Canada vs. Finland Prediction & Best Bets Today: Olympic Women's Hockey Preview
Canada must move on quickly from its worst Olympic result against Team USA, and I expect them to do precisely that in my Canada vs. Finland prediction and best bets.
Canada is the absurd -4500 moneyline betting favorite to secure the victory in a game that was originally scheduled for last week. Thursday's encounter, which starts at 8:30 a.m. ET (CBC Gem) is the final preliminary-round game for both teams. As there's no value in backing Canada outright on the moneyline, I've turned to the spread and a Sarah Fillier player prop.
🏒 Canada vs. Finland prediction: Olympic women's hockey
Our expert Olympic hockey picks are based on the latest betting odds at the best sports betting sites.
| Bet type | Bet | Best odds | Confidence | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puck line bet | Canada -4.5 | +100 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | 1u |
| Total | Over 6 | -102 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | 1u |
| Player prop | Sarah Fillier anytime goal | +105 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | 0.5u |
💰 Canada vs. Finland best bet: Canada -4.5 (+100)
There's a ton to unpack here, but the gist is this: Canada will be pumped to show their 5-0 defeat to Team USA was a mere blip in the road to glory. They'll also want to win for Marie-Philip Poulin if she doesn't play. Those factors will be enough for Canada to beat Finland by at least five goals.
While Finland played much better in their 3-1 win over Switzerland, Canada will take advantage of any signs of fatigue or residual effects of illness. I'm putting down one unit on the wager and would play it to -110.
Score prediction: Canada 6, Finland 1
🔥 Best Canada vs. Finland prop bet: Sarah Fillier anytime goal (+105)
Sarah Fillier has been one of Canada's best through three games, though no one played well against the United States.
She scored a goal in each of the first two games against Switzerland and Czechia, and I expect her to be buzzing again, particularly if Poulin doesn't play. I'm only putting half a unit on the wager, though, and I'd play the bet down to +100.
🚑 What happened to Finland's women's hockey team?
Finland endured an exceedingly challenging start to its Olympic campaign after an outbreak of norovirus infected or sent into quarantine 13 players. It caused this game, which was originally set for Feb. 5, to be rescheduled.
Shutout by Czechia and Team USA, Finland lost its first two games by a combined 7-0. Their performance improved notably in the third group game, as they beat Switzerland 3-1.
🇨🇦 Is Marie-Philip Poulin playing today?
Canada captain Poulin suffered an injury against Czechia and didn't feature in the 5-0 loss to Team USA. There has been no update regarding her status for Thursday's game against Finland, but TSN’s Cheryl Pounder said the injury didn't look good.
Personally, I doubt she'll play, instead doing her utmost to be ready for the quarterfinals.
Poulin needs only one goal to tie the legendary Hayley Wickenheiser for the all-time goal-scoring record at the Olympics. Whether she'll be able to return and make history remains to be seen.
📺 How to watch Canada vs. Finland
- Date: Thursday, Feb. 12
- Puck drop: 8:30 a.m. ET
- Location: Milano Rho Ice Hockey Arena (Milan, Italy)
- TV: CBC Gem
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