🏀 Spurs vs. Thunder Player Props Today: NBA Playoffs Picks & Best Bets for Game 2
📡 SBR Edge: Fade Holmgren vs. Wemby Again
My Spurs vs. Thunder player props for Game 2 today feature Chet Holmgren Under 13.5 points (-115). He has scored 10 or fewer points in four straight meetings with Victor Wembanyama. My second NBA best bet is Jalen Williams Over 17.5 points (-112), as he led the Thunder in shot attempts in Game 1.
🏀 Best Spurs vs. Thunder player props: NBA Playoffs Game 2
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds for the playoffs.
| 💰 Pick | 💡 Best odds | ⚖️ Bet size | 🧠 Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chet Holmgren Under 13.5 points | -115 via BetMGM | 1.73u -> 1.5u | Has scored 10 or fewer points in 4 straight meetings vs. Wemby |
| Jalen Williams Over 17.5 points | -112 via BetRivers | 1.68u -> 1.5u | Led Thunder in shot attempts in Game 1 |
Total wagered: 3.41 units | Max profit: 3 units
💰 Best Spurs vs. Thunder prop bet
The Thunder are the betting favorite in the NBA championship odds.
Chet Holmgren Under 13.5 points (-115)
I faded Holmgren in Game 1, back when he was lined at 15.5 points. His number has dropped, but there's still an edge on the Under. He has scored 10 or fewer points in each of his last four matchups against Wembanyama, and from what we saw in Game 1, Wembanyama is not trending downward as a defender.
Holmgren attempted just eight shots in 41 minutes, and I don't expect him to be more aggressive this time around. BetMGM has his Under 13.5 points at -115, but I'd play this up to -145 on the best sports betting sites.
🔥 More Spurs vs. Thunder prop picks
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Jalen Williams Over 17.5 points (-112)
With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander struggling recently - he has the lowest net on-off rating of any qualified player remaining in the postseason - Williams was forced to step up on Monday. He led OKC with 25 field-goal attempts and scored two more points than Gilgeous-Alexander despite playing 14 fewer minutes.
Williams has cashed this prop in all three of his games this postseason, and I expect he'll get a similar amount of touches today as the Spurs continue to focus on Gilgeous-Alexander. Williams Over 17.5 points is -112 at BetRivers, but I'd play this up to -140 on the best sports betting apps.
🚀 Spurs vs. Thunder same-game parlay
While this combination seems counterintuitive, there's a large enough edge on each leg to overcome the negative correlation. Holmgren struggles against Wembanyama, and that shouldn't change today, while the Thunder should come out 100% focused on their home court after losing in double OT. bet365 offers this SGP at +290, while FanDuel offers the same parlay at +211.
💵 Spurs vs. Thunder SGP picks
- Chet Holmgren Under 13.5 points
- First quarter: Thunder -2.5
Best odds: +290 via bet365 (0.17u -> 0.5u)
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 186-200-4 | -4.03 units ❌ | -1.1% ❌ |
| Player props | 162-136-4 | -4.86 units ❌ | -1.4% ❌ |
| Parlays | 20-59 | +1.72 units ✅ | 7.3% ✅ |
| Spreads | 2-3 | -0.8 units ❌ | -13.1% ❌ |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units ❌ | -4.1% ❌ |
My betting record in the NBA postseason
Tracked since April 14.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 78-74 | +13 units ✅ | 11% ✅ |
| Player props | 63-37 | +14.67 units ✅ | 14.8% ✅ |
| Parlays | 12-32 | +0.73 units ✅ | 5.9% ✅ |
| Spreads | 1-3 | -2.3 units ❌ | -52.5% ❌ |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units ❌ | -4.1% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Spurs vs. Thunder: NBA Playoffs Game 2 strategy
Our most important data point when handicapping today's matchup is Game 1. While the regular season is also important to draw from, since this has become a legitimate rivalry, teams change their game plans in the playoffs, and new challenges arise.
We just saw how difficult it was for Gilgeous-Alexander to operate in the lane due to Wembanyama's presence, so it's reasonable to assume Williams will play a key role in the offense today, while Holmgren continues to struggle.
🚑 Spurs vs. Thunder injuries: Game 2
Injury report last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.
Spurs
- De'Aaron Fox (ankle) - questionable; present at shootaround
Thunder
- Thomas Sorber (ACL) - out
📺 How to watch Spurs vs. Thunder: West finals - Game 2
- Date: Wednesday, May 20
- Tipoff: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City)
- TV: NBC
- Streaming: Peacock
- Spread: Thunder -6.5
- Moneyline: Spurs +210 | Thunder -234
- Total: 216.5
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