Matthew Stafford NFL Player Props, Odds Week 16: Predictions for Saints vs. Rams

Los Angeles Rams QB Matthew Stafford has been on fire over the last month, and we like his chances to stay hot against the New Orleans Saints on Thursday Night Football as we make our Matthew Stafford NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.

Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford has been among the hottest players in the league in recent weeks, resembling the player who led this franchise to a Super Bowl just two years ago. Over the last five weeks, Stafford has thrown for 1,250 yards and 13 touchdowns, propelling Los Angeles to a 4-1 record to keep their long-shot Super Bowl odds alive.  

Stafford's performance has also vaulted the Rams to the current No. 7 seed in the NFC with a 7-7 overall record, though they can't afford to falter against the 7-7 New Orleans Saints if they want to keep pace with their NFL playoff odds. The question remains: Will Stafford lead the way for Los Angeles on Thursday Night Football?  

To accompany our Saints vs. Rams prediction and Saints vs. Rams player props, here are our best Matthew Stafford NFL player prop predictions for the Saints vs. Rams Week 16 matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Matthew Stafford NFL player prop predictions for Week 16

• SGP: Matthew Stafford 200-plus passing yards and Rams ML (-120 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Matthew Stafford Under 0.5 interceptions (+106 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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Matthew Stafford player props

SGP: Matthew Stafford 200-plus passing yards and Rams ML (-120 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Let's start with a fun way to have action on this Thursday Night Football matchup. If you believe in the Rams as well as Stafford's recent form, this same-game parlay is worth a look at -120 odds on FanDuel. The same SGP is priced at -130 via DraftKings.

Most of our best sports betting apps have Stafford's passing prop hovering in the high 240s, which is right in line with his projection. His -350 value to throw 200-plus passing yards has a 77.8% implied probability, so that certainly feels like the safer route in this case.

Stafford's consistency in passing for a minimum of 200 yards in four consecutive games and achieving this feat 11 times this season highlights his reliability. While we expect him to maintain this trend, the Saints' defense is formidable, ranking fourth in PFF coverage grade, which might pose a challenge. Nevertheless, Stafford's recent impressive performance, throwing for 294 yards against the Ravens' third-ranked coverage defense, suggests his ability to succeed even against tough opposition, potentially boding well against the Saints' defense.

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Matthew Stafford Under 0.5 interceptions (+106 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

I've certainly been guilty of making fun of Stafford's gunslinger mentality in the past, as it's led to some pretty memorable interceptions in crucial moments. But the reality is, Stafford has been taking care of the ball better than most this season.

Stafford hasn't thrown an interception in three straight games, which includes back-to-back matchups against the two best defenses in the league in the Cleveland Browns and Ravens. Per PFF, Stafford has just nine turnover-worthy plays on the year. There are 27 different quarterbacks in the league with more turnover-worthy plays this season.

We are getting plus-money odds because the Saints are a formidable defense and Stafford probably won't ever shake the narrative about him. But I don't believe an INT has better than a coin-flip chance of happening, which is what these odds would indicate.

Matthew Stafford player prop picks made Wednesday at 3:20 p.m. ET.

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