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Baltimore Ravens running back Derrick Henry tosses the ball after scoring a touchdown against the Houston Texans, and we offer our best Derrick Henry player prop picks for Wild Card Weekend.
Baltimore Ravens running back Derrick Henry tosses the ball after scoring a touchdown against the Houston Texans. Photo by Troy Taormina via Imagn Images.

Derrick Henry will look to lead his Baltimore Ravens to victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers in Saturday night's Wild Card Weekend showdown.

In his first meeting this season with the Steelers, Henry ran for just 65 yards, but he followed up that performance with a 162-yard game three weeks ago. Which version of Henry should we expect on Saturday, as we make the best Derrick Henry player prop picks?

The Ravens are favored by 9.5 points in this 8 p.m. ET (Prime Video) game at M&T Bank Stadium, and our NFL playoff bracket predictions expect them to cover that spread comfortably.

With a spread that large, it seems that Henry will get plenty of carries with his team playing with the lead. Is there any way the Steelers can stop him? We cover every angle of this game with our NFL Wild Card Weekend predictions.

Derrick Henry prop bets: Wild Card Weekend

NFL odds as of Saturday. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

Derrick Henry Wild Card Weekend player props

NFL picks made Saturday. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Derrick Henry Over 99.5 rushing yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Henry finished the year with at least 138 yards in three consecutive games. He started off that streak with a 162-yard performance against the Steelers. It was his third-best rushing performance of the season.

The Steelers allowed only 98.7 rushing yards per game and 4.1 yards per attempt this season, but they’ve allowed Henry to average at least 5.0 yards per carry in both meetings. 

With how Henry is playing, this would be a five-star play if this wasn’t the third time the Steelers’ coaching staff has had a chance to game plan for the star running back. Because anything can happen in a divisional matchup, don’t go price hunting, but instead take the lowest total available, which is at bet365. 

Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Derrick Henry Over 20.5 rushing attempts ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Henry has run the ball 71 times over the last three weeks. He’s now rushed at least 20 times in eight games this season and in four of his last six contests.

In a game during which the Ravens are expected to be winning, the only real concern is that Henry averages so many yards per carry that he cuts into his own attempts.

But even averaging over 5.0 yards per carry in each of his last three games, Henry still managed to rush at least 20 times in each. And though Henry attempted just 13 rushes in his first meeting this year with the Steelers, the Ravens were trailing most of that game, which took Henry out of the game script.

All of our best sports betting sites have this total set at 20.5, but it’s just a matter of time before some go up to 21.5. DraftKings is asking -145 for the Over, so to get this at -114 is way too good to pass up.

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

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Derrick Henry 2+ touchdowns ⭐⭐⭐

Henry has scored only one touchdown against the Steelers this season, so this prop may come as a surprise. But the Steelers allowed 0.8 rushing touchdowns per game this season, despite giving up just one over the last three weeks. Henry finished the year with 18 total touchdowns, so in a decent matchup, this price makes it worth the risk.

Henry ran for two touchdowns in the regular-season finale against the Cleveland Browns. It was the fifth time this season that he scored multiple touchdowns in a game. 

Though Henry will always be competing with Lamar Jackson, he’s still going to have opportunities. Plus, the price for him to score once is set at -185. That price is way too expensive considering how many games he finished with zero touchdowns. While you could consider adding that prop to a parlay, the real value is in taking him to score twice.

Best odds: +310 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 24.39%

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Steelers vs. Ravens expert picks

Derrick Henry prop bet odds

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