🏀 Liberty vs. Sky Prediction: WNBA Picks for Wednesday, June 17
📡 SBR Edge: Liberty Can't Stop Covering
My Liberty vs. Sky prediction includes Liberty -10.5 (-104) and Marine Johannes Under 7.5 points (-103). New York has covered six of its last seven games, while Johannes' role in the offense should continue to shrink with Sabrina Ionescu back in the lineup.
🏀 Liberty vs. Sky prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Units | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Liberty -10.5 (-104 via FanDuel) | 2.08u → 2u | The Liberty have covered 6 of their last 7 games. |
| Under 169.5 (-110 via FanDuel) | 0.55u → 0.5u | The Sky have scored 75 or fewer points 4 of their last 6 games. |
| Marine Johannes Under 7.5 points (-103 via DraftKings) | 1.55u → 1.5u | Johannes has attempted 1 fewer shot in each of her last two games. |
Total wagered: 4.18 units | Max profit: 4 units
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🏆 Who will win Liberty vs. Sky?
The Liberty are in a three-way tie with the Aces and Lynx as the favorites in the WNBA championship odds, so it's only right that they would be favored against the Sky, who have the fifth-longest odds. While New York has already clinched in the Commissioner's Cup, it is still playing for home-court advantage, so I like it to come out fully focused and win by more than 10 points. There is value on the moneyline at -455 on the best sports betting sites, but I prefer playing the spread at greater odds.
Score prediction: Liberty 89, Sky 75
💰 Liberty vs. Sky prediction & best bet
Liberty -10.5 (-104)
Playing for home-court advantage in the Commissioner's Cup should be enough motivation for the Liberty to give full effort tonight. And that's a scary thought for Sky bettors, as New York is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven games.
The Liberty have won back-to-back games by 14 or more points, and both opponents (the Mystics and Dream) are ranked higher than the Sky in the championship odds. With New York covering each of its last two games by 8.5 or more points and playing for home-court advantage, Chicago should struggle to keep this game close.
🔥 Best Liberty vs. Sky player prop bet
Marine Johannes Under 7.5 points (-103)
Johannes should continue to get fewer touches moving forward with Ionescu back healthy. She has already attempted one fewer field goal in each of her last two games and has played fewer minutes in each of her last four outings.
Ionescu attempted 15.1 field goals per game last season, so other Liberty guards should continue to see their point totals plummet as she gets more comfortable in the offense. Ionescu attempted just four shots in her return on Sunday, but she's lined at 14.5 tonight, so the market is expecting her to become more involved offensively.
🚀 Liberty vs. Sky same-game parlay
If the Liberty win their third straight game by more than 10 points, it's more likely that Breanna Stewart, Jonquel Jones, or Ionescu will have a big game, not Johannes. Caesars offers this two-leg SGP at +295, which is the best price available among the top sports betting apps.
💵 Liberty vs. Sky SGP picks
- Liberty -10
- Marine Johannes Under 7.5 points
Best odds: +295 via Caesars (0.34u -> 1u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 8.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-26 | -11.35 units ❌ | -24.2% ❌ |
| Spreads | 4-7 | -5.62 units ❌ | -26.3% ❌ |
| Totals | 4-8 | -1.47 units ❌ | -18.7% ❌ |
| Player props | 5-7 | -4.1 units ❌ | -25.3% ❌ |
| Parlays | 1-4 | -0.16 units ❌ | -10.6% ❌ |
📊 Live Liberty vs. Sky odds
🚑 Liberty vs. Sky injuries
Injury report last updated at 5:35 p.m. ET.
Liberty
- Betnijah Laney-Hamilton (knee) - questionable
Sky
- DiJonai Carrington (foot) - out
- Rickea Jackson (knee) - out
- Courtney Vandersloot (knee) - out
📺 How to watch Liberty vs. Sky
- Date: Wednesday, June 17
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Wintrust Arena (Chicago)
- TV: USA Network
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