NFL Survivor Picks Week 2: Doing the Unthinkable and Riding With Chargers
We survived Week 1 of the NFL season while riding with the New Orleans Saints at home against the lowly Carolina Panthers. Now the mission is to make it through Week 2.
The Saints were our choice in Week 1 because of their status as significant home favorites (against arguably the NFL's worst team) and a relatively low season-long projected win total (meaning we'll theoretically get fewer weeks to use them).
We'll continue with that methodology for our NFL survivor picks for Week 2. However, win totals will become less important throughout the season as we begin to use the league's top teams and Super Bowl odds contenders.
Eight of the top 10 teams in our rankings won last week, so let's dive into the odds and see if we can identify a handful of winners as part of our NFL Week 2 predictions.
Week 2 survivor picks: Rankings
(NFL odds for Week 2 via bet365 as of Sept. 10. Rankings from most to least confident.)
| Team | Opponent | Moneyline | Win probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Chargers | at Panthers | -280 | 73.68% |
| 2. Jaguars | vs. Browns | -185 | 64.91% |
| 3. Colts | at Packers | -180 | 64.29% |
| 4. Ravens | vs. Raiders | -450 | 81.82% |
| 5. Texans | vs. Bears | -305 | 75.31% |
| 6. Jets | at Titans | -200 | 66.67% |
| 7. Eagles | vs. Falcons | -290 | 74.36% |
| 8. Cowboys | vs. Saints | -300 | 75% |
| 9. Seahawks | at Patriots | -180 | 64.29% |
| 10. Lions | vs. Buccaneers | -320 | 76.19% |
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Who I'm picking: Chargers (at Panthers)
The important thing to remember about the Los Angeles Chargers is they can and will hurt you whenever they get the chance.
After an impressive Week 1 home win in which the running game - primarily J.K. Dobbins - took over against the Las Vegas Raiders, this could be that chance.
However, the Carolina Panthers may very well be the NFL's worst team. They let the Saints drop 47 points on them in Week 1, with Derek Carr resembling prime Peyton Manning.
The Chargers are massive road favorites in Week 2, and we've seen their moneyline odds at Pinnacle - which features one of the most respected trading teams in the sports betting industry - go from -215 to -274. We'll stick with the sharp money for our Week 2 survivor pick.
See all of our NFL picks for Week 2 for more help with your survivor picks.
Who I'm fading: Chiefs (vs. Bengals)
This is simply because we'd rather save the Kansas City Chiefs for future, more straightforward games.
The Cincinnati Bengals looked terrible in Week 1 against the New England Patriots and now head to Kansas City. But they'll also get one more week to work out a deal done with Ja'Marr Chase, and one more week for Tee Higgins' health to hopefully improve.
Is this really a risky spot for the Chiefs? Probably not. They received an extra couple days of rest after beating the Baltimore Ravens and remain at home.
However, they host the Denver Broncos in Week 10 and, more importantly, visit the Panthers in Week 12. So ... yeah, enough said.
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