French Open Odds 2026: Alcaraz, Swiatek the Early Favorites
Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz and Iga Swiatek are the early French Open odds favorites at our best sports betting sites. Alcaraz won back-to-back championships at Roland-Garros, with the Spaniard topping Jannik Sinner in the previous Paris classic.
While Sinner is the co-favorite at bet365, Alcaraz holds the advantage across our best sports betting apps. Swiatek endured a disappointing tournament but has opened as the favorite on the women's side.
The tournament at Roland-Garros starts on May 24 and runs until June 7. Read below for the AI prediction for each side of the draw, featuring ChatGPT.
🏆 French Open men's odds 2026
Here's how the French Open odds look for the men's side at bet365.
| Player | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | +150 | 40% | $15 |
| Jannik Sinner | +150 | 40% | $15 |
| Alexander Zverev | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
| Novak Djokovic | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
| Jack Draper | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
| Joao Fonseca | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
| Arthur Fils | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Holger Rune | +3300 | 2.94% | $330 |
| Casper Ruud | +3300 | 2.94% | $330 |
🤖 French Open men's AI prediction: Carlos Alcaraz
We asked ChatGPT, a large language model chatbot from OpenAI, for its best prediction to win the 2026 French Open. Please note that ChatGPT is not an experienced bettor but can provide additional information and insights into the tournament and betting markets. This is for entertainment purposes only.
🧠 Why Carlos Alcaraz will win
🎾 1. He's already done it – and just did it again
Alcaraz won the 2026 French Open in what’s already being hailed as one of the greatest Grand Slam finals in modern history: a five-hour, 29-minute victory over Jannik Sinner. Coming back from two sets to one down, he showed not only physical dominance but deep emotional maturity. That match was a statement—Alcaraz has entered the "Rafa on clay" phase of his career.
- He has now snatched two French Open titles and three Grand Slam titles at just 23 years old.
- His win tied a Rafael Nadal record, as he became the youngest player to win two Roland-Garros titles and three slam titles on three different surfaces.
💪 2. He’s a clay-court natural
- Alcaraz moves effortlessly on the red dirt while generating massive topspin, playing with height and variety, and pulling opponents off the court with forehands reminiscent of Nadal—but with even better net skills.
- He’s already won multiple Masters 1000 events on clay (Madrid, Rome), and now boasts a career 87% win rate on clay courts—the second-best of all active players behind Nadal.
🧠 3. Elite mental game and stamina
- The 2026 final showed that mental fortitude is now a weapon in his game. His ability to recover physically and emotionally from deficits is Djokovic-esque.
- He played several five-set matches this tournament, including a comeback from match points down in the quarterfinals, signaling a level of mental resilience no one else is matching right now.
⚔️ 4. The field can’t match his versatility
- Sinner is the only true peer at the moment, but he’s now lost multiple Slam duels to Alcaraz in finals or semifinals.
- Djokovic, while always dangerous, is fading—injuries and clay struggles in 2025 and 2026 show he’s likely past his peak at Roland-Garros.
- Alexander Zverev and Casper Ruud continue to falter in high-pressure clay matches, and while Jack Draper and Cerúndolo are rising, they’re not yet ready to win a best-of-five against Alcaraz in Paris.
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🏆 French Open women's odds 2026
| Player | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bets) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | +225 | 30.77% | $22.50 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | +250 | 28.57% | $23 |
| Coco Gauff | +400 | 20% | $40 |
| Mirra Andreeva | +550 | 15.38% | $55 |
| Qinwen Zheng | +1400 | 6.67% | $140 |
| Elena Rybakina | +1400 | 6.67% | $140 |
| Madison Keys | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
| Jasmine Paolini | +2800 | 3.45% | $280 |
| Elina Svitolina | +3300 | 2.94% | $330 |
| Paula Badosa | +4000 | 2.44% | $400 |
| Karolina Muchova | +4000 | 2.44% | $400 |
🤖 French Open women's AI prediction: Coco Gauff
🧠 Why I predict Coco Gauff to win
🌟 1. Build from a breakthrough at Roland-Garros
Gauff captured her maiden French Open in 2025, defeating world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka in a three-set final (6–7, 6–2, 6–4). That victory underscores her ability to perform under Grand Slam pressure, especially on clay.
🔥 2. Clay-court momentum and mental grit
Her clay form is electric. She crushed Iga Swiatek 6–0, 6–1 in Madrid before reaching the 2025 Madrid final. This tournament displayed her renewed confidence and resilience. She battled through multiple break points while showcasing her mental toughness.
🎯 3. Versatile game-craft on slow surface
Coco's movement, defensive consistency, and aggressive shot selection suit Roland-Garros perfectly. Her ability to swing from a defensive posture to attacking mode frustrates opponents, matching her overall clay prowess.
🇺🇸 French Open betting odds history
| Year | Men | Odds (Prior to Round 1) | Women | Odds (Prior to Round 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Carlos Alcaraz | +105 | Coco Gauff | +500 |
| 2024 | Carlos Alcaraz | +275 | Iga Swiatek | -155 |
| 2023 | Novak Djokovic | +250 | Iga Swiatek | -105 |
| 2022 | Rafael Nadal | +400 | Iga Swiatek | -115 |
| 2021 | Novak Djokovic | +400 | Barbora Krejcikova | +12500 |
| 2020 | Rafael Nadal | +125 | Iga Swiatek | +5000 |
| 2019 | Rafael Nadal | -110 | Ashleigh Barty | +1800 |
| 2018 | Rafael Nadal | -255 | Simona Halep | +650 |
| 2017 | Rafael Nadal | -107 | Jelena Ostapenko | +8000 |
| 2016 | Novak Djokovic | -110 | Garbine Muguruza | +1100 |
| 2015 | Stan Wawrinka | +2500 | Serena Williams | +240 |
🎾 French Open 2026 info
🗓️ Sunday, May 24 to Sunday, June 7
📍 Roland-Garros (Paris)
🏆 Sunday, June 7 (Exact time TBD)
📈 Carlos Alcaraz, Iga Swiatek
❓ French Open FAQs
Who is the 2026 French Open favorite?
Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner are French Open odds favorites at bet365. Their +150 odds imply a 40% win probability. Iga Swiatek (+225) is the French Open odds favorite on the women's side, and her odds carry a 30.77% win probability, according to our odds calculator.
Who won last year's French Open?
Carlos Alcaraz and Coco Gauff won in Paris in 2025.
When will the 2026 French Open be played?
The French Open will be played May 24 to June 7, 2026.
Where will the French Open be played?
The French Open is played at Stade Roland-Garros in Paris, France.
💡 Tennis betting odds pages
| Australian Open Odds | Wimbledon Odds |
| French Open Odds | US Open Odds |
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