⛳️ U.S. Open Power Rankings: Breaking Down the Top 10 Golfers at the U.S. Open

I break down the top-10 golfers in the 2026 U.S. Open, including Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, and more.
Scottie Scheffler plays a bunker shot as he is featured in our U.S. Open power rankings.
Pictured: Scottie Scheffler plays a bunker shot as he is featured in our U.S. Open power rankings. Photo by Bill Streicher-Imagn Images
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The 2026 U.S. Open odds are set to deliver one of the deepest and toughest fields in golf, with the world’s best heading to Shinnecock Hills for one of the most demanding tests in major championship golf. As a result, I'm breaking down my U.S. Open Power Rankings.

From favorites like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy to dangerous contenders like Bryson DeChambeau, Xander Schauffele, and Wyndham Clark, this year’s top 10 power rankings blend current form, major pedigree, and course fit. With brutal rough, firm greens, and pressure-packed conditions, every shot matters, making this week’s rankings a key tool for bettors and fans looking to identify the top contenders.


🏆 2026 U.S. Open Power Rankings: Top 10 Golfers

1. Scottie Scheffler

Scheffler remains the clear No. 1 heading into Shinnecock after another dominant season and a major victory earlier this year. His strong tee-to-green game and ability to avoid mistakes make him the most complete player in the world, which is critical at a U.S. Open setup.

U.S. Open best bet: Top 10 finish (-135)

2. Rory McIlroy

McIlroy’s combination of power and improved wedge play keeps him near the top of every major board. Shinnecock rewards aggressive driving when controlled, and few players can separate off the tee like Rory. He has also been at top-tier form this season, which plays a factor into his ranking. 

U.S. Open best bet: Top 5 finish (+230)

3. Xander Schauffele

Schauffele has built a reputation as one of the steadiest major performers in golf. His consistency across all four rounds and ability to limit big numbers makes him a perfect fit for U.S. Open conditions. He is always a threat in big tournaments, and that remains true for the 2026 U.S. Open.

U.S. Open best bet: Top 20 finish (-145)

4. Jon Rahm

Rahm’s power, ball-striking, and short-game creativity always translate well in major championships. When his putter heats up, he has as much winning upside as anyone in the field. He has had plenty of major success, and that should remain in the 2026 U.S. Open.

U.S. Open best bet: Winner (+1500)

5. Bryson DeChambeau

DeChambeau's U.S. Open pedigree and overpowering style make him an obvious threat. If conditions get firm and fast, his length can turn brutal par 4s into scoring opportunities while others are grinding for par. He can easily gain strokes with his long game in a tournament like the U.S. Open.

U.S. Open best bet: Top LIV player (+500)

6. Wyndham Clark

Clark already owns a U.S. Open title and has shown he can thrive under the pressure of major Sunday. His driving distance and confidence on difficult setups make him one of the more dangerous names outside the top tier. He has been in great form as well consistently placing in the top-10 of the last few PGA events.

U.S. Open best bet: Top USA player (+3000)

🤑 Wyndham Clark props

I also wrote up more on Wyndham Clark in my U.S. Open long shots & sleeper picks.

7. Collin Morikawa

Morikawa’s iron play is among the best in the world, which becomes even more valuable on a course like Shinnecock. If he finds a hot week on the greens, he has the precision to outclass the field. He is finally getting his back healthy again as well, and should be a factor in this event.

U.S. Open best bet: Top 20 finish (+175)

8. Ludvig Aberg

Aberg continues to rise as one of golf’s brightest young stars, with strong ball speed and fearless shot-making. His all-around game has already proven major-ready, and this could be another breakout week. He is one of those guys you can never count out in the big tournaments.

U.S. Open best bet: Top Nordic player (+170)

9. Hideki Matsuyama

Hideki’s elite approach game and underrated short game make him a natural U.S. Open fit. He has consistently contended in difficult major setups and has the patience required for a grind-it-out championship. The tougher the course and the tournament, the better Matsuyama is.

U.S. Open best bet: Top rest of the world player (+900)

10. Aaron Rai

Rai makes the list as a strong value play after his recent PGA Championship breakthrough. His fairway-finding ability and disciplined iron play are tailor-made for surviving U.S. Open conditions, and his confidence is at an all-time high.

U.S. Open best bet: Winner (+6500)


📊 U.S. Open odds 2026: Who'll win at Shinnecock Hills?

Here are the live odds from our best sports betting sites to win the 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills. Track these odds throughout the week ahead to get the best value on your golf picks:


💰 U.S. Open betting history

Year Name Odds (as of Jan. 1) Course
2025 J.J. Spaun +12500 Oakmont Country Club
2024 Bryson DeChambeau +3000 Pinehurst No. 2
2023 Wyndham Clark NA (+10000 prior to Round 1) Los Angeles Country Club
2022 Matt Fitzpatrick +5000 The Country Club
2021 Jon Rahm +1200 Torrey Pines
2020 Bryson DeChambeau +3000 Winged Foot Golf Club
2019 Gary Woodland +8000 Pebble Beach Golf Links
2018 Brooks Koepka +4000 Shinnecock Hills
2017 Brooks Koepka +4000 Erin Hills
2016 Dustin Johnson +1500 Oakmont Country Club

📈 Insights for the U.S. Open

“In the 126th US Open’s return to Shinnecock, world number 1 Scottie Scheffler has been getting plenty of love from bettors, especially at a more attractive price point than we saw at the first two majors of 2026. Following the recent successes of Rory McIlroy and Aaron Rai, our customers are jumping on the European bandwagon - Tommy Fleetwood and Matt Fitzpatrick are both seeing strong backing. Normally a fan favorite, Bryson DeChambeau’s missed cuts at both majors this year seem to have cooled the enthusiasm with significant action on Bryson to miss the cut. Last time the US Open was held at Shinnecock in 2018, no one finished under par. Customers clearly remember just how brutal this course can be.” – Matt Wall, Senior Trader, BetMGM

Category 1st 2nd 3rd
Most Tickets (outright) Scottie Scheffler (14.1%) Rory McIlroy (6.5%) Cameron Young (6.0%)
Most Handle (outright) Scottie Scheffler (24.7%) Rory McIlroy (6.2%) Cameron Young (6.2%)
Biggest Liabilities Scottie Scheffler Cameron Young Matt Fitzpatrick

⛳ U.S. Open tournament info 2026

  • Where: Shinnecock Hills Golf Club (Southampton, NY)
  • When: Thursday, June 18 - Sunday, June 21
  • Field: 156
  • Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+550 via FanDuel)
  • Defending champion: J.J. Spaun
  • Purse: $21.5 million
  • FedEx Cup points: 750

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