How to Bet Super Bowl Player Props: Touchdown Scorers & Passing Props for Seahawks vs. Patriots
It's not just about the final score anymore, itβs about the hundreds of individual storylines found in the Super Bowl player prop market.
This guide breaks down how to bet Super Bowl player props and strategies for handicapping touchdown scorer props, yardage props, and more Super Bowl predictions. Whether you're a sharp or casual fan, understanding these markets is the most effective way to build a winning card for the Big Game.
π How to bet Super Bowl player props 2026
Before placing a player prop bet for the Super Bowl, you have to understand the separate markets. Here, I'll go over the two core props markets and give you a roadmap to use prior to kickoff.
Over or Under passing/receiving/rushing yards props
Here is where you can bet on a player to go over or under a designated number that our best sports betting sites like FanDuel or DraftKings produce.
For example, if a designated sportsbook lists Seattle Seahawks star receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba's receiving yards number at 94.5, you can place a bet whether you believe he will go over or under that number.
The sportsbook will also present odds to you. If you're wagering this bet at DraftKings, it gives you -110 odds for the Over, and -117 odds for the Under. In this case, the designated sportsbook believes the Under is the "easier" bet, because it's giving you shorter odds. A $10 bet in this case would net you $8.33 on the Over, and $9.09 on the Under. This is the same case with Drake Maye's or Sam Darnold's passing yards, as well as Kenneth Walker's and TreyVeyon Henderson's rushing numbers. Betting on the Over or Under on a specific yardage total is one of the most popular props for the Super Bowl.
Touchdown scorer props
Touchdown scorer props are the most popular way to bet on the NFL because they are easy to understand: you are simply wagering on which player will get into the end zone.
The most important rule for beginners to remember is that passing touchdowns do not count. If you bet on a quarterback to be an "Anytime Scorer" and he throws a touchdown pass, your bet does not win. He must physically carry the ball across the goal line or catch a pass himself.
The main reason why these props are so important? The long odds and the ability to cash large. While an anytime touchdown scorer usually sits anywhere from -200 (star player) to +300 (role player), the first touchdown scorer bets can be much longer, allowing you to make the most out of a difficult bet to hit. Let's break it down for you for the Super Bowl:
| Bet type | How it works | Betting strategy |
|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD scorer | You win if the player scores at any point during the game (including overtime). | The safest bet. Focus on "Red Zone" favorites who get the ball most often near the goal line. |
| First TD scorer | You win only if your player scores the very first touchdown of the game. | High risk, high reward. Odds are much higher (e.g., +800 or +1200) because they are harder to predict. |
| Last TD scorer | You win only if your player scores the final touchdown of the game. | Purely based on game script. If you think a team will be winning big, bet on a RB to score late. |
| Multi TD scorers | You win if you player scores more than one touchdown | High risk, high reward. Odds are closer to +2000 for a player to score twice or more. |
You can find Super Bowl prop bets with my who will score a touchdown in the Super Bowl piece and C Jackson Cowart's 10 Super Bowl bets to make right now. Of course, you can combine any of these bets into a Super Bowl parlay, too.
Here are some of the most popular touchdown markets for the Super Bowl:
| Player | Anytime TD (FanDuel) | First TD scorer (FanDuel) |
|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III (SEA) | -195 | +380 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) | +105 | +650 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) | +155 | +900 |
| AJ Barner (SEA) | +215 | +1100 |
| Hunter Henry (NE) | +220 | +1400 |
| Drake Maye (NE) | +360 | +1900 |
π‘ Super Bowl player prop betting strategy: Correlation is everything
We're going into the deep end for beginners now, but these Super Bowl betting strategies will undoubtedly help you in your betting journey.
In the context of Super Bowl 2026, correlation betting means pairing bets that are statistically likely to happen together. If one part of your bet comes true, it "drags" the other part along with it, increasing your probability of winning.
For example, because the Seahawks vs. Patriots matchup features a clear favorite (Seattle -4.5) and a low-scoring defensive trend, understanding these relationships is the key to betting success. Do you think the Seahawks will win handily? Look at Seattle running back Kenneth Walker's rush attempts or yardage, as the team will use him to run down the clock in the fourth quarter. In this scenario, betting on Maye's Over passing yards is also a good play, since the Patriots will be in catch-up mode and will be forced to the air. Easy, right? Remember to bet responsibly, stay disciplined, and protect your bankroll.
π° Popular player props to watch for Super Bowl 2026
| Player | Prop market | Line (Over/Under) | Odds (FanDuel) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold | Passing Yards | 228.5 | -111 / -113 |
| Sam Darnold | Passing TDs | 1.5 | -130 / +102 |
| Drake Maye | Passing Yards | 227.5 | -113 / -111 |
| Drake Maye | Rushing Yards | 32.5 | -108 / -116 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Receiving Yards | 94.5 | -111 / -113 |
| Kenneth Walker III | Rushing Yards | 76.5 | -109 / -109 |
| Stefon Diggs | Receiving Yards | 44.5 | -110 / -114 |
π Live 2026 Super Bowl odds
Latest Super Bowl odds updated live in real time from our best NFL betting sites.
π‘ Super Bowl how-to betting guides
- How to bet the Super Bowl Over/Under
- How to bet the Super Bowl spread
- How to bet the Super Bowl opening kickoff
- How to bet the Super Bowl national anthem
- How to bet the Super Bowl coin toss
- How to bet the Super Bowl Gatorade bath
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