Yankees vs. Red Sox Predictions, Odds & Best Bet: Who'll Win Tonight?

It's the biggest rivalry in baseball, as we're treated to a Yankees vs. Red Sox showdown from Fenway Park on Friday night. Buckle up.

Andrew Brennan

Last updated: June 13, 2025 1:16 PM EDT • 3 min read

Yankees vs. Red Sox Predictions, Odds & Best Bet for Friday — Pictured: Boston Red Sox pitcher Garrett Crochet throws a pitch against the Milwaukee Brewers. Photo by Jeff Hanisch via Imagn Images.

It's the biggest rivalry in baseball, as we're treated to a Yankees vs. Red Sox showdown from Fenway Park tonight at 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network).

Now, I'm a completely unbiased Boston fan, so my Yankees vs. Red Sox prediction and odds are going to examine this game from a neutral perspective. With that being said, let's get into why the Red Sox are going to dogwalk these bums tonight.

🔮 Yankees vs. Red Sox prediction & picks

🔎 Our NEW MLB player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds for your MLB picks.

✅ Yankees vs. Red Sox prediction: Red Sox moneyline (-143 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Best player prop pick: Garrett Crochet Under 7.5 strikeouts (+120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

🆚 Who will win Yankees vs. Red Sox?

This one is pretty simple: Garrett Crochet is an ace. He's one of the favorites by the AL Cy Young odds and features one of the best ERAs (2.35) in baseball.

Ryan Yarbrough, on the other hand, stinks. And no, I'm not buying this "oh he's rejuvenated in New York" nonsense. Sure, his peripherals look nice, but we have more than 800 innings of data that tell us this dude isn't good.

✅ Moneyline pick: Red Sox will win (-143 via BetMGM)

Up To $1,500 First Bet

Bonus bets will expire in 7 days. One new customer offer only. Additional terms and conditions apply.

Claim $1,500

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

💰 Yankees vs. Red Sox best bet

Here is my best bet for today's Yankees vs. Red Sox matchup:

🏃 Ceddane Rafaela Over 0.5 stolen bases

Best odds: +580 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $58 profit)
Implied win probability: 14.71%

Bet $5, Win $200 in Bonus Bets

New customers only. Min. deposit $5+. Bet $5+ and win $200 in Bonus Bets, if your bet wins (within 72 hours).

Claim $200

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

The most important thing to know about this prop is that our other best sports betting sites not named FanDuel are too scared to even list it. Basically, we've already won before the game starts.

Rafaela has been running much more frequently lately, with three steals in the last seven days. Those make up his only stolen bases during the last month, so that tells us the Red Sox have recently given their center-fielder the green light in an effort to ignite the offense.

Additionally, Yankees catcher Austin Wells has one of the slowest pop times in the league, and he's below league average in his ability to throw out opposing base-stealers. If Rafaela gets on base, look for the Red Sox to once again get aggressive with him as the lineup turns back over.

⚾ Yankees vs. Red Sox odds today

Here are the live odds for today's Yankees vs. Red Sox matchup. See all of today's MLB odds for the latest lines from our best MLB betting sites.

💡 More MLB predictions today

MLB predictions & expert picks
MLB home run predictions
Pirates vs. Cubs predictions
Angels vs. Orioles predictions
Yankees vs. Red Sox predictions
Padres vs. Diamondbacks predictions
Giants vs. Dodgers predictions

💵 Best MLB betting sites

Want to bet on Yankees vs. Red Sox? Check out the best MLB betting sites and best sportsbook promos for today's MLB games:

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Written By:
Andrew Brennan

Andrew Brennan is a publishing editor for Sportsbook Review. He also heads the website’s MLB coverage, from the various futures markets to daily picks. Andrew believes a math-based approach is the best way to enjoy long-term success in sports betting, and he’s spent the better part of the last year fine-tuning his own process for MLB, NBA, and NFL picks. Andrew uses eight different sportsbooks to find the best odds available and various projection models to gather as much information as he can. His most used sportsbooks are bet365, FanDuel, and theScore Bet. When it comes to daily projection models, he regularly references NumberFire across all sports, as it’s one of the best free tools available. In terms of which daily markets Andrew attacks, he almost exclusively bets on pitcher strikeouts for baseball. When the winter rolls around, you’ll see him providing more variety when it comes to the NBA (points, assists, rebounds) and NFL (almost any offensive-based player prop). He used these tools to go +150 units in 2023. Andrew is also a passionate fantasy sports player. He’s played fantasy football, fantasy Premier League, and fantasy baseball for the last decade. He graduated from Durham College with his diploma in journalism after earning his degree in law from Carleton University. He’s worked in sports media since early 2017, first contributing at FanSided before moving to theScore. He joined SBR in 2022.