🎯 U.S. Open Long Shots & Sleeper Picks: 3 Outright Bets Longer Than +4500
Leading the 2026 U.S. Open Long Shots & Sleeper Picks as the pre-tournament favorite is none other than Scottie Scheffler, who once again enters the year’s third major with massive expectations and +550 odds to win. Our U.S. Open long shots and sleeper picks are looking for value beyond the top of the board as the world’s best take on one of golf’s toughest tests.
Last year, J.J. Spaun captured his first major title by winning the U.S. Open, and a $10 wager on our top outright this week could return $500. The 2026 U.S. Open runs from June 18–21 at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club, where brutal rough, firm greens, and punishing winds will once again demand elite ball-striking and patience from the field.
🎯 U.S. Open long-shot picks
Here are our best long-shot golf picks for U.S. Open based on the odds from our best golf betting sites;
| Pick | Best odds | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Wyndham Clark | +5000 via FanDuel | .1u to win 5u |
| Aaron Rai | +6500 via DraftKings | .1u to win 6.5u |
| Hideki Matsuyama | +7000 via FanDuel | .1u to win 7u |
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💰 Best U.S. Open sleeper bet
Wyndham Clark (+5000)
Wyndham Clark enters the 2026 U.S. Open as one of the most intriguing value plays on the board, carrying odds at +5000 after strong market movement this week. The 2023 U.S. Open champion knows how to handle major championship pressure, and his length off the tee is a perfect fit for Shinnecock Hills’ demanding setup.
Clark also arrives in solid form after a T11 at the RBC Canadian Open and a win earlier this spring. If his driver stays sharp, he has all the tools to contend and win again.
🐎 U.S. Open dark horse picks
Aaron Rai (+6500)
Aaron Rai enters the 2026 U.S. Open as one of the more compelling longshot plays after breaking through for his first major at the PGA Championship last month. Despite sitting in the 65/1 range this week, Rai’s strong accuracy off the tee and strong iron play make him a natural fit for Shinnecock Hills, where precision matters as much as power.
He ranks among the best in the field in approach play over his last 50 rounds, and his recent form proves he can handle the pressure. Rai has the game to surprise again.
Hideki Matsuyama (+7000)
Hideki Matsuyama heads into the 2026 U.S. Open as one of the most dangerous mid-tier contenders on the board, carrying odds at +7000. A former Masters champion, Matsuyama has the exact profile that fits Shinnecock Hills: elite iron play, strong scrambling, and the patience to survive brutal U.S. Open conditions.
He has four career top-10 finishes at this major, including a runner-up, proving he can contend on golf’s toughest stage. If the putter cooperates this week, Matsuyama has the complete game to finally add a U.S. Open title to his resume.
💵 My betting record for golf picks
All golf picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 7, 2026.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-27 | +3.2 units ✅ | 137.55% ✅ |
| Long shots (+4500 or higher) | 0-19 | -1.7 units ❌ | 0% ❌ |
💰 U.S. Open betting history
| Year | Name | Odds (as of Jan. 1) | Course |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | J.J. Spaun | +12500 | Oakmont Country Club |
| 2024 | Bryson DeChambeau | +3000 | Pinehurst No. 2 |
| 2023 | Wyndham Clark | NA (+10000 prior to Round 1) | Los Angeles Country Club |
| 2022 | Matt Fitzpatrick | +5000 | The Country Club |
| 2021 | Jon Rahm | +1200 | Torrey Pines |
| 2020 | Bryson DeChambeau | +3000 | Winged Foot Golf Club |
| 2019 | Gary Woodland | +8000 | Pebble Beach Golf Links |
| 2018 | Brooks Koepka | +4000 | Shinnecock Hills |
| 2017 | Brooks Koepka | +4000 | Erin Hills |
| 2016 | Dustin Johnson | +1500 | Oakmont Country Club |
Historical golf odds via GolfOdds.com.
⛳ U.S. Open info 2026
- When: Thursday, June 18 - Sunday, June 21
- Where: Shinnecock Hills Golf Club (Southampton, N.Y.)
- How to watch: NBC, Peacock
- Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+360 via bet365)
- Defending champion: J.J. Spaun
- Field: 156
- Cut: Low 60 scores (plus ties)
📊 U.S. Open full-field odds
Here are the odds to win for everyone in the U.S. Open field:
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