Justin Fields SNF Player Prop Bets: Touchdown Picks & Odds
The 3-1 Pittsburgh Steelers may have found their franchise quarterback in Justin Fields. Can he notch another win against the Dallas Cowboys in prime time this week?
The Cowboys enter among the top 10 in the Super Bowl odds, while the Steelers are at +5000 despite their surprising record.
It was supposed to be Russell Wilson's season in Pittsburgh. With him on the shelf, our Justin Fields SNF player prop bets focus on the success of the Steelers' newest passer, with picks based on our best Sunday Night Football odds.
Surprisingly, Fields and the Steelers hold a firm grip on first place in the AFC North, and they're a game up on the Baltimore Ravens. They'll try to rebound from their first loss of the season last week to the Indianapolis Colts.
Justin Fields prop predictions for Sunday Night Football
- Justin Fields touchdown pick: Fields to score a touchdown in first half (+310 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Justin Fields longest pass completion Over 33.5 yards (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Justin Fields first pass attempt incomplete (+180 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
NFL odds as of Sunday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.
Justin Fields to score a touchdown in first half (+310) ⭐⭐⭐
Pittsburgh has scored five touchdowns over the last two games. Fields, who's a long shot in the NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds, has scrambled across the goal line for three of those touchdowns.
The Steelers’ signal-caller has recorded the third-most red-zone carries (11) among all quarterbacks this year. Fields has registered the second-highest total carries inside the 20-yard line on the team behind only running back Najee Harris (12).
What makes this prop even more enticing is that Fields has tallied all three of his team’s rushing touchdowns this season.
Now he faces a Dallas defense that's giving up the third-most points per game in the first half (17.7).
You can find Fields at +145 for an anytime touchdown on FanDuel. Or bet365 is listing him at +900 to score the first touchdown of the game.
I feel the safer and more profitable bet is to bank on him taking advantage of a weak Dallas defense and punching one in before the half.
Best odds: +310 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 24.39%
Justin Fields player props
NFL picks made Sunday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Justin Fields longest pass completion Over 33.5 yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Fields has completed a 34-plus-yard pass in three of his first four games with the Steelers.
He ranks 11th among active quarterbacks while averaging 7.6 passing yards per attempt. He's also recorded the third-most pass attempts over 30 yards (six) this campaign.
The Cowboys have allowed the opposing quarterback to complete a pass of 34 yards or greater in three of their four games. Derek Carr connected with three of his New Orleans Saints receivers for an explosive reception of at least 34 yards.
FanDuel is posting this line a yard lower (32.5), with both sides set at -114. A $10 wager at this price will net you $8.77. I suggest paying a little less juice for the extra yard instead and taking home $9.09 in profit on a winning ticket.
Elsewhere, Mike Spector thinks Fields might struggle as a runner in his Cowboys vs. Steelers prediction. Consequently, Phil Wood believes Najee Harris will find success for Pittsburgh in his Cowboys vs. Steelers SNF prop bets.
Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%
Justin Fields first pass attempt incomplete (+180) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Despite Fields being the league's eighth-most accurate passer with a 70.6% completion percentage, completing his first pass of the game has proven difficult this year.
The Pittsburgh quarterback has failed to connect on three of his four first pass attempts this season.
He's taking on a Dallas defense this week that's in the middle of the pack in opponents' completion percentage (65.52%). That number tightens up a bit on the road too (62.35%).
This is a fun bet that could cash early and put $18 in your pocket on a $10 bet before the first commercial break of the game as part of your NFL Week 5 predictions.
Best odds: +180 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 35.71%
Cowboys vs. Steelers odds
Sunday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Cowboys vs. Steelers
- Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Where: Acrisure Stadium (Pittsburgh)
- How to watch: NBC
- Weather: 52 degrees, 76% chance of precipitation, 10-mph northwest winds
- Favorite: Steelers -2.5 (-115 via FanDuel)
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