Fire vs. Dream Prediction: WNBA Picks for Saturday, July 11

The Atlanta Dream snapped five-game losing skid last time out, so they'll be looking to stay in the win column when they host the Portland Fire at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday at Gateway Center in Atlanta on CBS.

Atlanta's WNBA championship odds have taken a hit due to its recent form, but the market still clearly believes in this team by making it a 13.5-point favorite against Portland. Check out my Fire vs. Dream prediction as part of Saturday's WNBA picks and best bets.

🏀 Fire vs. Dream prediction: WNBA picks

See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.

Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.38 units

🏆 Who will win Fire vs. Dream?

Given Atlanta's recent form and this being a lower-scoring matchup, I predict the Dream will win by only 10 points at home on Saturday. That should allow the Fire to cover the spread and keep things interesting for much of the day. Atlanta is 1-5 across its last six games, falling to sixth in the overall WNBA standings. During that stretch, the Dream are 14th in offensive rating.

Score prediction: Dream 91, Fire 81

💰 Fire vs. Dream prediction & best bet

Fire +13.5 (-105)

The Dream finally ended their slide with an 11-point win over the Seattle Storm last time out, but they still failed to cover the spread (-12.5). In fact, Atlanta has failed to cover the spread in seven straight games. The Dream have been favored in all seven contests, including as high as -14.5 when this streak started on June 22.

During this stretch, the Dream have been priced like an elite team. But they rank 11th in net rating (-3.1) over the past 20 days.

I'll fade Atlanta's recent form by backing the road underdog at +13 or better.

🔥 Best Fire vs. Dream player prop bet

Angel Reese Under 17.5 points + assists (+100)

With Angel Reese listed as questionable today, there is a chance that she doesn't play. But I like the idea of fading her if she decides to give it a go.

When fading Reese, it's best to target the non-rebound markets. She's only cleared this points + assists combo line in nine of 22 games this season, averaging 15 points and 2.5 assists. In fact, this line might be a touch inflated - it closed 16.5 in the last head-to-head meeting with Portland - because she's cleared this combo line in back-to-back games.

As long as the Fire keep her off the line and limit her paint touches, I like this Under at plus-money. No other shop offers such odds expect bet365.

🚀 Fire vs. Dream same-game parlay

I'll stick with a two-leg parlay of my full-unit plays in today's Fire vs. Dream matchup. I'm backing Portland to cover a large spread, while fading Reese's offensive impact. Those two legs are somewhat correlated, but still come out to +230 at bet365. Oh, is this a safe space? Well, adding England's moneyline increases the parlay to +543 if you are into sweating two different sporting events simultaneously.

💵 My betting record for WNBA picks

All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.

📊 Live Fire vs. Dream odds

📺 How to watch Fire vs. Dream

• Date: Saturday, July 11
• Tipoff: 4 p.m. ET
• Location: Gateway Center Arena (Atlanta)
• TV: CBS
• Streaming: Paramount+