French Open Odds, Predictions 2026: Will Alcaraz, Gauff Defend Crowns at Roland-Garros?

With Roland-Garros the next major on tap, let's dive into the French Open odds and predictions.
Carlos Alcaraz in action as we provide the French Open odds and prediction 2026.
Pictured: Carlos Alcaraz in action as we provide the French Open odds and prediction 2026. Photo by Stephanie Lecocq via Imagn Images
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Exploring the French Open odds while analyzing who represent the best bets to win at Roland-Garros, the countdown for tennis' next major has officially started. 

Back-to-back defending champion Carlos Alcaraz is the betting favorite to win a third straight, trading marginally ahead of Jannik Sinner. Iga Swiatek, who won three of the previous four French Open titles, is setting the pace on the women's side, just in front of world no. 1 Aryna Sabalenka.


🔝 Why is Carlos Alcaraz the men's French Open betting favorite?

While Alcaraz is exceptional on every surface, one could make a strong case that clay is his best. The French Open odds favorite has won two consecutive French Open titles, carrying a 28-4 record into the 2026 edition. 

Alcaraz beat his primary rival, Sinner, in their last two meetings at Roland-Garros, once in the 2025 final and once in the 2024 semifinal. Both were epic five-set thrillers, with the 2025 final going down as one of the best ever at the acclaimed tournament. 

Alcaraz will enter the tournament brimming with confidence after becoming the youngest player to win all four majors, which he accomplished at the 2026 Australian Open. 


👊 Can anyone beat Carlos Alcaraz & Jannik Sinner? 

Alcaraz or Sinner has won a staggering nine consecutive majors, starting at the 2024 Australian Open. Sinner has taken four, while Alcaraz won five. 

Three of the previous four major finals featured Sinner and Alcaraz, with the 2026 Australian Open the only exception. 

Major  Year  Winner  Runner-up
Australian Open 2024 Jannik Sinner  Daniil Medvedev 
French Open 2024 Carlos Alcaraz Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon 2024 Carlos Alcaraz Novak Djokovic 
US Open 2024 Jannik Sinner  Taylor Fritz 
Australian Open 2025 Jannik Sinner  Alexander Zverev
French Open 2025 Carlos Alcaraz Jannik Sinner 
Wimbledon 2025 Jannik Sinner  Carlos Alcaraz
US Open 2025 Carlos Alcaraz Jannik Sinner 
Australian Open 2026 Carlos Alcaraz Novak Djokovic 

🏆 French Open men's odds 2026

Here's how the French Open odds look for the men's side at FanDuel, one of the best sports betting sites

Player Odds (FanDuel) Implied probability Profit ($10 bet)
Carlos Alcaraz +110 47.62% $11
Jannik Sinner +130 43.48% $13
Novak Djokovic +1000 9.09% $100
Alexander Zverev +1300 7.14% $130
Joao Fonseca +2500 3.85% $250
Jack Draper +2700 3.57% $270
Lorenzo Musetti +2700 3.57% $270
Arthur Fils +4500 2.17% $450
Ben Shelton +5000 1.96% $500
Cam Norrie +6000 1.64% $600

🧠 2026 French Open men's prediction: Jannik Sinner 

Tit for tat, or anything you can do, I can do better, comes to mind for the Sinner vs. Alcaraz rivalry. The French Open is the only major 24-year-old Sinner hasn't won, a similar scenario to Alcaraz before he entered the 2026 Australian Open.

We all know what happened Down Under, with Alcaraz etching his name in the history book as the youngest ever to win all four majors.

Sinner will want to emulate Alcaraz again, and he'll have revenge on the mind after failing to capitalize on three championship points against the Spaniard in the 2025 French Open Final.


🔝 Why is Iga Swiatek the women's French Open betting favorite?

Swiatek is a clay-court wizard, having won four French Open titles. The 24-year-old won four of her six majors at Roland-Garros. She also won Wimbledon (2025) and the US Open (2022). 

While Swiatek has recently focused on improving on grass and hard courts, her bread and butter will forever reside on the clay courts of the French Open. 

Here's how Swiatek performed at the seven French Opens she has competed in: 

Year  Result 
2019 4th round 
2020 Won 
2021 QF
2022 Won 
2023 Won 
2024 Won 
2025 SF

🇧🇾 Has Aryna Sabalenka won the French Open?

The women's world no. 1 hasn't conquered the French Open, with her first final appearance occurring in 2025, resulting in a loss to Coco Gauff. 

Sabalenka has been inching closer in recent years, reaching the semifinals and quarterfinals in the two years preceding last year's runner-up finish. While the signs are promising, Sabalenka's skill set doesn't suit the slow and sticky conditions in Paris. 

The court acts as the great equalizer, allowing players with less power to use trickery and off-speed shots to go toe-to-toe with the domineering 27-year-old. 


🏆 French Open women's odds 2026

Player Odds (FanDuel) Implied probability Profit ($10 bets)
Iga Swiatek +220 31.25% $22
Aryna Sabalenka +250 28.57% $25
Coco Gauff +430 18.87% $43
Mirra Andreeva +650 13.33% $65
Elena Rybakina +1100 8.33% $110
Elina Svitolina +1600 5.88% $160
Qinwen Zheng +1700 5.56% $170
Amanda Anisimova +2500 3.85% $250
Madison Keys +2700 3.57% $270 
Jasmine Paolini +3000 3.23% $300

🧠 2026 French Open women's prediction: Iga Swiatek

I'm going back to Iga for the 2026 French Open. After prioritizing other surfaces, it's time for the Pole to pour her undivided attention into the clay-court season, which should culminate in her fifth French Open title. 

While Swiatek represents the best French Open bet on the women's side, the field is otherwise wide open. Roland-Garros is the best tournament of the season to source a viable long-shot pick. I'm looking at 2024 runner-up Jasmine Paolini, who FanDuel offers at +3000. 


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