Duke vs. Arizona Player Props, Parlay & Odds Tonight: Best SGP Picks for Sweet 16
The No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils (33-3) face the No. 4 seed Arizona Wildcats (24-12) in the NCAA Tournament Sweet 16, battling for a spot in the Elite Eight. Tipoff is set for 9:39 p.m. ET at Prudential Center in Newark, N.J. (CBS), with Duke favored by 9 points.
These teams met earlier this season, with Duke winning the first matchup. Can Arizona flip the script, or will history repeat itself? Our Duke vs. Arizona prediction breaks it all down. Plus, our Duke vs. Arizona player props and parlay odds take a contrarian approach, fading Tyrese Proctor and Caleb Love as part of our March Madness predictions.
📈 Duke vs. Arizona betting action
According to BetMGM, Duke vs. Arizona is the third-most bet game of the Sweet 16, with Duke (-9.5) being the second-most bet team. The Blue Devils and Wildcats Over (153.5) is also the third-most bet Over in the Sweet 16.
🏀 Duke vs. Arizona player prop picks for today
Here are my best Duke vs. Arizona player prop picks for the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament:
🎯 Tyrese Proctor player prop pick: Under 2.5 made 3-pointers (+140 via bet365) ⭐⭐
🎯 Cooper Flagg player prop pick: Over 27.5 points + rebounds (-122 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Caleb Love player prop pick: Under 3.5 assists (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
👉 Want more picks? Check out our latest college basketball picks and our March Madness Sweet 16 predictions.
🏆 Best Duke vs. Arizona player props
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🔥 Tyrese Proctor Under 2.5 made 3-pointers ⭐⭐
This classifies as a bold prediction considering Proctor has 19 made 3-pointers and is shooting 63.3% from beyond the arc over the last three games. However, while Proctor has made six-plus 3-pointers in three straight games, this stretch has been an anomaly.
Over the previous 100 games of Proctor’s career he never made more than five 3-pointers. He also made just over two 3-pointers per game over the first 32 games this season.
I am siding with the larger sample size and am happy to back Proctor to make two or fewer 3-pointers, especially since Arizona has four days to game plan how to slow down the sharpshooter.
📊 Best odds: +140 via bet365 ($10 to win $14)
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🔥 Cooper Flagg Over 27.5 points + rebounds ⭐⭐⭐
Flagg has totaled 27 and 21 points and rebounds in his first two NCAA Tournament games thus far but did not play more than 29 minutes in either one. With us expecting Arizona to keep this game close, Flagg should go over this projected total while playing more than the 30.1 minutes per game he has averaged to this point.
Flagg was Duke’s only consistent source of offense in the first meeting, scoring 24 points and pulling down seven rebounds. Arizona doubles the post at one of the lowest rates in the country, and the Wildcats need to worry about Duke’s perimeter threats.
📊 Best odds: -122 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.20)
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🔥 Caleb Love Under 3.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐
Love is a volume shooter who routinely has a big impact on Arizona’s wins and losses. Before scoring 29 points in Sunday’s win against Oregon, he averaged 17.7 points in Arizona’s wins and 13.8 points in losses.
But whether he is on or not, that doesn’t typically stop Love from getting shots up, as he has attempted 15-plus shots in three of the last four games.
The more Love is shooting, the less he is passing. Love has three or fewer assists in three of the previous five games. And in his last five games against Duke, he has had three or fewer assists three times, with a high of four assists in the other two.
📊 Best odds: -120 via bet365 ($10 to win $8.33)
💰Best Duke vs. Arizona parlay picks
Here is our best Higher Seed vs. Lower Seed same-game parlay for Thursday's Sweet 16 matchup; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any same-game parlay:
🔥 Tyrese Proctor player prop pick: Under 2.5 made 3-pointers
🔥 Cooper Flagg player prop pick: Over 27.5 points + rebounds
🔥 Caleb Love player prop pick: Under 3.5 assists
🚀 Best SGP odds: +701 via bet365 ($10 to win $70.10)
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📺 How to watch Duke vs. Arizona: Sweet 16
📅 Date: Thursday, March 27
🕗 Time: 9:39 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Prudential Center (Newark, N.J.)
📺 TV: CBS
💻 Streaming: March Madness Live
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