Aces vs. Sparks Predictions, Picks & Odds: Will Las Vegas Roll Again?

Check out our top Aces vs. Sparks predictions and picks for Thursday's WNBA matchup in Los Angeles.

Shane Jackson

Last updated: May 25, 2023 5:50 PM EDT • 4 min read

After both teams opened their 2023 WNBA campaign with victories, the Las Vegas Aces will face the Los Angeles Sparks on Thursday. Read on for our Aces vs. Sparks prediction based on the best WNBA odds.

The Las Vegas Aces certainly made a statement with a season-opening 105-64 road victory against the Seattle Storm. The 41-point margin was the largest ever in a WNBA team's opening game, according to ESPN Stats & Information. The Aces are clearly focused on being the first back-to-back champions in the W since the Los Angeles Sparks did so in 2001 and 2002.

Speaking of the Sparks, Curt Miller's squad started the year off with a 94-71 win over the Phoenix Mercury. Things will be much more difficult in Game 2, with Los Angeles having lost the last 10 meetings against Las Vegas. But can the Sparks cover a lofty spread at the very least?

Here is our best Aces vs. Sparks prediction (odds via Caesars; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Aces vs. Sparks prediction

Aces -12.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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We have an edge on the spread, especially if you take advantage of the offering at Caesars as of this writing. My projections make Las Vegas about a 15-point favorite at Los Angeles in the second game under acting coach Tyler Marsh, as Becky Hammon serves a two-game suspension.

That might seem like a lot, but it is important to remember how dominant the Aces were to start the 2022 campaign. They were 9-1 entering June last year, posting an average margin of victory of 14.7 points in those nine wins. The Aces were a team that came out firing before their lack of depth caused them to let off the gas (at least by their standards) later in the regular season.

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After adding Candace Parker to the starting lineup in the offseason, Las Vegas has plenty of firepower to be the WNBA championship favorite once again. Six different players scored in double figures at Seattle, with last year's MVP in A'ja Wilson finishing with just 13 points on 13 shots.

The Sparks, who will likely be battling for a postseason berth after finishing 11th out of 12 teams last year, don't have the same level of firepower. Los Angeles lost all four meetings against Las Vegas by a combined 69 points a season ago.

Simply put, Las Vegas is a tier above even the second-best team in this league until further notice - at least via my power ratings. I'm comfortable laying the points in a game that could honestly be over by halftime.

Aces vs. Sparks best odds

Caesars (-110)

DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Caesars	PointsBet
-13	-12.5	-12.5	-12.5	-12.5
-110	-118	-110	-110	-120

Most of our best sports betting apps are now sitting at 12.5 for the spread, with Caesars and BetMGM offering the best deal on the Aces. We would play this at -13.5 or better, but will definitely take the discounted number by shopping around.

Because WNBA markets tend to move fast, we'd recommend taking a glance at player props if the spread has moved too much by the time you are reading this. Kelsey Plum's props at FanDuel stood out in particular.

Plum has a point prop of 19.5 at FanDuel, which seems a bit inflated based on her 23-point effort in the opener. It is worth mentioning that 10 of her team-high 16 field goal attempts came in what was considered garbage time, according to the box score at inpredictable. As such, the Under at -108 is worth a look.

At the same shop, Plum has an assist line of 4.5 with the Over juiced to -120. This would also be a play for us, as Plum dished out six dimes in Game 1 and cleared this mark in 22 of her 36 regular-season games last year. She really helps Las Vegas push the ball in transition.

FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetRivers are the select shops among our best sports betting sites to offer player props for the WNBA, so make sure to check those sportsbooks out this summer.

Aces vs. Sparks game info

Date: Thursday, May 25, 10 p.m. ET
TV: CBS SN, WNBA League Pass
Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA

Aces-Sparks pick made 5/25/2023 at 11:15 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Shane Jackson

Shane Jackson has been writing for Sportsbook Review since 2022, though his passion for sports, writing, and betting runs much longer than that. He graduated from the University of Kansas with a journalism degree in 2017 and has been covering sports ever since, working for MLB.com, Manhattan Mercury, Lawrence Journal-World, WynnBET, Bet Chicago Sports, BetNOLA, and BetMGM. Jackson cares about creating quality sports betting content above all else. He uses a mixture of models, information, film, analysis, and a top-down approach to locate every best bet shared for SBR. He never gives out a pick that he wouldn’t be willing to spend his own money on. Jackson is focused on finding +EV bets on a daily basis for a variety of sports such as NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, and MLB. He usually bets on props but is willing to wager on a spread or total when there is an edge. Don’t ask him how many bets he has placed on a typical college football Saturday. Jackson doesn’t care if you follow him on social media, but his Twitter account has info on how you can follow his bets through multiple third-party platforms. He just wants you to read all the great work from the SBR team.