Steelers vs. Ravens Parlay Picks & Predictions: SGP Odds

The Baltimore Ravens come into Saturday’s wild-card matchup with the Pittsburgh Steelers looking to dispose of their division rival for the second time in a 21-day span.
Though our NFL playoff bracket predictions like Baltimore to accomplish that goal, our Steelers vs. Ravens parlay stays away from taking a side on the hefty point spread, opting instead to target three receiving props that lean into season-long trends. It's all part of our NFL Wild Card Weekend predictions.
The Ravens (-9.5) host the Steelers at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Md., on Saturday at 8 p.m. ET (Prime Video).
Steelers vs. Ravens parlay predictions
NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Derrick Henry Over 5.5 receiving yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Pat Freiermuth Over 4.5 receptions (+130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Isaiah Likely Over 2.5 receptions (-155) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Combined odds: +575 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 14.81%
SGP predictions for Steelers vs. Ravens
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Derrick Henry Over 5.5 receiving yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Every time I’d watch a Tennessee Titans game over the years, I would lament the lack of involvement for Henry in the passing game. Throw this guy a screen and watch him rumble, right?
Well, the Ravens have realized the benefit of dumping the ball off to Henry recently, and it’s a strategy they'll deploy again on Saturday. Henry has drawn two or more targets in three straight games, including Week 16 against Pittsburgh. He racked up 18 or more receiving yards in those three games.
On the year, Henry has cleared 5.5 receiving yards in nine out of 13 games in which he draws at least one target in the passing game.
Pat Freiermuth Over 4.5 receptions (+130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Though his drop on a key fourth down was a bitter moment in the Steelers’ Week 18 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals, Freiermuth was among the few skill players who could generate any positive momentum for Pittsburgh’s offense in the game.
He's also logged at least three receptions in seven straight games but has ramped up his involvement, particularly in the last two weeks, catching 7 or more passes in consecutive games. That bodes well against a Ravens squad that allows the 11th-most receptions per game to the tight end position (5.47 receptions/game).
DraftKings has this prop listed with +130 odds on Over, a notable advantage compared to the +112 odds at FanDuel.
Isaiah Likely Over 2.5 receptions (-155) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
With wideout Zay Flowers ruled out of Saturday’s game, Lamar Jackson will look to distribute the football to some of the ancillary options in the Baltimore offense. That could spell more work for Likely against a Pittsburgh defense that has been leaky against tight ends all year, allowing the fourth-more receptions per game to tight ends across the season.
Even with Flowers soaking up targets each week, Likely has cleared this receptions threshold seven times on the year, including both games against Pittsburgh
Despite the Likely prop carrying better odds at FanDuel vs. DraftKings (-138 vs. -155), DraftKings holds the edge in the overall SGP odds, +575 to +493. BetMGM’s odds came out to +500.
A winning $10 wager on this parlay would profit $57.50.
Steelers vs. Ravens odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Steelers vs. Ravens expert picks
- Steelers vs. Ravens prediction
- Steelers vs. Ravens player props
- Steelers vs. Ravens parlay picks
- Steelers vs. Ravens touchdown scorer predictions
- Lamar Jackson player props
- Derrick Henry player props
Steelers vs. Ravens game info
- When: Saturday, Jan. 11
- Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: M&T Bank Stadium (Baltimore)
- How to watch: Prime Video
- Weather: 31 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 15 mph WNW
- Favorite: Ravens -9.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
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