🏀 Fire vs. Fever Prediction: WNBA Picks for Wednesday, May 20

My Fever vs. Fire prediction breaks down the best bets I'm backing for the WNBA tonight.
Caitlin Clark is the focus of our Fire vs. Fever prediction.
Pictured: Caitlin Clark is the focus of our Fire vs. Fever prediction. Photo by USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect.
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The Portland Fire aim to win a second straight game as the expansion team takes on Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever for the first time tonight at 7 p.m. ET (USA Network, WNBA League Pass) from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis.

Indiana is a 13-point betting favorite at home, and my Fire vs. Fever prediction is backing the WNBA championship odds contender to win a high-scoring game against Portland.


🏀 Fire vs. Fever prediction: WNBA picks

See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.

💰 Pick ⚖️ Bet size (units) 🧠 Why I bet this
Fever -13 (-110 via bet365) 1u → 0.91u The Fire are 1-3 ATS and matchup poorly with the Fever
Over 180.5 (-112 via FanDuel) 1u → 0.89u The Fever have an elite offense and the Fire are one of the best Over teams
Caitlin Clark Over 22.5 points (-102 via FanDuel) 1u → 0.98u Clark's shooting volume and Portland's defensive woes 

Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.78 units

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🏆 Who will win Fire vs. Fever?

The Fever are built to beat the Fire behind their pace and offense-first approach, with Portland having one of the W's worst defenses. The trio of Clark, Kelsey Mitchell, and Aliyah Boston will be too much for Alex Sarama's team.

Score prediction: Fever 99, Fire 83


💰 Fire vs. Fever prediction & best bet

Over 180.5 (-112)

Portland is one of the best Over teams in the W because their defensive issues lead to plenty of points being scored. The Fire have the second-worst defensive rating (116.8) and allow the highest effective field-goal percentage (58.4%) and third-highest 3-point percentage (39.5%) in the W.

Clark (24.3) and Mitchell (23.5) are both top six in PPG and have Indiana sitting No. 4 in offensive rating (109.8) and No. 2 in both pace (83.7) and PPG (95.5).

However, Indiana is allowing the fourth-most PPG (91.8) and has given up 100-plus in two of four games.

🪽 Paige Bueckers vs. Sky

For more WNBA action, don't miss my Wings vs. Sky prediction, which includes a player prop for Paige Bueckers.


🔥 Best Fire vs. Fever player prop bet

Caitlin Clark Over 22.5 points (-102)

Clark is No. 5 in the W in PPG (24.3), largely due to her volume. The former No. 1 pick leads the league in usage rate (35.2%) and 3-point attempts (9.3) while ranking in the top three in field-goal attempts per game (18.3).

With the green light always on for Clark, she should have every opportunity to go Over 22.5 points for the third time in four games. And Clark can expose a poor Portland perimeter defense that's allowing the second-most made threes per game (10.3).

In two games against the New York Liberty, Portland's only matchups with a playoff-level team thus far, the Fire allowed an average of 98 PPG and gave up 28 threes on 66 attempts (42.4%).


🚀 Fire vs. Fever same-game parlay

If the Fever are going to cover such a large spread, they'll need to continue leaning on their fast-paced offense. Both Clark and Mitchell should have big nights against Portland's flimsy perimeter defense.

💵 Fire vs. Fever SGP picks

  • Fever -13.5 (-108)
  • Over 180.5 (-112)
  • Caitlin Clark Over 22.5 points (-102)

Best odds: +446 via FanDuel (0.2u -> 0.89u)


💵 My betting record for WNBA picks

All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 8.

Bet type Record Net profit ROI
Overall 17-15 +4.84 units ✅ 19% ✅
Player props 6-4 +0.95 units ✅ 9.5% ✅
Parlays 2-6 +0.69 units ✅ 46.1% ✅

📊 Live Fire vs. Fever odds


📺 How to watch Fire vs. Fever 

  • Date: Wednesday, May 20
  • Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis)
  • TV: USA Network
  • Streaming: WNBA League Pass