Marquette vs. New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Preview Tonight: NCAA Tournament Best Bets
The No. 7 seed Marquette Golden Eagles (23-10) meet the No. 10 seed New Mexico Lobos (26-7) tonight in a South Region NCAA Tournament first-round matchup. Tipoff from Rocket Arena in Cleveland is at 7:25 p.m. ET (TBS), and we offer our Marquette vs. New Mexico prediction, odds, and preview.
The Golden Eagles are 4-point betting favorites to advance in the South Region of the March Madness bracket. Still, all signs point to this being a one-score game as part of our March Madness predictions.
🏀 Marquette vs. New Mexico prediction & picks tonight
Here are my best Marquette vs. New Mexico predictions for the first round of the NCAA Tournament; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any same-game parlay:
✅ Against the spread pick: New Mexico +4.5 (-110 via BetMGM) vs. Marquette ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🔥 Best player prop bet: Donovan Dent Over 20.5 points (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Exact score prediction: Marquette 83, New Mexico 81 (+17000 via DraftKings)
👉 Want more picks? Check out our latest college basketball picks and the rest of our March Madness first-round predictions.
🤖 See our March Madness AI bracket predictions for every game through Monday, April 7
🔢 Marquette vs. New Mexico updated betting action
- We see some sharp money on Marquette, as it's received 52% of the handle to cover the spread on only 38% of the tickets
- The public expects this game to go Under, with 57% of the tickets on that side, but we see some sharp action on the Over
- Marquette opened as a -3.5 favorite and has moved to -4.5 on Friday afternoon
🏆 Best Marquette vs. New Mexico pick, player prop bet & score prediction
Our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds for any March Madness market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
✅ New Mexico to cover the spread: +4.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Lobos are just 4-3 in their last seven games, but they have wins over the UCLA Bruins, San Diego State Aztecs, and Boise State Broncos on their resume. More importantly, they have Donovan Dent, the nation’s eighth-leading scorer. He’s scored at least 20 in six consecutive games entering this tournament, and even though the Golden Eagles are allowing just 68.5 points per game, they’ve allowed 84.0 per game in their last three.
Golden Eagles leading scorer Kam Jones is also red-hot entering the tournament. He has scored at least 21 in four consecutive games, and he dropped 32 against the St. John’s Red Storm on March 8. However, the Golden Eagles enter this game losers of three of their last four, though two of those losses were to St. John’s.
Both teams average at least 76.9 points per game, so I expect this to be a high-scoring back-and-forth affair. While the Golden Eagles ultimately escape with the win, Dent and the Lobos will keep this within one possession.
📊 Best odds: -110 via BetMGM ($10 to win $9.09)
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🔥 Donovan Dent Over 20.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Three of our best sports betting apps have this prop available, and two of them have Dent’s total set at 22.5. It’s just a matter of time before FanDuel’s total rises, so get in as soon as possible.
Dent is averaging 20.6 points per game this season, and while it’s been a while since he’s faced a team as good as Marquette, fading the best scorer on a team that averages 80 points per game is not smart. Dent has scored at least 23 points in five of his last six games. While he failed to score 20 against either St. John’s or UCLA, those games were early in the season, and he has scored fewer than 20 points in just one of his last 10 games.
The Golden Eagles’ have not finished the season strong defensively. They’ve given up at least 79 points in three consecutive games and allowed the Xavier Musketeers to put up 87 on them. They may hold the Lobos below their season average of 80, but Dent will top his average in a high-scoring game.
📊 Best odds: -114 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.77)
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🎯 Score prediction: Marquette 83, New Mexico 81
These are two high-powered offenses, and the defenses will struggle to slow down excellent scorers. The Lobos allowed more than 70 points per game this season, despite playing against weak competition in the majority of their conference games. The Golden Eagles will easily take advantage of that weakness.
But the Lobos like to play fast, and they are the type of Mid-Major that can cause headaches for any top-tier conference. Dent will show the nation why he’s one of the best scorers in the country, but he won’t be able to do enough to secure the Lobos’ victory.
📊 Best odds: +17000 via DraftKings ($10 to win $1,700)
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🤖 Marquette vs. New Mexico AI prediction
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze historical trends and live NCAA Tournament stats before predicting the winner and exact score for Marquette vs. New Mexico. Our AI prediction projects a final score of Marquette 77, New Mexico 74.
🖥️ AI score prediction: Marquette 77, New Mexico 74
- The Lobos boast a strong defense, ranking in the top 15 nationally for block rate, limiting opponents to a 48.2% shooting efficiency inside the arc
- Known for their dynamic guard play, the Golden Eagles have been effective in both scoring and facilitating offense
- The Lobos have secured eight NCAA Tournament victories, with their most recent win in 2012
🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI prediction would mean New Mexico covering the spread (+4.5) and a total of Under 153 points. ChatGPT is not a dedicated sports betting model, but it can identify data that March Madness bettors might overlook.
📊 Live Marquette vs. New Mexico odds
Follow the latest live March Madness college basketball odds and real-time NCAA Tournament scores for the first round.
Latest Marquette vs. New Mexico odds
Here are the latest Marquette vs. New Mexico odds via BetMGM ahead of tipoff:
Spread
Marquette is a 4.5-point betting favorite but the -115 odds on New Mexico +4.5 suggest the line may move in that direction ahead of tipoff. The spread opened at 3.5 points.
Total
The Marquette-New Mexico betting total is up to 153.5 from an opening line of 151.5. The odds are equal at -110 on either side.
Moneyline
Marquette is laying -180 on the moneyline for an outright win. Those odds represent an implied win probability of 64.52%.
🔢 Marquette vs. New Mexico opening odds
- Spread: Marquette -3.5 (-115) | New Mexico +3.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Marquette -175 | New Mexico +145
- Over/Under: Over 151.5 (-115) | Under 151.5 (-105)
📅 Check out the full March Madness first-round schedule and opening odds.
🔮 South Region expert picks
Here are our experts' best predictions for every game in the South Region
- South Region betting preview
- Auburn vs. Alabama State prediction
- Louisville vs. Creighton prediction
- UC San Diego vs. Michigan prediction
- Texas A&M vs. Yale prediction
- Ole Miss vs. North Carolina prediction
- Iowa State vs. Lipscomb prediction
- New Mexico vs. Marquette prediction
- Michigan State vs. Bryant
📺 How to watch Marquette vs. New Mexico: NCAA Tournament first round
📅 Date: Friday, March 21
🕗 Time: 7:25 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Rocket Arena (Cleveland)
📺 TV: TBS
💻 Streaming: March Madness Live
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