Sky vs. Wings Prediction: WNBA Picks for Sunday, July 12
The Dallas Wings (15-8) have won four in a row heading into their home meeting with the Chicago Sky (7-15) at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday at American Airlines Center in Dallas, on ESPN.
Dallas continues to climb the WNBA championship odds board, while Paige Bueckers surges in the MVP race. Dallas is a 9.5-point favorite as I make my Sky vs. Wings prediction for Sunday's WNBA picks and best bets.
🏀 Sky vs. Wings prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Sky +9.5 (-110 via DraftKings) | 0.5u → 0.44u | Dallas won by one point in the last head-to-head meeting on June 20. |
| Under 178.5 (-110 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.91u | Dallas' defense rating is 9.1 points better with Awak Kuier on the floor. She's been starting since mid-June. |
| Paige Bueckers Over 4.5 rebounds (+115 via bet365) | 1u → 1.15u | The Sky rank last in rebounds allowed this season. |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.5 units
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🏆 Who will win Sky vs. Wings?
I predict the Wings will earn an eight-point win over the Sky on Sunday in Dallas. Since making a starting-lineup change in mid-June, the Wings have the second-best record in the league and a net rating of +5.1. The Sky are 3-6 over that same stretch, but their +0.4 net rating suggests they've been more competitive. Don't be surprised if this game isn't decided until the fourth quarter.
Score prediction: Wings 90, Sky 82
💰 Sky vs. Wings prediction & best bet
Under 178.5 (-110)
FanDuel offers a total of 178.5, with the rest of the market at 177.5.
The Wings have been a better defensive team since Awak Kuier joined the starting lineup on June 15. They are 6-4 to the Under over the last 10 games, and their defensive rating is 9.1 points better with her on the floor, per Databallr.
Plus, this is the first game of the year at the American Airlines Center (home of the Dallas Mavericks), which could negatively impact the Wings' offense, as they are more familiar with shooting at the College Park Center.
🔥 Best Sky vs. Wings player prop bet
Paige Bueckers Over 4.5 rebounds (+115)
Given the way Bueckers has been playing of late, I love the idea of getting a plus-money price on her in any market.
The rebound market by the final edge left, especially since she's cleared this line in seven of her past 11 games. During that stretch, Bueckers grabbed seven boards against the Sky on June 20. Chicago ranks last in the league in rebounds allowed.
Kuier isn't as much of a rebounder, so her presence in the starting lineup actually helps Bueckers, who has averaged 4.8 boards across the past 10 games.
🚀 Sky vs. Wings same-game parlay
Get a +537 payout on my Sky vs. Wings parlay, which features my three predictions for this game. I think the total is inflated, and there will be a few more missed shots. That should help Bueckers collect a handful of rebounds, while keeping the Sky closer than expected. It's actually more correlated than these odds suggest.
💵 Sky vs. Wings SGP picks
- Under 178.5 (-110)
- Paige Bueckers Over 4.5 rebounds (+112)
- Sky +9.5 (-119)
Best odds: +537 via FanDuel (0.1u -> 0.54u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 55-71-1 | +5.40 units ✅ | 5.9% ✅ |
| Player props | 20-14 | +4.42 units ✅ | 13% ✅ |
| Parlays | 3-28 | -1.59 units ❌ | -51.2% ❌ |
📊 Live Sky vs. Wings odds
📺 How to watch Sky vs. Wings
- Date: Sunday, July 12
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas)
- TV: ESPN
- Streaming: Disney+
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