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Connor McDavid of the Edmonton Oilers resets the offence against the Dallas Stars in the first period during Game 2 of the Western Conference Final. We're backing McDavid in our Stars vs. Oilers Predictions.
Connor McDavid of the Edmonton Oilers resets the offence against the Dallas Stars in the first period during Game 2 of the Western Conference Final. Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images via AFP.

The Dallas Stars visit the Edmonton Oilers for Game 4 of the Western Conference Final on Wednesday, and we have you covered with our best Stars vs. Oilers predictions based on the top NHL odds

The Dallas Stars secured a 2-1 series lead with a 5-3 road victory over the Edmonton Oilers on Monday. The Stars have been exceptional on the road during the playoffs, winning six out of seven away games and notching four consecutive victories against the league's top home teams. This success is crucial given their struggles with "home-ice advantage."

In Game 3, Dallas initially trailed 2-0 after the first period and allowed three goals - the most they've conceded on the road this postseason. Despite their comeback win on Monday, Edmonton is favored for Game 4 at Rogers Place on Wednesday at 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT).

The Oilers now hold a 4-3 home record and have the longest Stanley Cup odds among the remaining teams. Meanwhile, the Stars have emerged as the favorites to win the Stanley Cup according to our top sports betting sites.

Here are our best Stars vs. Oilers predictions and NHL picks (odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Stars vs. Oilers Game 4 expert picks

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Stars vs. Oilers predictions for Wednesday

Over 5.5 goals ⭐⭐⭐⭐

A few factors contribute to backing the Over for Wednesday's Game 4. First, six of seven Oilers' home games hit the Over, with Edmonton's 3-2 Game 4 win over Vancouver the only exception. The Oilers play an entirely different brand of hockey on home ice, feeding off the crowd while making the most of the last change. 

In addition, Stuart Skinner is seemingly forever prone to allowing a weak one, which happened again in Game 3 on Jason Robertson's hat-trick winner. At -130, FanDuel offers the best value of our best sports betting apps. A $10 bet yields a $7.69 profit if the bet hits and has an implied probability of 56.52%.  

Best odds: -130 via FanDuel

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Roope Hintz Over 0.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Re-roll the Game 3 tape of Roope Hintz if you want to find a perfect example of how to return to the lineup after a few contests out. The Stars' forward missed Games 5 and 6 of the second-round series and the opening two games against the Oilers with an upper-body injury. He celebrated his return to the lineup by setting up two of Robertson's three goals. His emphatic return completely changed the complexion, making the Stars' offense far more menacing. 

Hintz has seven points in his last four games, including a four-point outburst in Game 2 against the Colorado Avalanche. The only game he was held off the scoresheet in the previous four came in Game 3 against the Avs when he first suffered the injury. Hintz played only 6:35 in that contest. At +100, DraftKings' odds imply a 50% win probability. A $10 bet pays a profit of $10 if it hits. 

Best odds: +100 via DraftKings

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Oilers ML ⭐⭐⭐

For the first time in the postseason, the Oilers have lost consecutive games. They were 4-0 after losses before Monday's Game 3 defeat. Edmonton usually responds after a loss with more vigor than a toddler after a three-hour nap and a generous supply of sugar. However, there is a cautionary note here, which decreases the bet from four to three stars. 

Speaking of Stars, they are 6-1 on the road in the playoffs, allowing 1.71 goals per game, which included allowing just one goal in each of the three successive wins in Colorado. That said, I feel the Oilers, namely Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, are too elite, defiant, and motivated to lose three straight and two in a row on home ice. You'll earn a profit of $8 with a $10 winning bet at BetMGM. The -125 odds imply a 55.56% win probability. 

Best odds: -125 via BetMGM

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Connor McDavid Over 3.5 shots ⭐⭐⭐⭐

McDavid was in one of his irrepressible, undeniable moods at the start of Game 3. He collected the puck deep to allow enough time and space to reach top speed, which put Tom Cruise's Mach 10 in the latest "Top Gun" to shame. Not only was he skating unencumbered, but he also had a shoot-first mentality, which has seldom been the case in the postseason. McDavid had four shots in the first 20 minutes, finishing the game with six. 

On average, he has one shot fewer per game in the playoffs than in the regular season. However, similar to what we witnessed in Game 3, I expect McDavid to take matters into his own hands on Wednesday, letting fly whenever the opportunity arises. The Oilers' captain also shoots more on home ice, hitting the Over in four of the last five games at Rogers Place. The plus-money odds heighten the allure of this prop. At +118, the odds at FanDuel pay a profit of $11.80 on a $10 bet and have an implied probability of 45.87%. 

Best odds: +118 via FanDuel

Stars vs. Oilers Game 4 info & odds

  • When: Wednesday, May 29
  • Puck drop: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta
  • How to watch: TNT, Sportsnet
  • Favorite: Oilers (-122 via DraftKings)

Stars-Oilers predictions made Tuesday at 12 p.m. ET.

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