Steelers vs. Ravens Player Prop Picks & Touchdown Prediction: NFL Wild Card Weekend

The Wild Card Weekend matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens is the only one of the six featuring two division rivals, giving us plenty of data to scour for our top Steelers vs. Ravens player prop picks. The clash is featured among our NFL playoff bracket predictions.
- The Steelers enter the playoffs on a four-game losing streak, which is tied for the second-longest losing run of Russell Wilson’s career
- The Steelers and Ravens split their two regular-season meetings, each winning on their home field
- Baltimore is 1-3 all-time against Pittsburgh in the playoffs
Steelers vs. Ravens NFL player prop picks: Wild Card Weekend
Odds as of Friday and subject to change.
- Mark Andrews or Derrick Henry touchdown prediction: Either to score the first touchdown (+190 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Russell Wilson Under 207.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Lamar Jackson Under 50.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
NFL picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Steelers vs. Ravens touchdown prediction
Mark Andrews or Derrick Henry to score the first touchdown (+190) ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +190 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 34.48%
Baltimore raced out to a 17-7 lead against Pittsburgh just three weeks ago, and I'm going all-in on a Ravens player scoring the first touchdown again while the team controls the early part of the game.
This play comes with outstanding value since Henry (-190) and Andrews (+135) are getting the two-shortest anytime touchdown odds ahead of the game.
Andrews has now scored a touchdown in six consecutive outings. Meanwhile, Henry has added three touchdowns over the last two weeks, and he's averaged 113.5 rushing yards per game across the two clashes against Pittsburgh this season while adding one touchdown.
DraftKings offers a similar prop that combines two players to score the first touchdown, but that book doesn't feature the tandem of Andrews and Henry.
Instead, the shortest prices are Henry/Harris, Henry/Bateman, or Henry/Jackson at +200 odds. But I want some coverage with the Ravens' tight end given the frequency that Andrews has been scoring touchdowns.
A $10 winning wager would net $19 in profit for one of your NFL Wild Card Weekend predictions.
Best Steelers vs. Ravens prop picks
Russell Wilson Under 207.5 passing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
Wilson averaged 8.4 yards per attempt during his first start this season, posting a 12-to-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio, and recorded a 59 total QBR.
But his last four starts have been a trainwreck, as he averaged 5.7 yards per attempt, posted a 4-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio, and recorded a 37 total QBR.
A lack of success on first down isn't helping matters. Pittsburgh ranks dead-last on first down in terms of yards per play (4.5), 31st in success rate (37%), and 29th in QBR (40).
Wilson threw for 205 and 217 yards during the two regular-season meetings with Baltimore.
I expect the Ravens to keep him Under this projected total. They're No. 1 in both defensive efficiency and scoring defense since moving Kyle Hamilton to safety during the second half of the season.
The only NFL prop betting sites charging the standard -110 juice at an O/U of 207.5 is bet365 (others are lower at 206.5).
Lamar Jackson Under 50.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%
Jackson went 1-4 in his first five career starts against the Steelers. He posted a 39 total QBR, and a 5:8 touchdown-to-interception ratio while averaging 6.5 yards per attempt.
But he improved drastically in Week 16 during a 34-17 win over the Steelers, as Jackson finished with a 66 total QBR and 3:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio while averaging 9.7 yards per attempt.
Jackson has run for 46 and 22 yards in the two meetings against the Steelers this year. He should use his legs even less during this third matchup considering the confidence the signal-caller gained after being successful throwing the ball in Week 16.
FanDuel is alone among our NFL parlay betting sites while offering a total as high as 50.5, as several others are two yards lower at 48.5.
Steelers vs. Ravens expert picks
- Steelers vs. Ravens prediction
- Steelers vs. Ravens player props
- Steelers vs. Ravens parlay picks
- Steelers vs. Ravens touchdown scorer predictions
- Lamar Jackson player props
- Derrick Henry player props
Steelers vs. Ravens game info
- When: Saturday, Jan. 11
- Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: M&T Bank Stadium (Baltimore, Md.)
- How to watch: Prime Video
- Weather: 23 degrees, 1% chance of precipitation, wind 10-mph WNW
- Favorite: Ravens -9.5 (-125 via BetMGM)
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