Oscars Best Actress Predictions 2024: Lily Gladstone Overtakes Emma Stone as Favorite
Our best sports betting sites have Lily Gladstone storming away as the favorite over Emma Stone by the best Oscars Odds following the latter's victory at the Screen Actors Guild Awards.
Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Supporting Actor, and Best Supporting Actress have all been essentially decided, according to our Oscars odds. However, Best Actress is turning out to be one of the best races we've seen in years.
Emma Stone was somewhat pulling away in this category, with odds nearing -250. However, with Lily Gladstone's victory at the SAGs, she's now trading at a similar price, with Stone falling behind with odds nearing 2/1.
Who will win when the Academy has its say?
Here are our top odds for the 2024 Best Actress winner from our best sports betting apps.
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Best Lead Actress odds 2024
(Odds as of March 7)
| Actress (Film) | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) | -250 | -210 🔥 | -250 | -250 | -225 |
| Emma Stone (Poor Things) | +165 | +140 ❄️ | +155 | +190 🔥 | +162 |
| Sandra Huller (Anatomy of a Fall) | +2500 | +3400 | +2500 | +4000 🔥 | +1200 ❄️ |
| Carey Mulligan (Maestro) | +6500 | +3700 ❄️ | +6600 | +5000 | +6600 |
| Annette Bening (Nyad) | +5000 | +4500 ❄️ | +6600 | +5000 | +6600 |
Best Actress predictions 2024
Lily Gladstone (-210 via FanDuel)
Gladstone's win at the SAGs sure shook up this race. She was trading at +175 before that show, and her win has since catapulted her to favorite status at our best sportsbooks.
Generally, the SAGs are the biggest indication of who will win at the Oscars, so this price could be representative of her chances at the Oscars, as it represents nearly a 68% implied probability of victory.
Emma Stone (+190 via Caesars)
Just as Stone was looking like the clear-cut favorite, she lost at the SAGs. Now this has become a race for the ages.
Stone still won plenty of awards leading up to the SAGs, so she still has a very good shot at winning at the Oscars. I'm strongly considering betting on Stone at +190, but it does feel as though Gladstone will be the winner on Sunday.
Oscars betting odds pages
| Oscars odds and predictions | Best Supporting Actor predictions | Best Original Score |
| Best Picture predictions | Best Supporting Actress predictions | Best Original Song |
| Best Director predictions | Best Original Screenplay | |
| Best Lead Actor predictions | Best Adapted Screenplay | |
| Best Lead Actress predictions | Best Animated Feature |
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