🏀 Tempo vs. Mercury Prediction: WNBA Picks for Tuesday, May 19
The Toronto Tempo will try to ride the momentum of their first road win when they head to Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix to take on the Phoenix Mercury tonight at 10 p.m. ET (WNBA League Pass/TSN4).
While Phoenix has slipped down the WNBA championship odds, my Tempo vs. Mercury prediction expects Alyssa Thomas and Co. to handle business against an inconsistent Tempo defense.
🏀 Tempo vs. Mercury prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Mercury -7.5 (-110 via Caesars) | 1u → 0.91u | The Mercury are the best team the Tempo have faced this season |
| Over 171.5 (-105 via Caesars) | 1u → 0.95u | These teams are a combined 5-3 betting the Over |
| Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 assists (+112 via DraftKings) | 1u → 1.12u | Thomas is the W's most efficient passer |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.98 units
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🏆 Who will win Tempo vs. Mercury?
The Tempo's defensive woes have been less of an issue early in the season because they've been able to take advantage of equally awful defenses. However, the Mercury will be their first true challenge, with Phoenix having a top-five defense and an equally solid offense.
Score prediction: Mercury 92, Tempo 82
💰 Tempo vs. Mercury prediction & best bet
Mercury -7.5 (-110)
While Phoenix came up short in the WNBA Finals last season, this is still one of the most trustworthy teams in the W ... and the first real competitor the Tempo have played. Phoenix is third in the league in net rating (+7.5) and the only team that's top-five in both offensive rating (109.6) and defensive rating (+102.2).
With Thomas' passing prowess and Kahleah Copper's scoring capabilities, plus the efficient 3-point shooting of breakout star Jovana Nogic, Toronto's defense could be in trouble.
The Tempo just allowed 95-plus to the Los Angeles Sparks in back-to-back games.
🔥 Best Tempo vs. Mercury player prop bet
Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 assists (+112)
Thomas is an ageless wonder and a true anomaly at point-forward. The 34-year-old has shown no signs of slowing down this season, sitting No. 2 in the W in APG (8.5) a season after leading the league with 9.2 APG and a 53.6% assist rate.
Thomas is poised to dish out plenty of apples against a Tempo team that's allowing the fourth-most APG in the WNBA (21.0), including allowing 26 assists in back-to-back games against the Sparks.
Thomas has hit double-digit assists 21 times dating back to last season, her first with Phoenix.
🚀 Tempo vs. Mercury same-game parlay
The Tempo haven't played a team as sound as Phoenix this season, and when they played a potential playoff team in the Sparks, they found themselves in shootouts with an average combined total of 198. If the Mercury are going to take advantage of Toronto's defensive issues, they'll need Thomas' passing to shine.
💵 Tempo vs. Mercury SGP picks
- Mercury -7.5 (-115)
- Over 171.5 (-108)
- Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 assists (+112)
Best odds: +430 via DraftKings (0.2u -> 0.86u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 8.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | +6.09 units ✅ | 27.3% ✅ |
| Player props | 6-3 | +1.95 units ✅ | 21.7% ✅ |
| Parlays | 2-5 | +0.89 units ✅ | 68.6% ✅ |
📊 Live Tempo vs. Mercury odds
📺 How to watch Tempo vs. Mercury
- Date: Tuesday, May 19
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix)
- TV: Arizona's Family 3TV (Arizona), TSN4 (Canada)
- Streaming: WNBA League Pass
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