Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Sunday, July 12

The Milwaukee Brewers will look to avoid a rare series sweep on Sunday against the Pittsburgh Pirates. It's set to be Robert Gasser vs. Paul Skenes, as the Pirates look to climb back into Wild Card contention against their dominant N.L. Central rival.  My Brewers vs. Pirates prediction thinks the visitors will get the job done.

Today's early first pitch is at 12:15 p.m ET. Lock in my latest MLB picks before streaming this game exclusively on Peacock. The Pirates are entering as slight home favorites at PNC Park, with Skenes on the mound and a run total set at 7.5. 

⚾ Brewers vs. Pirates picks & odds today

See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.

Total wagered: 2.35 units | Max profit: 3.23 units

🏆 Who will win Brewers vs. Pirates?

It's not often we see the Milwaukee Brewers as a plus-odds underdog this season. It's even rarer for the Brewers to get swept in a series, which hasn't happened in three months. The Pirates have had shaky starts from Skenes lately, meaning we'll see the Brewers pull off the upset and avoid the sweep in a convincing 5-2 win. 

Score prediction: Brewers 5, Pirates 2

💰 Brewers vs. Pirates prediction & best bet

Brewers Moneyline (+105)

Paul Skenes' name still garners respect from oddsmakers. However, Pittsburgh's ace has been a bit suspect, giving up 11 earned runs in two consecutive starts, before improving to two earned runs in a 12-4 win over the Braves in his last start. 

Robert Gasser has led the Brewers to four straight wins as a starter. The southpaw faces a Pirates lineup that is feast-or-famine, ranked second in batting average (.262) but third in strikeouts per game (9.34) in 2026.

Gasser and the Brewers will shut down the Pirates' lineup. Bet on the Brewers at +105 moneyline odds after using a Caesars promo code.

🔥 Best Brewers vs. Pirates player prop bet

Brice Turang Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-110)

Brice Turang is set up to inflict serious damage against Paul Skenes and the Pirates' bullpen on Sunday. The Brewers' 2B/SS has five hits in his last four starts, with two multi-hit performances. Turang has also gone over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs in three of his last four starts.

Skenes has allowed six or more hits in three straight starts for the Pirates. Meanwhile, Turang ranks 83rd in chase rate (24.0) and 85th in walk rate (12.7), so he's disciplined at the plate. Turang is also 85th in launch angle sweet spot percentage (38.2) and 78th in avg exit velo (90.9) this season. 

Milwaukee's most consistent hitter lately, without a doubt, has been Turang. He'll look to exploit Skenes early on, while bringing a ton of confidence to each plate appearance. 

Let's head to bet365 and bet on Brice Turang to go over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs at -110 odds on 

💣 Brewers vs. Pirates home run prediction

Brandon Lowe to hit a home run (+475)

The Pirates have had several players in their lineup mash home runs in 2026, but Brandon Lowe is the only one with over 20 dingers entering Sunday's homestand.

PNC Park is not considered hitter-friendly, but Lowe has plenty of power to overcome these obstacles, ranked in the 75th percentile or better in hard-hit percentage (45.4), barrel rate (12.4), and xSLG (.462). 

Robert Gasser has been solid but he's still giving up nearly a 93 mph fastball velo, putting him in the bottom 16th percentile. Lowe will snap a five-game home run drought with his 22nd homer of the year on Sunday afternoon.

Stay on bet365 to place a wager on his home run prop at +475 odds. 

🚀 Brewers vs. Pirates same-game parlay

Christian Yelich has a hit in both games played during this latest N.L. Central weekend series. Bryan Reynolds also has four hits across his last four starts for the Pirates, including a two-hit outing in Game 2 of the Pirates' doubleheader on Saturday. Get +123 odds for this hit parlay on DraftKings. 

💵 My betting record for MLB picks

All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 31.

💡 How I'm betting Brewers vs. Pirates: MLB strategy

Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.

I'm dropping 3.35 total units on Sunday's Brewers vs. Pirates series finale. 1 unit will be staked on the Brewers moneyline at +105, while 1.10 units will be placed on Brice Turang to record over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs. 

I'm scaling it down, per usual, with a 0.25 unit play on Brandon Lowe in the home run player prop market at +475 odds. Then, it's back to a full unit (1.0) on a SGP featuring Christian Yelich and Bryan Reynolds to each go over 0.5 hits. 

📊 Live Brewers vs. Pirates odds

Since the lines opened, the Pirates have moved from +104 to -120 in the moneyline market at the best sports betting sites. The run total has also climbed from 6.5 to 7.5. Public action is on the Brewers, garnering 68 percent of moneyline bets. The run total market is lopsided, with nearly all public action on over 7.5 total runs. 

📈 Brewers vs. Pirates betting trends

🚑 Brewers vs. Pirates injuries

📺 How to watch Brewers vs. Pirates

• Date: Sunday, July 12
• First pitch: 12:15 p.m. ET
• Ballpark: PNC Park (Pittsburgh)
• Streaming: Peacock
• Brewers starter: Robert Gasser (2-3, 4.15 ERA)
• Pirates starter: Paul Skenes (7-8, 3.58 ERA)