French Open 2023 Odds: Does Nadal’s Injury Give Others a Chance?

Novak Djokovic has tied Rafael Nadal with 22 Grand Slam titles after winning his 10th Australian Open, and the odds for the French Open have changed as a result. Read on for our futures Read on for our futures picks for the 2023 French Open.

Rafael Nadal has dominated at Roland Garros, winning 14 titles in his 18 career tournaments. However, he suffered a Grade 2 iliopsoas injury at the Australian Open, and is set to miss at least two months while recovering. 

The French Open is the second Grand Slam of the season. The clay surface is difficult for even the best of players to adapt to, as evidenced by the fact that just three of Roger Federer’s and Novak Djokovic’s combined 41 Grand Slam titles have been won at Roland Garros. Even Pete Sampras, who ranks fourth on the all-time list of Grand Slam champions, never won a French Open title.

Here's our look at the best odds and picks for the 2023 French Open.

French Open odds 2023 - Men

French Open odds 2023 - Women

French Open best bets

• Carlos Alcaraz (+175 via BetMGM) — Made Jan. 31
• Novak Djokovic (+175 via Caesars) — Made Jan. 31
• Casper Ruud (+1200 via PointsBet) — Made Jan. 31

French Open odds 2023: Favorites

Novak Djokovic (+175 via Caesars)

Djokovic is favored at each of the remaining three Grand Slams for 2023, except at FanDuel where he has the second-best odds for the French Open. Djokovic has made the quarterfinals or better every year at Roland Garros since 2010, going 2-4 in the finals in that span. His 84% winning percentage at the French Open is his worst among all majors, and his five-year gap between French Open titles in 2016 and 2021 is the most prolonged period between Grand Slam victories in his career. 

Carlos Alcaraz (+175)

Alcaraz is the most inexperienced player at the top of the odds boards. This is his third French Open appearance, and he has made the third round and quarterfinals in the previous two. He broke through for his first Grand Slam victory at the US Open last year, likely a big reason he is the favorite or co-favorite at this event across all sportsbooks. Alcaraz’s odds have room for much flexibility based on how he plays in the tune-up tournaments leading up to the French Open, as he missed the year’s first Grand Slam with an injured right leg.

Rafael Nadal (+300 via DraftKings)

Nadal’s 14 French Open titles are five more than any player has won at any other Grand Slam event. FanDuel is glaringly lower on his odds than all other competing sportsbooks, which is likely a testament to him being 36-years-old despite winning five of the last six titles at Roland Garros. DraftKings moved the most on Nadal following his injury and straight-set loss at the Australian Open, down from +250 to +300, but still maintaining his status as the third favorite.

French Open odds 2023: Contenders

Stefanos Tsitsipas (+750 via FanDuel)

As with their odds for Nadal, FanDuel is noticeably lower on Tsitsipas, as the Greek is as short as +600 at Caesars. Tsitsipas has made the fourth round at Roland Garros each of the last four years and finished runner-up in 2021. He ran into the Djokovic buzzsaw in the finals of the Australian Open, but had lost just three sets in the six matches leading up to the finals. With that loss to Djokovic, he missed out on a chance to be the No. 1 ranked player in the world, but is now 10-8 straight up vs. top 20 opponents at majors.

Casper Ruud (+1200)

There is no better value to be had anywhere, as Ruud is listed at +1200 across all sportsbooks. Ruud broke through with two finals appearances at the French Open and US Open last year. His odds would shorten considerably should he continue to be a fixture atop the world rankings, as he entered this year as the No. 3 player in the world.

Jannik Sinner (+1400)

FanDuel is once again the place to shop for Sinner backers, who can get up to $300 more in value there than with the +1400 odds at other sportsbooks. Sinner has not advanced past the fourth round at any major, but his 77% winning percentage at Roland Garros is by far his highest of all four Grand Slams.

Alexander Zverev (+1700 via FanDuel)

Zverev missed the final two Grand Slams of last season after suffering an ankle injury in the semifinals at the French Open. If Zverev looks strong in the tournaments leading up to Wimbledon, his odds arguably have the most flexibility given the unknown nature of how well he will recover. His first test did not go so well as he bowed out of the Australian Open with a second round four-set loss to American Michael Mmoh. FanDuel is lower on Zverev than all other sportsbooks that are currently offering +1400 odds.

French Open odds 2023: Long shots

Holger Rune (+1800 via FanDuel)

Rune’s odds shortened from +2000 at DraftKings to +1400, and from +1600 at PointsBet to +1400. Rune made the quarterfinals in his first-ever appearance at Roland Garros last year before losing to eventual runner-up Casper Ruud in four sets.

Dominic Thiem (+2500 via Caesars)

Thiem is not found this high on the odds boards at any of the other two remaining Grand Slams, but the 29-year-old is considered a clay-court specialist and made two semifinals and two finals in four consecutive years at Roland Garros from 2016-2019. There is not a lot of variability in Thiem’s odds, as BetMGM is the lowest on him at +1800.

Recent French Open winners

• 2022: Rafael Nadal (+400)
• 2021: Novak Djokovic (+400)
• 2020: Rafael Nadal (+125)
• 2019: Rafael Nadal (-110)
• 2018: Rafael Nadal (-255)
• 2017: Rafael Nadal (-107)
• 2016: Novak Djokovic (-110)
• 2015: Stan Wawrinka (+2500)

French Open FAQs

Who won the 2022 French Open?

Nadal won the French Open in 2022, beating Ruud in the finals in straight sets.

When will the French Open be decided?

The French Open will be held between Sunday, May 28 and Sunday, June 11. 

Where will the French Open be played?

The French Open will be played at Stade Roland Garros in Paris.

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