Thunder vs. Nuggets NBA Player Prop Bets & Odds Tonight
The Oklahoma City Thunder made moves this offseason for Alex Caruso and Isaiah Hartenstein - who is out indefinitely with a broken hand - but have to take on NBA MVP odds favorite Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets.
Caruso’s addition and other schematic changes could impact some of the Thunder vs. Nuggets player prop bet markets, and we’re breaking down the matchup to consider which numbers to take for wagers.
After getting crushed by the Nuggets last October, the Thunder took the final three meetings last season. Shai-Gilgeous Alexander scored just 7 points in the loss, then averaged 33 points per game on 53.2% field goal shooting in those wins.
In a battle of NBA championship odds contenders, we expect the stars to shine.
Thunder vs. Nuggets player props for Thursday
Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best NBA betting sites and subject to change.
- Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 rebounds (+102 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 2.5 turnovers (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Jamal Murray Under 26.5 points + assists (-120 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
See our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
Best Thunder vs. Nuggets prop predictions
Nikola Jokic prop bet: Over 12.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +102 via BetRivers | Implied probability: 49.50%
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With Hartenstein and backup center Jaylin Williams ruled out, Jokic should own the paint against Chet Holmgren.
The Thunder allowed the fifth-most rebounds per game (15.47) to centers last season and Jokic averaged 12.4 rebounds per game at home. Oklahoma City’s offense might sputter initially with Caruso entering the starting lineup, which would lead to more rebounding opportunities.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander prop bet: Under 2.5 turnovers ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -115 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 53.49%
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The MVP runner-up last season was consistently careful with the basketball down the stretch, averaging 2.2 turnovers per game after the All-Star break despite his 32.8% usage rate and 29.8% assist rate.
Over four meetings with Denver last season, SGA totaled five turnovers without more than two giveaways in any of those games.
The Nuggets moved on from Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, who might have been the primary defender on SGA. Instead, he’ll get to operate against Christian Braun and Russell Westbrook at times.
Jamal Murray prop bet: Under 26.5 points + assists ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -120 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 54.55%
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Murray struggled towards the end of last season and had a very tough performance this summer in the Olympics for Canada.
Now he opens the year against one of the best defensive backcourts in the NBA, with Caruso added to the mix to hound Murray. Caruso helped hold Murray below this prop in each of his last three games against Chicago.
Murray averaged 14.8 points per game on 43% field goal shooting against the Thunder last season.
Thunder vs. Nuggets live odds & info
- When: Thursday, Oct. 24
- Tip-off: 10 p.m. ET
- Where: Ball Arena (Denver)
- How to watch: TNT
- Favorite: Nuggets -2 (-108 via DraftKings)
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