Mercury vs. Aces Prediction: WNBA Picks for Saturday, July 11
📡 SBR Edge: Phoenix Doesn't Rise After Back-to-Back Losses
My Mercury vs. Aces prediction includes Aces -9.5 (-114) and A'ja Wilson Over 24.5 points (-116). Las Vegas has dominated the head-to-head series in recent meetings, and Wilson has scored 30-plus points in each of her last three games.
🏀 Mercury vs. Aces prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Units | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Aces -9.5 (-114 via FanDuel) | 2.28u → 2u | The Aces have covered 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. |
| Over 169.5 (-105 via BetMGM) | 0.53u → 0.5u | The Over has hit in 4 of the last 6 meetings. |
| A'ja Wilson Over 24.5 points (-116 via DraftKings) | 1.74u → 1.5u | Wilson has scored 30+ points in each of her last 3 games. |
Total wagered: 4.55 units | Max profit: 4 units
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
🏆 Who will win Mercury vs. Aces?
I like the Aces to beat the Mercury by 12 points today. Las Vegas has the second-shortest WNBA championship odds and should be fully focused against Phoenix after the two teams met in the WNBA Finals last season. The Mercury are much worse this season, sitting at 8-15, but I don't expect the Aces to take it easy on them because of that.
Score prediction: Aces 92, Mercury 80
💰 Mercury vs. Aces prediction & best bet
Aces -9.5 (-114)
The Aces have dominated the Mercury.
Las Vegas has covered four of the last five meetings, including a 10-point win in Phoenix on June 17. Now the season series shifts to Las Vegas, and I don't expect Phoenix, which is coming off back-to-back home losses, to be more competitive on The Strip. The Aces are practically at full health, and we should see a full effort from them in a rematch of last season's finals.
Aces -9.5 (-114) is the best line available among the top sports betting sites. I would make this line Aces -12 (-101) at fair odds.
🔥 Best Mercury vs. Aces player prop bet
A'ja Wilson Over 24.5 points (-116)
Wilson returned from a leg injury against the Fire on Thursday, and while you might have expected her to need some time to return to form, she didn't.
She scored 32 points and has now scored 30 or more in each of her last three games. Not only that, but she has also gone over this line in each of her last four games against the Mercury. We should see more of the same today.
Wilson Over 25.5 points (-106) is actually the best line available among the top sports betting apps, as buying from 25.5 to 24.5 isn't worth 10 cents. However, I'll use Over 24.5 (-116) at DraftKings for my personal tracking since it's a widely available line.
🏀 More WNBA player props today
Our Shane Thurston features Angel Reese in his Fire vs. Dream prediction.
🚀 Mercury vs. Aces same-game parlay
Parlaying these three bets at FanDuel pays +400.
💵 Mercury vs. Aces SGP picks
- Aces -9.5
- Over 169.5
- A'ja Wilson Over 24.5 points
Odds: +400 via FanDuel
📊 Live Mercury vs. Aces odds
📺 How to watch Mercury vs. Aces
- Date: Saturday, July 11
- Tipoff: 6 p.m. ET
- Location: Michelob Ultra Arena (Las Vegas)
- TV: Peacock, NBCSN
Related Articles
