Belgium vs. Senegal Prediction: World Cup Picks & Best Bets (July 1)
Belgium and Senegal will lock horns in Seattle on Wednesday for a chance to progress to the Round of 16 at the 2026 World Cup. The action from Lumen Field begins at 4 p.m. ET on FOX Sports, and my Belgium vs. Senegal prediction analyzes why this Round of 32 matchup will be a low-scoring, tense contest between two teams desperate to avoid making defensive mistakes.
My World Cup best bets also back Belgium's Leandro Trossard to be the creative spark for the +120 favorites to beat +250 Senegal.
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⚽ Belgium vs. Senegal predictions: Pick to win & player prop bets
See all of our experts' soccer picks across the best World Cup betting sites.
| 💰 Best bets | 📊 Best odds | ⚖️ Wager (units) |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | +220 via bet365 | 0.5u -> 1.11u |
| Leandro Trossard anytime goal | +340 via FanDuel | 0.25u -> 0.85u |
| Under 2.5 goals | -138 via bet365 | 1.25u -> 0.91u |
| Both teams to score: Yes | -125 via bet365 | 1u -> 0.8u |
⚽ Who will win Belgium vs. Senegal ?
This game might not produce a winner after 90 minutes. Based on how both teams performed in the group stage, we're backing this game to end in a draw at full-time, with a winner to emerge during extra time or penalties.
Belgium got off to a slow start before a lopsided win over New Zealand helped the country top Group G. Meanwhile, Senegal advanced from a difficult Group I, with France and Norway, as one of the eight best third-place teams.
Although Belgium has an attack capable of scoring against any team, this match should play out similarly to the Red Devils' 0-0 and 1-1 draws with Iran and Egypt.
Score prediction: Belgium 1, Senegal 1 (Belgium wins on penalties)
💵 My best bet: Under 2.5 goals (-138)
This is going to be a tactical chess match, with both teams prioritizing defense to keep their World Cup campaigns alive.
Belgium's defense performed well enough to limit opponents to just two goals across three group stage games. But it's been a different story in attack, where the team struggled to break down beatable opponents, such as Iran and Egypt.
Senegal will be happy to concede possession in hopes of catching Belgium off guard with a blistering counterattack. But other than that, we're not expecting them to be adventurous now that we've entered the single-match knockout stage of the World Cup.
🦶 Who will score in Belgium vs. Senegal ?
Follow all of our expert soccer betting analysis for the 2026 World Cup.
Leandro Trossard, LW, Belgium (+340)
Leandro Trossard's off-the-ball movement is going to make him a menace for Senegal defenders. With Belgium dominating possession, Trossard will be one of the most popular targets around the box, where his lethal finishing could be the difference in this game.
After a slow start offensively, Trossard offered a glimmer of hope with a brace and an assist in Belgium's 5-1 win over New Zealand. With players like Kevin De Bruyne and Youri Tielemans pulling the strings in midfield, there shouldn't be any shortage of chances for the Arsenal winger.
Best Belgium vs. Senegal goal-scorer pick: Leandro Trossard (-125 via bet365)
🥅 Will both teams score in Belgium vs. Senegal ?
As mentioned before, Belgium has been solid at the back. It was the attack that was quiet for two games, while the defense kept the Red Devils in matches. But despite doing just enough to help Belgium win its group, coach Rudi Garcia's back line has cracks that were exposed while conceding goals to Egypt and New Zealand.
After scoring three goals across two games against France and Norway, we're backing Senegal to make things interesting on Wednesday and find the back of the net against Belgium.
Both teams to score (BTTS) pick: Yes (-125 via bet365)
💡 How to bet on both teams to score (BTTS)
Our soccer expert Jeremy Vernon broke down how to bet BTTS at the World Cup with a full history and statistical analysis of the popular prop betting market across more than 7,000 matches.
📊 Belgium vs. Senegal odds
We're tracking the latest World Cup odds and favorites to win this year's tournament.
📺 How to watch Belgium vs. Senegal
- Date: Wednesday, July 1
- Kickoff: 4 p.m. ET
- Location: Seattle Stadium
- TV: FOX Sports
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