🏀 Spurs vs. Timberwolves Player Props Today: NBA Playoff Picks & Best Bets for Game 3
The second-round series between the Spurs and Timberwolves shifts to Minnesota for Game 3 on Friday, with both teams looking to take control and go ahead 2-1 in the playoff matchup.
My Spurs vs. Timberwolves player props today for Game 3 include targeting Unders on both Victor Wembanyama and Anthony Edwards. Tipoff is at 9:30 p.m. ET from the Target Center in Minneapolis (NBC, Peacock), with the Spurs a 3.5-point road betting favorite.
🏀 Best Spurs vs. Timberwolves player props today: NBA playoff picks for Game 3
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| 💰 Pick | 💡 Best odds | ⚖️ Bet size | 🧠 Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards Under 4.5 rebounds | +105 via DraftKings | 1u -> 1.05u | Less active as a rebounder while dealing with injury. |
| Victor Wembanyama Under 25.5 points | -111 via DraftKings | 0.5u -> 0.45u | Averaging 15 points per game in this series. |
| De'Aaron Fox Over 5.5 assists | +120 via DraftKings | 0.3u -> 0.36u | Fox has totaled Over 5.5 assists in five of seven playoff games. |
Total wagered: 1.8 units | Max profit: 1.86 units
💰 Best Spurs vs. Timberwolves prop bet
Anthony Edwards Under 4.5 rebounds (+105)
A banged-up Anthony Edwards isn't going to be overly active on the glass against the Spurs. The Timberwolves star only tallied three rebounds in each of the first two games of this series. I don't expect that to change in Game 3, as Edwards won't want to be overly aggressive as a rebounder and risk reaggravating his knee injury.
DraftKings' offers market-best +105 odds on Edwards to finish with four or fewer rebounds, but there's value paying up to -115.
📉 Fading Edwards
As part of his NBA player props today, our Shane Thurston is also fading Edwards. He's also offering props for tonight's other matchup, with his Knicks vs. 76ers player props.
🔥 More Spurs vs. Timberwolves prop picks
Victor Wembanyama Under 25.5 points (-111)
Rudy Gobert is one of the few defenders in the world who can contain Victor Wembanyama. The Spurs superstar has only hit this scoring total twice this playoffs, and he hasn't come close to 26 points in the first two games of this series (11 points in Game 1 and 19 points in Game 2).
This total is clearly too high for Wemby in this matchup. That's why I'm comfortable backing Under 25.5 at DraftKings, instead of the 26.5 total at FanDuel, in order to get better odds on this player prop bet.
De'Aaron Fox Over 5.5 assists (+120)
De'Aaron Fox's playmaking has been a consistent force in the playoffs, even when his scoring has fluctuated. His pick-and-roll game, in particular, has been lethal alongside Wembanyama.
Though he went Under this total in Game 2, he had exceeded 5.5 assists in five of six prior games. Getting plus-money odds at the best sports betting sites is what pushed this player prop over the edge for me, which I'm backing at +120 odds at DraftKings.
🚀 Spurs vs. Timberwolves same-game parlay
I'm rolling with a 2-leg parlay focused on fading this series' two superstars, because both are being overvalued in their respective markets. Neither went over their set total in Games 1 or 2. Combining them gives us +290 odds at DraftKings.
💵 Spurs vs. Timberwolves SGP picks
- Anthony Edwards Under 4.5 rebounds (+105)
- Victor Wembanyama Under 25.5 points (-111)
Best odds: +290 via DraftKings (0.2u -> 0.58u)
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since April 18.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-20 | +3.56 units ✅ | 17.56% ✅ |
| Player props | 16-12 | +3.14 units ✅ | 17.59% ✅ |
| Parlays | 3-8 | +0.42 units ✅ | 17.5% ✅ |
💡 How I'm betting Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
I staggered the units wagered for my three top player props for Spurs vs. Timberwolves based on my confidence level in each. My most confident pick (Edwards Under 4.5 rebounds) received a full-unit wager, while I wagered 0.5 units on Wembanyama Under 25.5 points and 0.3 units on Fox Over 5.5 assists. Bankroll management is crucial in sports betting, so be smart with yours.
🚑 Spurs vs. Timberwolves injuries
📺 How to watch Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 3
- Date: Friday, May 8
- Tipoff: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Target Center (Minneapolis)
- TV: NBC
- Streaming: Peacock
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