⛳ U.S. Open Picks & Predictions: Best Bets to Win, Top Finishes & U.S. Open Prop Bets
The U.S. Open takes center stage this week as the world’s best golfers head to Shinnecock Hills Golf Club for one of golf’s toughest and most prestigious major championships. Unlike many regular PGA Tour stops, Shinnecock Hills demands elite ball-striking, precision off the tee, and the ability to manage difficult greens and brutal rough, making it one of the ultimate tests in golf as we break down our U.S. Open picks.
With a major title on the line, bettors are heavily targeting outright winners and placement markets in what should be one of the strongest fields of the year. Sam Burns enters as one of the notable contenders and headlines our U.S. Open picks and predictions, while players with strong tee-to-green games and the ability to avoid costly mistakes should have a major edge on this demanding setup.
Let’s dive into my outright winner, long-shot winner, and top finish market picks.
💰 U.S. Open picks
Here are our top golf picks for U.S. Open.
| Market | Pick | Best odds |
|---|---|---|
| Outright winner | Sam Burns | +2200 via FanDuel |
| Long shot winner | Chris Gotterup | +4500 via DraftKings |
| Top 10 finish | Jon Rahm | +145 via FanDuel |
🏆 U.S. Open pick to win: Sam Burns (+2200)
Sam Burns has the complete skill set to win the U.S. Open this weekend. His combination of strong ball-striking, improved accuracy off the tee, and one of the best putting strokes on Tour makes him dangerous on a demanding setup.
Burns has shown he can handle pressure in big events, and his ability to save par when out of position is critical in U.S. Open conditions. If he stays sharp with his irons, he has the upside to lift the trophy.
🎯 U.S. Open sleeper pick: Chris Gotterup (+4500)
Chris Gotterup has the profile of a breakout major winner at the U.S. Open. He’s already won twice in 2026, including the Sony Open in Hawaii and the WM Phoenix Open, proving his game travels and his confidence is peaking.
His length off the tee and natural low ball flight fit tough U.S. Open conditions perfectly, while his scrambling has improved enough to survive Shinnecock’s misses. If the putter cooperates, Gotterup has the upside to outlast this field.
🔥 Best U.S. Open bets
Jon Rahm top 10 finish (+145)
Jon Rahm is built for U.S. Open setups, which makes a top-10 finish a strong play this week. His strong tee-to-green game, power off the tee, and ability to recover around the greens give him a major advantage on a brutal layout like Shinnecock Hills Golf Club.
Rahm has consistently performed well in majors because of his patience and ability to limit mistakes. If he keeps the driver in play and gains with his irons, another high finish is well within reach.
💰 U.S. Open betting history
| Year | Name | Odds (as of Jan. 1) | Course |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | J.J. Spaun | +12500 | Oakmont Country Club |
| 2024 | Bryson DeChambeau | +3000 | Pinehurst No. 2 |
| 2023 | Wyndham Clark | NA (+10000 prior to Round 1) | Los Angeles Country Club |
| 2022 | Matt Fitzpatrick | +5000 | The Country Club |
| 2021 | Jon Rahm | +1200 | Torrey Pines |
| 2020 | Bryson DeChambeau | +3000 | Winged Foot Golf Club |
| 2019 | Gary Woodland | +8000 | Pebble Beach Golf Links |
| 2018 | Brooks Koepka | +4000 | Shinnecock Hills |
| 2017 | Brooks Koepka | +4000 | Erin Hills |
| 2016 | Dustin Johnson | +1500 | Oakmont Country Club |
💵 My betting record for golf picks
All golf picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 7, 2026.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-27 | +3.2 units ✅ | 137.55% ✅ |
| Long shots (+4500 or higher) | 0-19 | -1.7 units ❌ | 0% ❌ |
⛳ U.S. Open tournament info 2026
- Where: Shinnecock Hills Golf Club (Southampton, NY)
- When: Thursday, June 18 - Sunday, June 21
- Field: 156
- Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+550 via FanDuel)
- Defending champion: J.J. Spaun
- Purse: $21.5 million
- FedEx Cup points: 750
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