday, July 1
- Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Levi's Stadium (Santa Clara, Calif.)
- TV/Streaming: FOX, Telemundo, FOX One
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