2026-27 NFL MVP Odds & Predictions: Allen, Jackson, Maye Open as Betting Favorites Next Year
Drake Maye will likely finish second in NFL MVP voting ahead of his first Super Bowl start, but he's listed with the third-shortest odds by the 2026-27 NFL MVP opening odds to win the award next year behind two former MVP winners.
Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen and Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson - winners of the last two awards entering this season - opened as the betting favorites by the early NFL MVP odds to add to their trophy cases as they seek the first Super Bowl appearance of their respective careers.
Those two are priced just ahead of Maye, whose blistering sophomore run propelled him to the brief MVP favorite before Matthew Stafford pulled away down the stretch to close as the heavy favorite. He sits third ahead of Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert, and Patrick Mahomes.
Below, I break down the opening NFL MVP odds for next season, including my early predictions and favorite long shots to win the award next year.
🏆 2026-27 NFL MVP odds: Early betting favorites next year
Implied probability calculated using our odds converter. See the latest NFL odds and our expert NFL picks for every game.
| Player | Odds (FanDuel) | Profit ($10 bet) | Implied Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen, QB, Bills | +600 | $60 | 14.29% |
| Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens | +750 | $75 | 11.76% |
| Drake Maye, QB, Patriots | +850 | $85 | 10.53% |
| Joe Burrow, QB, Bengals | +1000 | $100 | 9.09% |
| Justin Herbert, QB, Chargers | +1100 | $110 | 8.33% |
| Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs | +1100 | $110 | 8.33% |
| Dak Prescott, QB, Cowboys | +1300 | $130 | 7.14% |
| Matthew Stafford, QB, Rams | +1400 | $140 | 6.67% |
| Jordan Love, QB, Packers | +1500 | $150 | 6.25% |
| Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jaguars | +1500 | $150 | 6.25% |
| Caleb Williams, QB, Bears | +1800 | $180 | 5.26% |
| Brock Purdy, QB, 49ers | +2000 | $200 | 4.76% |
| Jayden Daniels, QB, Commanders | +2000 | $200 | 4.76% |
| Sam Darnold, QB, Seahawks | +2700 | $270 | 3.57% |
| Jalen Hurts, QB, Eagles | +3500 | $350 | 2.78% |
| Bo Nix, QB, Broncos | +3500 | $350 | 2.78% |
| Jared Goff, QB, Lions | +4000 | $400 | 2.44% |
| Baker Mayfield, QB, Buccaneers | +4500 | $450 | 2.17% |
| Jaxson Dart, QB, Giants | +5500 | $550 | 1.79% |
| C.J. Stroud, QB, Texans | +6000 | $600 | 1.64% |
| Cam Ward, QB, Titans | +6500 | $650 | 1.52% |
| Daniel Jones, QB, Colts | +8000 | $800 | 1.23% |
| Tyler Shough, QB, Saints | +10000 | $1,000 | 0.99% |
| Puka Nacua, WR, Rams | +10000 | $1,000 | 0.99% |
| Bijan Robinson, RB, Falcons | +10000 | $1,000 | 0.99% |
| J.J. McCarthy, QB, Vikings | +12500 | $1,250 | 0.79% |
| Ja'Marr Chase, WR, Bengals | +12500 | $1,250 | 0.79% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Lions | +12500 | $1,250 | 0.79% |
| Michael Penix Jr., QB, Falcons | +12500 | $1,250 | 0.79% |
| Bryce Young, QB, Panthers | +12500 | $1,250 | 0.79% |
| Kyler Murray, QB, Cardinals | +12500 | $1,250 | 0.79% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Seahawks | +15000 | $1,500 | 0.66% |
| Fernando Mendoza, QB, Cal | +15000 | $1,500 | 0.66% |
| Jonathan Taylor, RB, Colts | +20000 | $2,000 | 0.50% |
| Derrick Henry, RB, Ravens | +22500 | $2,250 | 0.44% |
| Myles Garrett, DE, Browns | +25000 | $2,500 | 0.40% |
| Travis Hunter, WR/CB, Jaguars | +25000 | $2,500 | 0.40% |
| Mac Jones, QB, 49ers | +25000 | $2,500 | 0.40% |
| Christian McCaffrey, RB, 49ers | +25000 | $2,500 | 0.40% |
| De'Von Achane, RB, Dolphins | +25000 | $2,500 | 0.40% |
| Kirk Cousins, QB, Falcons | +25000 | $2,500 | 0.40% |
| Malik Willis, QB, Packers | +25000 | $2,500 | 0.40% |
| Saquon Barkley, RB, Eagles | +30000 | $3,000 | 0.33% |
| Anthony Richardson, QB, Colts | +35000 | $3,500 | 0.28% |
| Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Dolphins | +35000 | $3,500 | 0.28% |
😤 Allen, Jackson open as NFL MVP favorites ahead of 2026 season
The winners of the last two MVP trophies entering last season both suffered through one of the worst campaigns of their career and will enter next season with new head coaches and a rebuilt staff (and roster) around them.
That hasn't dissuaded the best NFL betting sites from pricing Allen and Jackson as the top two contenders in this market one year removed from their epic MVP battle in 2024, when Jackson finished first in All-Pro voting while Allen claimed the first MVP of his career. And both will be the featured focus for new offensive play-callers in 2026.
It shouldn't surprise anybody if one of these two stars - arguably the best at their position entering next season - takes home yet another MVP trophy. But with so much uncertainty surrounding both quarterbacks, I'd be looking further down the board this early.
🔴 Can Drake Maye follow MVP run with winning campaign in 2026-27?
While Allen and Jackson lead the early odds, Maye is already set to do something neither of those two former MVPs have accomplished: start in the Super Bowl.
That could be the boost Maye needs in the public profile to jump-start his MVP campaign next season after a sensational sophomore season that still could result in MVP honors next week - though Rams QB Matthew Stafford is expected to claim the award after a tense battle between him and Maye throughout the 2025 regular season.
Clearly, Maye is capable of MVP-level play across an entire season, though the competition is stiff with Allen and a (potentially) healthy Jackson back in the mix. Still, if you're looking to bet one of the favorites, Maye seems to offer the best value of all.
🔮 Early NFL MVP prediction: Joe Burrow, QB, Bengals (+1000)
I am a simple man with a simple creed: when Joe Burrow is healthy, he will garner my hard-earned money for an MVP bet. It's that simple.
Why wouldn't it be when he's played at an MVP level whenever he's healthy? The former No. 1 pick has finished fourth in MVP voting each of his last two healthy seasons (2022, 2024), and he very likely would have won the award two years ago - when he led the league in passing yards (4,918) and touchdowns (43) - if the Bengals won one more game to reach the postseason.
He missed nine games last year but ended the season on a tear with 850 yards, nine touchdowns, and one interception in his final three starts of a lost season. I haven't lost any confidence in Burrow's ability to stuff the stat sheet when he's on the field, and with a $10 bet returning a $100 profit if he wins his first MVP, I'm back on the bandwagon.
💰 NFL MVP long shots to bet now
Follow all of our NFL analysis and betting advice for every major betting market.
Jordan Love, QB, Packers (+1500)
Everyone's favorite dark-horse MVP candidate entering last season, Jordan Love didn't produce the eye-popping numbers many bettors were hoping for in a season that ultimately went sideways for Green Bay. But the Packers QB still ranked second leaguewide in QBR (72.7) - his career-best mark as a starter - and sixth in passer rating (101.2) while throwing his fewest interceptions (6) in three years as QB1.
He did so all while throwing to a rotating cast at receiver amid injuries up and down the depth chart, an ailment that extended throughout the Packers' offense and even led to Love missing multiple starts, too. He's simply too talented to count out in this market with even a little more luck on the injury front for a talented Green Bay roster.
Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jaguars (+1500)
You may have missed it amid the Stafford vs. Maye debate, but Trevor Lawrence absolutely balled out down the stretch for the Jaguars and will finish in the top five in MVP voting as one of the finalists for this year's award. Not bad for a "bust," eh?
I never lost faith in the former No. 1 pick, who ranked fifth in passing touchdowns (29) and sixth in passing yards (4,007) despite a rotten start to his first season with new head coach and play-caller Liam Coen. Once those two found their rhythm, Lawrence elevated his game with 18 touchdowns and four interceptions over his final seven starts. I love his chances of carrying that momentum into next season as a dark-horse MVP pick.
Caleb Williams, QB, Bears (+1800)
Anyone with eyes can see that Caleb Williams is growing into the elite quarterback that most draftniks projected him to be when he came out of USC two years ago. That shouldn't come as a surprise with whizkid play-caller Ben Johnson calling the shots for a Bears offense that burst onto the scene last year in his head coaching debut.
In addition to his highlight plays and NFL-leading six comebacks in the fourth quarter, he also led all full-time starters with a paltry 1.2% interception rate to complement his 3,942 yards and 27 touchdowns. Williams has already arrived even as he's seemingly barely scratched the surface of his potential - I'd rather bet too early on an MVP campaign than miss our chance completely.
Jalen Hurts, QB, Eagles (+3500)
It may feel like a distant memory now, but Jalen Hurts finished second in MVP voting in 2022 and won Super Bowl MVP honors less than a year ago. Yet he's being priced like an MVP afterthought in the same tier, sandwiched between Sam Darnold and Bo Nix.
That's simply a mistake for a player of Hurts' caliber as a passer and rusher, which could finally be unlocked by incoming offensive coordinator Sean Mannion - a rising star in coaching circles who helped Love post impressive numbers amid a frustrating situation last year in Green Bay. I'm not blind to Hurts' shortcomings, but we've seen MVP play from him before, and this price is simply too big to ignore heading into 2026.
Bijan Robinson, RB, Falcons (+10000)
We haven't seen a running back win NFL MVP since 2012, but one of these years, the quarterbacks' vice grip on this award will loosen. And there's no skill position star I'd rather bet to win MVP than Bijan Robinson, who has both talent and narrative on his side.
The dual-threat superstar ranked fourth last year with 1,478 rushing yards while adding 820 receiving yards for a team that lacked quality QB play all season. That last part won't necessarily change next season after the Falcons cut Kirk Cousins with Michael Penix Jr. on the mend, but new head coach Kevin Stefanski should level up this offense regardless of who's under center. If Robinson posts gaudy numbers again, I could see him getting most of the credit - and that's enough for me to take a shot at 100/1 odds.
❓ 2026-27 NFL MVP FAQs
Who is favored to win NFL MVP next year?
Josh Allen opened as the betting favorite to win NFL MVP in the 2026-27 season with +600 odds to win MVP next year. Those odds carry an implied probability of 14.29% for Allen to win his second MVP award, according to our odds converter.
Has anyone won back-to-back MVP awards?
Five players have won back-to-back NFL MVP awards, a list that includes Jim Brown (1957-58), Joe Montana (1989-90), Brett Favre (1995-97), Peyton Manning (2003-04, 2008-09), and Aaron Rodgers (2020-21).
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