Liberty vs. Storm Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: WNBA Best Bets for Sept. 5

My best bets for Liberty vs. Storm are New York moneyline and Breanna Stewart to go Over her points total.
Liberty vs. Storm Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: WNBA Best Bets for Sept. 5
Pictured: New York Liberty guard Sabrina Ionescu (20) shoots the ball defended by Seattle Storm forward Ezi Magbegor (13) and forward Nneka Ogwumike (3). Photo by John Jones via Imagn Images.
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The New York Liberty (24-17) continue their road trip by facing the Seattle Storm (22-20) and I like New York to get back in the win column for my Liberty vs. Storm prediction.

Tipoff is at 10 p.m. ET on Friday at Climate Pledge Arena (Stream: ION). New York should get back in the win column for my Liberty vs. Storm prediction.

This is a buy-low spot on the Liberty, who have scored 121 points over their last two games and are 2-point underdogs against the Storm. Still, I like the idea of getting a plus-money price on the defending champs to win as part of Friday’s WNBA picks.

In addition, I’m backing Breanna Stewart’s scoring prop in the player prop market.


🏀 Liberty vs. Storm expert picks & predictions

WNBA expert picks made Thursday; odds subject to change.

  • Moneyline pick: Liberty (+110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Against the spread pick: Liberty +2 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Over/Under pick: Under 160 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
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📝 Liberty vs. Storm preview & best bet

🗽 Liberty ML (+110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Liberty vs. Storm Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: WNBA Best Bets for Sept. 5
Pictured: New York Liberty center Jonquel Jones (35) and forward Kennedy Burke (22) box out. Photo by John Jones via Imagn Images.

I have similar confidence in New York’s moneyline and spread for this game, but I’m opting for the better payout with the former option. A $10 moneyline wager generates a $11 profit.

This feels like a buy-low spot on the Liberty. They have lost 11 times since July 26 while dealing with injuries to multiple key players. It’s only recently that they have started to get healthier, though they are still learning how everyone fits on this roster.

I don’t know if it will all click together before the postseason, but Friday’s matchup against Seattle is a chance to take a step in that direction. The Storm are clinging to the final playoff spot after losing outright to the Los Angeles Sparks as 7.5-point favorites.

Seattle has failed to cover the spread as a favorite in four straight games and 11 of its previous 12 such outings. The Storm are 3-12 ATS over their past 15 contests. I can’t trust them to defeat the defending champs.

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💰 Best Liberty vs. Storm player prop bet

⬆️ Breanna Stewart Over 17.5 points (-110) ⭐⭐⭐

Liberty vs. Storm Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: WNBA Best Bets for Sept. 5
Pictured: New York Liberty forward Breanna Stewart (30) controls the ball. Photo by Kelley L Cox via Imagn Images.

Since returning from injury on Aug. 25, Breanna Stewart has cleared this scoring prop twice in four games. She’s attempted at least nine shots in all four outings, including two performances with double-digit attempts.

Stewart played 34 minutes in Tuesday’s loss to the Golden State Valkyries. With that kind of workload, I’ll bank on her clearing this scoring prop when she’s averaging 18 points per contest this season.

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📊 Liberty vs. Storm odds: Sept. 5

WNBA odds update live in real time.

📈 Liberty vs. Storm betting odds analysis

The Storm begin as 2-point favorites over the Liberty. Given Seattle’s recent track record at covering the spread, I’d project the line to move closer to a coin flip before tipoff on Friday night.


🔢 Liberty vs. Storm stats

Season stats courtesy of WNBA.com.

Liberty (24-17) Statistic (per game) Storm (22-20)
+4.9 Net rating +3.2
105.6 Offensive rating 103.2
100.7 Defensive rating 99.9
84.5 Points 82.5
80.6 Points allowed 80.2
33.5 Rebounds 30.9
21.7 Assists 21.5
14 Turnovers 12.3
45.2 FG% 45.1
35.5 3PT% 34.4

📺 Liberty vs. Storm game info

  • When: Friday, Sept. 5
  • Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Climate Pledge Arena (Seattle)
  • How to watch: ION

💡 Expert WNBA predictions today


❓ Liberty vs. Storm FAQs

Who is favored to win Liberty vs. Storm?

The Storm are -135 favorites for an implied probability of 57.54%.

What is the spread for Liberty vs. Storm?

Seattle is a 2-point favorite against New York at Climate Pledge Arena.

What is the Over/Under for Liberty vs. Storm?

The total for Friday’s Liberty-Storm matchup is 160.

What are the best bets for Liberty vs. Storm?

My best bets for Liberty vs. Storm are New York moneyline (+110) and Breanna Stewart Over 17.5 points.

When is the Liberty vs. Storm game?

Tipoff for Liberty vs. Storm is set for 10 p.m. ET on Friday on ION.

How do WNBA odds work?

When betting on the WNBA, the point spread shows how many points the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -5.5 must win by 6 or more points to cover the spread, while an underdog at +5.5 must win outright or lose by 5 or fewer points to cover the spread.

Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.

You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.

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