French Open Odds, Predictions 2026: Will Alcaraz, Gauff Defend Crowns at Roland-Garros?
Last Updated: February 2, 2026 10:30 AM EST • 4 minute read X Social Google News Link
Exploring the French Open odds while analyzing who represent the best bets to win at Roland-Garros, the countdown for tennis' next major has officially started.
Back-to-back defending champion Carlos Alcaraz is the betting favorite to win a third straight, trading marginally ahead of Jannik Sinner. Iga Swiatek, who won three of the previous four French Open titles, is setting the pace on the women's side, just in front of world no. 1 Aryna Sabalenka.
🔝 Why is Carlos Alcaraz the men's French Open betting favorite?
While Alcaraz is exceptional on every surface, one could make a strong case that clay is his best. The French Open odds favorite has won two consecutive French Open titles, carrying a 28-4 record into the 2026 edition.
Alcaraz beat his primary rival, Sinner, in their last two meetings at Roland-Garros, once in the 2025 final and once in the 2024 semifinal. Both were epic five-set thrillers, with the 2025 final going down as one of the best ever at the acclaimed tournament.
Alcaraz will enter the tournament brimming with confidence after becoming the youngest player to win all four majors, which he accomplished at the 2026 Australian Open.
👊 Can anyone beat Carlos Alcaraz & Jannik Sinner?
Alcaraz or Sinner has won a staggering nine consecutive majors, starting at the 2024 Australian Open. Sinner has taken four, while Alcaraz won five.
Three of the previous four major finals featured Sinner and Alcaraz, with the 2026 Australian Open the only exception.
| Major | Year | Winner | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|
| Australian Open | 2024 | Jannik Sinner | Daniil Medvedev |
| French Open | 2024 | Carlos Alcaraz | Alexander Zverev |
| Wimbledon | 2024 | Carlos Alcaraz | Novak Djokovic |
| US Open | 2024 | Jannik Sinner | Taylor Fritz |
| Australian Open | 2025 | Jannik Sinner | Alexander Zverev |
| French Open | 2025 | Carlos Alcaraz | Jannik Sinner |
| Wimbledon | 2025 | Jannik Sinner | Carlos Alcaraz |
| US Open | 2025 | Carlos Alcaraz | Jannik Sinner |
| Australian Open | 2026 | Carlos Alcaraz | Novak Djokovic |
🏆 French Open men's odds 2026
Here's how the French Open odds look for the men's side at FanDuel, one of the best sports betting sites.
| Player | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | +110 | 47.62% | $11 |
| Jannik Sinner | +130 | 43.48% | $13 |
| Novak Djokovic | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
| Alexander Zverev | +1300 | 7.14% | $130 |
| Joao Fonseca | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Jack Draper | +2700 | 3.57% | $270 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | +2700 | 3.57% | $270 |
| Arthur Fils | +4500 | 2.17% | $450 |
| Ben Shelton | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Cam Norrie | +6000 | 1.64% | $600 |
🧠 2026 French Open men's prediction: Jannik Sinner
Tit for tat, or anything you can do, I can do better, comes to mind for the Sinner vs. Alcaraz rivalry. The French Open is the only major 24-year-old Sinner hasn't won, a similar scenario to Alcaraz before he entered the 2026 Australian Open.
We all know what happened Down Under, with Alcaraz etching his name in the history book as the youngest ever to win all four majors.
Sinner will want to emulate Alcaraz again, and he'll have revenge on the mind after failing to capitalize on three championship points against the Spaniard in the 2025 French Open Final.
🔝 Why is Iga Swiatek the women's French Open betting favorite?
Swiatek is a clay-court wizard, having won four French Open titles. The 24-year-old won four of her six majors at Roland-Garros. She also won Wimbledon (2025) and the US Open (2022).
While Swiatek has recently focused on improving on grass and hard courts, her bread and butter will forever reside on the clay courts of the French Open.
Here's how Swiatek performed at the seven French Opens she has competed in:
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2019 | 4th round |
| 2020 | Won |
| 2021 | QF |
| 2022 | Won |
| 2023 | Won |
| 2024 | Won |
| 2025 | SF |
🇧🇾 Has Aryna Sabalenka won the French Open?
The women's world no. 1 hasn't conquered the French Open, with her first final appearance occurring in 2025, resulting in a loss to Coco Gauff.
Sabalenka has been inching closer in recent years, reaching the semifinals and quarterfinals in the two years preceding last year's runner-up finish. While the signs are promising, Sabalenka's skill set doesn't suit the slow and sticky conditions in Paris.
The court acts as the great equalizer, allowing players with less power to use trickery and off-speed shots to go toe-to-toe with the domineering 27-year-old.
🏆 French Open women's odds 2026
| Player | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bets) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | +220 | 31.25% | $22 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | +250 | 28.57% | $25 |
| Coco Gauff | +430 | 18.87% | $43 |
| Mirra Andreeva | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
| Elena Rybakina | +1100 | 8.33% | $110 |
| Elina Svitolina | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Qinwen Zheng | +1700 | 5.56% | $170 |
| Amanda Anisimova | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Madison Keys | +2700 | 3.57% | $270 |
| Jasmine Paolini | +3000 | 3.23% | $300 |
🧠 2026 French Open women's prediction: Iga Swiatek
I'm going back to Iga for the 2026 French Open. After prioritizing other surfaces, it's time for the Pole to pour her undivided attention into the clay-court season, which should culminate in her fifth French Open title.
While Swiatek represents the best French Open bet on the women's side, the field is otherwise wide open. Roland-Garros is the best tournament of the season to source a viable long-shot pick. I'm looking at 2024 runner-up Jasmine Paolini, who FanDuel offers at +3000.
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Gary Pearson X social